2-7-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Carlo Campanella COMP

New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts

Every year you hear that "defenses wins Championships," but this season the Super Bowl features the two most explosive offenses in the NFL. The Colts offense is led by veteran QB Manning and averaging 25.9 points and 363.1 yards per game while scoring at least 27 points in 6 of their 8 road efforts this year. In fact, we find the Saints defense allowing 22 points or more in 5 of their 8 road games and posting a 10-2 Over/Under record against teams averaging 350 or more offensive yards per game behind Head Coach Sean Payton! On the other side of the ball, the Saints offense is led by QB Drew Brees and averaging an incredible 32.6 points per game. Don't expect these high powered offenses to slow down on the road in Miami this Sunday as both of these squads were 7-1 SU on the road this year. The Saints went "Over" the Total in both of their Playoff games while putting up 76 points in the postseason, beating Arizona 45-14 and Minnesota 31-28. The Saints have now gone "Over" in ALL 7 postseason games in franchise history, and this season's two "Overs" improved New Orleans to 7-0 Over/Under during postseason play!

7* Play On OVER 56½

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Mreast ncaab sunday blast

#817 iona gaels @ #818 marist red foxes 2pm est

play on #817 iona gaels -13 -110 for 3 units

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

FantasySportsGametime

Sunday Football

NFL Football

1000* Play New Orleans (+5) over Indianapolis
Game starts at 6:25 PM EST

New Orleans has won 8 consecutive games coming off an OVER the total and they have also won and covered the spread in 4 consecutive games vs. non-conference opponents. New Orleans has won 10 of the last 11 games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points and they are averaging over 32 points a game on offense this season.


SUPER BOWL PROP PLAYS

Coin Toss (Play Tails)

Will there be a special teams or defensive touchdown (Play Yes +130)

Longest Score of the game…touchdown or field goal (Play touchdown -180)

Total passing yards by Drew Brees (Play OVER 284.5 yards)

Total rushing yards by Pierre Thomas (Play OVER 52.5 rushing yards)

Will Saints score in both 1st & 2nd quarter (Play YES -125)

Total number of Saints to catch a pass (Play OVER 7.5 players to catch pass)

Total number of yards on offense by Saints in the game (Play OVER 379 yards in the game)

Player to score 1st TD in game (Play Pierre Thomas +400 & Marques Colston +650)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Mike Cannon

75 Colts
15 Colts ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Atskings


Rex Rodgers


Rex Rodgers Picks Page


5* Under Colts/Saints 57

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Atskings



Tony Taylor Card for SUnday February 7th



3* Under Colts/Saints 57



3* 2 Team 6 Point Teaser Colts +1 Under 63

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Howie F_EINER

100 Dimes on Orlando

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

The Booooj

50 units on Indianapolis (-5) over New Orleans
15 units on Under 57
5 unit parlay of Indianapolis/Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Great Lakes Sports

4* New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Alex Smart

8* Colts

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Malinsky



4* #809 SYRACUSE over CINCINNATI

These teams may physically look the same when they take the court for the opening tipoff – they each bring among the biggest and toughest front lines in the nation. But there is a monstrous gap in basketball skills between Jim Boeheim’s Orangemen and Mick Cronin’s Bearcats, and we believe the markets are far short in their estimate.Yes, Cincinnati has plenty of athleticism and depth, and as such is sitting at 5-5 in the tough Big East. But first take that record with a grain of salt – the Bearcats have gone through those 10 games without facing any of the four best teams in the league (Syracuse, Villanova, West Virginia and Georgetown). They are tough around the basket, but can not shoot a lick from long range (outside of Deonta Vaughn, all other Bearcats are 28-111 from 3-point range in conference play), and those unsettled defensive rotations are being consistently broken down, allowing an awful ratio of 135 assists vs. only 91 TO’s. It is that lack of chemistry that is the major issue here – Vaughn is the only Bearcat that has started all 10 conference games, and nine other players have at least one start. Inconsistency has been a major issue, and there is also a question as to just how good of a handle Cronin has on his roster (out-takes from a press conference earlier this week- ”He (Lance Stephenson) struggles to focus. His attention to detail drifts at times, way too much. His defense has really dropped off recently … Lance is a freshman. He’s going to struggle. That’s just part of it . . . You can understand that with some of the younger guys. But with some of the older guys … Steve Toyloy, every game he needs to be a good rebounder and a good defender. That’s just one example. The guy’s a senior.”)You might be able to hold your own vs. the lower echelon of the Big east on raw athletic talent, but not this opponent. Is there anyone playing with better chemistry that Syracuse? Boeheim has seven talented players going more than 21 minutes per game in Big East play, and they are both shooting better than 50 percent, and allowing less than 40 percent, which is remarkable in this conference. Four of the seven players in the rotation are averaging more than two assists per game, and four of the seven are scoring in double figures, with everyone netting at least 7.5. The real key today is the defense, with the bulk of Arinze Onuaku and Rick Jackson around the basket, and the excellent wing spans on the perimeter, making this Boeheim’s best 2-3 zone yet, and that zone is the ideal tool to choke off a Cincinnai team that lacks quality PG play, and is so erratic from the perimeter. Look for the polish and precision of the Orange to pull away from the inconsistent host to get a win much easier than what the markets are projecting.

4* #812 MARYLAND/NORTH CAROLINA Under

A high intensity frenzy as the presses of Gary Williams take on the fast break of Roy Williams? That is how they are pricing this one, but the realities are different. The atmosphere is going to be much different because of the major weekend storm (the Maryland Athletic Department has told all fans to not drive to the game, and will try to fill the arena out by getting more students to attend), and those same storms are also going to create some heavy legs on the floor. But more than anything else, the markets are not reacting well to just how these teams are playing this season.Both North Carolina and Maryland have played seven A.C.C. games, with the Tar Heels playing to an average of 143.3 and the Terrapins 138.9. Neither had played a game that finished higher than 152 in regulation. And that is not going to change in February, with neither side having the kind of depth to play the way that they are accustomed to.Maryland has and eight-player rotation, and it has been all about defense – the Terps are holding conference opponents to 38.8 percent from the field, and 29.8 from 3-point range. That defense has only allowed 73 assists through those seven games, while forcing 109 turnovers, and they can create havoc for a misfiring Carolina offense that is shooting only 42.9 percent in A.C.C. play, and is -25 in assists to TO’s. But while the Tar Heel offensive chemistry may not come together this season, the defense should become a force down the stretch, with those long wingspans all the way around leaving little operating room for the opposition.As for the physical energy of the players, for once we might even see Roy Williams shifting into a lower gear. Friday was supposed to be a day of rest in Chapel Hill after Thursday’s loss at Virginia Tech, but to get ahead of the storm North Carolina traveled to Maryland that same day. Most of Saturday was spent snowed in at a hotel a few miles from the Comcast Center, but they finally managed to get transportation for a light practice late in the afternoon. At least they got to come and go – Gary Williams has slept at the Arena each of the last two nights

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Stan Lisowski

New Orleans

The Saint ground-game has multiple weapons to control tempo of this affair, with each running back, bringing something different to the table for Indy to worry about. One common opponent situation that stands out is the teams’ games against New England, where the Saints clobbered the Pats while the Colts needed a miracle to beat them at home. New Orleans is on an 8-0 spread run against teams from the AFC.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

ATS Lock Club 2/7 Baskeball and Football

5 Indy -4
3 over 56

3 maryland -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Marc Lawrence

100% Perfect Angle Super Bowl Key Play!

Play On: New Orleans

A funny thing happened on the way to the Super Bowl this year – a pair of No.1 seeds actually made it for the first time in 16 years. Thus, it’s only fitting that the two teams who flirted with perfection this season – the Saints started 13-0; the Colts 14-0 – meet in Miami to decide the NFL championship.

The logical place to begin examining this matchup is to look at the engines that drive both highly-productive scoring machines: quarterbacks Manning and Brees. For two signal callers that operate mostly in weatherproof facilities, they both fare quite well playing outdoors. Current NFL MVP Manning has gone 41-22 SU outdoors, including 16-5 SU and 14-7 ATS versus .700 or greater opposition. Those numbers improve to an eye-catching 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when the Colts are a pick or favored. Though Brees has compiled a mediocre 27-24 SU mark away from the Superdome, he does own a 30-17-4 ATS record away outdoors, including 12-2 ATS off back-to-back wins. But when it comes to squaring off against tough competition, the New Orleans QB has rung the ATS register with greater frequency. Brees is 19-5 ATS versus .700 or greater opponents (5-0 SU and ATS this season and 19-2 ATS when his team scores more than 14 points) while Manning has struggled to a 9-17 ATS mark versus comparable foes, including 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS if his adversary is off an ATS loss. Yes, we’re aware that Peyton is 16-0 SU this season in contests where he’s played the entire game. However, seven of those wins came by just 4 or less points.

The Colts own a flawless 5-0 SU and ATS series edge of late over New Orleans but the teams have met only once in the previous six seasons. More revealing is the fact that each team faced five common opponents this season. The Saints went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS, winning the stats by an average +78 YPG while Indy went 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS, losing the stats by an average -12 YPG… thus advantage New Orleans. The boys from the Big Easy look even more impressive when we note their domination of the AFC over the past two seasons: 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS. Those numbers include a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in 2009 with every win coming by double-digits. When matched up against fellow playoff teams from this season, both teams posted identical 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS records. Though technically a ‘rookie’ head coach, Indy’s Jim Caldwell is finishing his eighth year with the franchise and served as assistant head coach to Tony Dungy since the 2005 season. Fourth-year Saints head coach Sean Payton has excelled in today’s role, going 10-4 SU and ATS versus a team off back-to-back wins (5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS if the Saints are also off consecutive wins). Payton is also 5-0 SU and ATS against AFC opposition in games when both teams are off a win in his NFL career. New Orleans has been an underdog only once this season and that was in its final game of the year against Carolina, basically a ‘lay down’ affair where Payton rested many key players.

Indianapolis will have to buck some strong trends if they expect cash as favorites. Super Bowl chalk of 7 or less points has gone 6-11-1 ATS, including 5-7 SU and 2-9-1 ATS when playing off back-to-back home games. In fact, the last 14 Super Bowls have seen the favorite go 10-4 SU but just 4-8-2 ATS. And if the Colts are held to their season average of 26 points, it could be lights out for Indy: the last fifteen favorites to score 30 or less points are 2-13-1 ATS!

Of course, we can’t end the discussion without offering up one of our INCREDIBLE STATS: Since 1995 there have been seven Super Bowl games when one team rushed the ball for 4.0 or more YPR (Saints) on the season versus an opponent that allowed 4.0 or more YPR (Colts). The favorite in these games is 0-4-1 ATS; the underdog is 2-0 ATS – winning both games in straight-up fashion – as double-digit dogs, no less! Our database adds further support by pointing out the NFC teams are 18-11 SU and 17-10-2 ATS in the Super Bowl since 1980, including 7-1-1 ATS versus .800 or greater opponents.

The bottom line is laying points with a team that owns as many holes as the Colts is a recipe for disaster. We recommend a 3-unit play on New Orleans.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-7-10

Budin 25 dime
Indy.