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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under":
Coming off another outstanding performance, Evan Turner looks to lead the 13th-ranked Buckeyes to an eighth straight Big Ten victory Wednesday night as they visit the struggling Hoosiers.
Turner is averaging 26.0 points on 58.8 percent shooting with 6.7 rebounds and 6.3 assists in his last three games, and Ohio State coach Thad Matta doesnβt believe there is anyone playing better.
βIf thereβs one out there better than him, then I look forward to seeing him,β Matta said. βBecause heβs playing really well right now.β
It's important to point out though that Ohio State has seen the total go "under" the posted number in six of ten vs. conference opponents this season and in four of six when playing against a team with a losing record.
On the other side of the court: Indiana (9-13, 3-7) is in the midst of its second straight rebuilding season under coach Tom Crean.
The Hoosiers dropped their fourth in a row Sunday with a 78-61 loss at Northwestern, and snapping this skid isnβt going to be easy.
After this game, Indiana visits No. 11 Wisconsin on Saturday followed by a home game against 10th-ranked Michigan State on Tuesday. The Hoosiers have played two games against ranked teams this season and have dropped 11 straight to Top 25 opponents since a 77-68 win over then-No. 14 Purdue on Feb. 19, 2008.
A sputtering offense is one of the big reasons the Hoosiers have had so much trouble. They shot 35.3 percent Sunday and are averaging 62.3 points on 38.0 percent shooting during their skid. Against Ohio State last month, Indiana shot 34.0 percent and was 4 of 18 from 3-point range.
Bottom line: When taking all of the above into account, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!
While Nebraska claims the spot as one of the best defenses in the Big 12, the last 5 games they have allowed 67 pgg, the same total as Baylor in their last 5 games. NU is 1-7 straight up their last 8 games, and in their last 5 games have managed 59 ppg on offense. Do the math. Baylor can light it up, are simply a far better team and explosive at times on offense. Baylor off a brutal loss at Texas AM on Saturday, I do not see them losing 2 in a row here against the worst team in the Big 12, even on the road. Play 2 Units on Baylor.
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