2-17-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-10

Sean Michaels Wednesday's Play 25 DIME PLAY

Phoenix Suns

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-10

Karl Garrett 30 DIMER - VIRGINIA CAVALIERS.....10 DIMER - DETROIT TITANS 30 DIMER - VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

Time to see how Tony Bennett's Cavaliers respond to a little adversity, as Virginia is on a 3 game losing streak, and they have also dropped 5 of their last 7 overall.

The good news is, the Wahoos are 11-3 straight up at home this year, and I would say they are "due" for a win tonight.

Florida State has made most of their bones at home this season, on the road, the Seminoles are just 2-5 straight up their last 7 "true" road games. State is also on a 2-8 spread slide their last 10 lined games.

Virginia is in "triple revenge", and have lost 6 of the last 7 series meetings overall.

Have to believe tonight is the night UVa steps up and delivers a solid showing to get off both the series schneid, and their overall schneid.

Take the Cavs.

10 DIMER - DETROIT TITANS

Gotta take the points with the Titans even though they come into this game having lost 6 of their last 9. I expect Detroit to compete hard tonight, and keep this game respectable.

Wright State ain't exactly tearing it up against the spread of late, as the Raiders may have won 6 of their last 7 games, BUT are on a dismal 2-7-2 spread run their last 11 games.

The Raiders are on an 8 game series winning streak, but the first meeting this season was a 61-59 nailbiter that I am sure the Titans would like to avenge. The road team is 5-1-3 against the spread the last 9 series meetings, and the Titans are also a solid 8-2 against the spread their last 10 road games overall.

Take the generous impost, as this one stays close for a 2nd time this year.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-10

SCOTT DELANEY

Wednesday winner ...
50-Dime NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS ... It's nice to talk the one-game-at-a-time talk, but right now, the Wildcats need to embrace the season - the remainder of it - for what it's worth; and that would be a berth into the Big Dance.

There's no doubt Northwestern has to make a final push in its final five conference games, winning bare minimum four of them, if not them all. Clearly sitting at 6-7 in Big 10 play, the Wildcats have to win as many games as they can if they plan on receiving an invite to the big ball.

Putting their minds to it, the Wildcats are fully capable, as they were 11-1 in non-conference action. They've got tough chores against Penn State and Indiana remaining, they'll have to visit Madison to take on Wisconsin, and then there's the two gimmes: Penn State and Iowa.

And if there is one coach I am sure has been stressing the importance of winning the "gimmes," it's Bill Carmody. He is well aware the Big Ten's league RPI is just sixth, so a 10-8 conference record may not even be good enough ... even if the Wildcats were to finish 21-9 before playing in the Big 10 tournament.

Northwestern is in after rallying from a 13-point deficit to beat Minnesota in overtime on Sunday, so momentum should be riding high with this team.

But enough about why to play on Northwestern, what about the opponent?

The Nittany Lions are 8-16 on the season, and sport a 1-7 road mark. They've also won two straight over Northwestern, and six of the last seven meetings. They've covered all seven of those games.

Nonetheless, I'm not scared - thus my Revenge Game title.

After all, Penn State has lost 12 in a row - all of them being in Big 10 play. Of the team's eight wins, they include victories over teams like: Robert Morris, Sacred Heart, Virginia, Maryland-Baltimore Country, Gardner Webb and American U.

Checking the betting numbers, the Lions are mired in ATS slides of 9-21 when catching points in this range, 1-8 when catching points in this range on the road and 0-4 after losing by double digits at home.

On the flipside, the Wildcats are on a plethora of ATS streaks, including 5-0 at home, 4-0 as the home chalk, 4-1 off an ATS cover, 8-2 when catching points in this range, 9-3 oss a straight-up win and 6-1 overall - all in Big 10 play.

Northwestern is going to win this by at least a dozen!

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

PICK 'N' ROLL

Today's best NBA bets

San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers

San Antonio is either a washed-up group of has-beens or a sleeping giant in the West depending on who you ask. The Spurs disappointed their backers for most of the season and were unable to find any type of rhythm.

Small forward Richard Jefferson hasn’t fit in well and Manu Ginobili doesn’t have the same type of explosiveness he displayed during the Spurs’ championship years. But some are suggesting that San Antonio’s last game before the break, a 19-point win at Denver, could be the beginning of a surge from coach Gregg Popovich’s club.

“It was big,” reserve guard Roger Mason Jr. told the Associated Press after defeating the Nuggets. “We’ve been struggling with our consistency. It lets us know how good we can be.”

The All-Star break should do wonders for a well-aged squad like the Spurs. Look for them, with or without starting point guard Tony Parker, to embarrass the Pacers.

Pick: Spurs


Memphis Grizzlies at Toronto Raptors (-7, 215)

Two teams enter this game looking for different things in the second half. The Grizz hope to squash a recent seven-game skid where they went 1-6 straight up and against the spread.

The Raptors, on the other hand, look to extend their three-game win streak. Toronto was playing its best basketball of the season before the break, winning eight of nine and covering in six of those contests.

But don’t let the recent numbers fool you. Memphis is a much better team than Toronto. The Grizz face difficult opposition almost every night while the Raps have the benefit of playing teams like New Jersey, New York and Indiana more often.

Toronto always plays better at home but the layoff should have this team thinking too highly of itself.

Pick: Grizzlies

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

5* Czech Republic -1 ( -110 ) (HIGH ROLLER) Olympic Men's Hockey
4* Atlanta -5 Buying .5 pt (HIGH ROLLER) NBA
3* Finland -2.5 (GOLD KEY) Olympic Men's Hockey
3* UNLV -3 (VEGAS INFORMER) CBB

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

Arthur Ralph Sports
400 - 283 run 59 %

Free Play 20-10 run:WED Over 218 Mavs/Suns

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

CAPPERS ACCESS

Purdue
Missouri

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 17

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(4) Purdue (21-3, 11-12-1 ATS) at (9) Ohio State (20-6, 13-13 ATS)
Two surging teams, both in contention for the Big Ten regular-season title, square off when the Buckeyes host Purdue at Value City Arena.
Ohio State has won six in a row (3-3 ATS) since falling at Big East power West Virginia on Jan. 23. The Buckeyes are coming off a pair of road routs, dumping Indiana 69-52 last Wednesday as a 10½-point favorite, then cooling off Illinois 72-53 Saturday as a two-point chalk. In fact, OSU has won its last five games by double digits, averaging 73.8 ppg on sterling 51.9 percent shooting, while allowing just 57.6 ppg on 41.9 percent shooting.
Purdue’s three losses came back-to-back-to-back from Jan. 9-16, but it has since notched seven consecutive wins (4-3 ATS), including a 63-40 defensive gem against Iowa on Saturday, cashing as a huge 19½-point home favorite. The Boilermakers held the Hawkeyes to just 29.8 percent shooting (14 of 47). Over the past five games, Purdue has outscored opponents by 12.4 ppg (68.6.-56.4), shooting 48.2 percent from the field and allowing just 36 percent shooting.
Ohio State dealt Purdue the second of its three losses, rallying for a 70-65 victory as a nine-point road pup in West Lafayette on Jan. 12 to cash for the third time in the last four series meetings. The Buckeyes have owned this rivalry lately, going 14-4-1 ATS in the last 19 clashes, including 6-2-1 ATS in Columbus. The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
The Buckeyes are on ATS surges of 5-1 against winning teams and 4-1 at home against teams with a winning road record. Conversely, the Boilermakers are in ATS ruts of 4-12-1 following a spread-cover, 2-5 against winning teams and 16-36-2 in Wednesday outings.
The over is 8-3 in Ohio State’s last 11 games following an spread-cover and 6-0 at home against teams with a winning road record, and Purdue is on “over” runs of 5-0 on the highway and 21-6 in roadies against teams with a winning home mark. However, the under is 13-6 in Ohio State’s last 19 Big Ten starts and 5-2 in the Boilermakers’ last seven on Wednesday.


ATS ADVANTAGE: OHIO STATE


(6) Duke (21-4, 16-8 ATS) at Miami, Fla. (17-8, 9-7-1 ATS)
The Blue Devils, in pursuit of their fifth consecutive win, head to South Beach for an ACC contest with Miami at the BankUnited Center.
Duke has won four in a row and six of its last seven (5-2 ATS), with all the victories coming in conference play, including Saturday’s 77-56 wipeout of Maryland as a 9½-point home chalk. Five of those six wins have come by double digits, and for the season, the Blue Devils are averaging 80.5 ppg (12th in the nation) while allowing 62.3 ppg. They also have one of the stingiest perimeter defenses, allowing opponents to make just 27.8 percent of their shots from beyond the three-point arc (fourth).
After a torrid 15-1 start, the Hurricanes have gone 2-7 SU in its last nine games (3-5-1 ATS). On Saturday, Miami went to Clemson and lost 74-66 but got the cash as a 9½-point pup. On the year, the ‘Canes have averaged 71.6 ppg, but it has scored 66 or less in its last four games and seven of its last nine. That said, six of those seven were on the road; at home, the Hurricanes average 75 ppg while allowing just 60.0.
The home team has won the last three meetings in this rivalry, with Miami going 2-0-1 ATS. Last February, Duke eked out a 78-75 overtime win, but the Hurricanes covered as a hefty 14-point underdog, and two years ago in Miami, the ‘Canes won a 96-95 shootout catching 6½ points. Miami is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings, all as a ‘dog, and the road team is also on a 3-1-1 ATS run.
The Blue Devils are on ATS upswings of 10-4 overall, 5-1 in the ACC, 4-1 on Wednesday and 10-4 against winning teams. The Hurricanes are on a modest 3-1-1 ATS run overall (all in the ACC and all against winning teams), but they are also on a 1-5-1 ATS skid following a pointspread win.
Both Duke and Miami have topped the total in six straight games against winning teams. However, the Blue Devils are on “under” streaks of 5-2 overall, 4-1 after a SU win, 12-4 on Wednesday, 25-9 in conference play and 24-10 after a spread-cover. The under is also 7-3 in Miami’s last 10 home games and 5-0 in its last five after an ATS victory. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in the last six clashes overall.


ATS ADVANTAGE: DUKE and OVER


(15) Texas (20-5, 9-12 ATS) at Missouri (18-7, 11-8 ATS)
Texas, aiming to regain some consistency, makes the trek to Columbia for a Big 12 battle with the Tigers at Mizzou Arena.
Since starting the season 17-0 and ascending to No. 1 in the country, the Longhorns have lost five of their last eight games and gone just 2-6 ATS in that stretch. On Saturday, though, they blasted Nebraska 91-51 as a 14-point home favorite to end a 1-3 SU and ATS skid. Rick Barnes’ troops are narrowly outscoring road opponents, averaging 77.4 ppg and giving up 75.1.
Missouri put together a nine-game winning streak to firm up its record by mid-January, but has since gone a middling 4-4 SU and ATS, all in Big 12 play. On Saturday at Baylor, the Tigers fell just short 64-62, but covered as a four-point pup. Mizzou is 15-1 at home this year, averaging a whopping 85.6 ppg on 48.5 percent shooting, while allowing just 61.7 ppg on 38.3 percent shooting.
Missouri has gone 2-0 SU and ATS the past two seasons against Texas, winning 69-65 last year as a 4½-point road ‘dog and 97-84 two years ago as a one-point home pup. Those two wins followed an 8-0 SU and ATS tear by the Longhorns, who are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 clashes overall and 4-1 ATS on their last five trips to Columbia. The chalk has covered in five of the last seven in this rivalry.
The Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven starts following a spread-cover, but their pointspread streaks spiral downward from there, including 2-10 overall, 1-6 on the road, 0-7 after a SU win, 1-5 on Wednesday, 2-9 against winning teams and 6-19-1 in the Big 12. On the flip side, the Tigers are on ATS surges of 22-8 at home, 16-7 in the Big 12 and 4-0 after a SU loss, though they are in an 0-4 ATS funk following a spread-cover.
Texas is on a bundle of “over” runs, including 5-2 overall, 8-2 after a spread-cover, 5-2 after a SU win and 6-2 on the highway, but the under for the ‘Horns is on a 5-1-1 stretch against winning teams. The under for Mizzou is on upticks 5-1-1 against winning teams, 5-1 at home against teams with a winning road record and 9-4 in Big 12 competition, but the Tigers sport “over” streaks of 4-1 on Wednesday and 4-1 following a SU loss.
Finally, in this rivalry, the under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSOURI


NBA

Utah (33-19, 31-18-3 ATS) at New Orleans (28-25, 26-27 ATS)
The Hornets return to the court for the first time in a week when they entertain the red-hot Jazz in a Western Conference battle at New Orleans Arena.
Utah kicked off a four-game Western Conference road trip with Tuesday’s 104-95 win at Houston as a three-point road favorite. The Jazz are 15-3 in their last 18 games, going 13-2-3 ATS, and during this stretch they’re 5-2 on the road (6-0-1 ATS). Utah’s offense has been humming, as it has scored more than 100 points in 14 of its last 16 games, tallying 109 or more nine times.
New Orleans went into the All-Star break on a high note, rallying for a 93-85 win over the Celtics as a five-point home underdog, the team’s third straight spread cover. However, the Hornets – who continue to play without injured All-Star point guard Chris Paul, are just 3-5 SU in their last eight games, including 1-4 SU and ATS at home.
New Orleans ended a four-game SU and ATS losing streak to the Jazz with a 91-87 upset win as a 7½-point road favorite back on Jan. 4 in Salt Lake City (the only previous battle this season). Utah is still 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including consecutive wins and covers in its last two trips to the Big Easy.
Utah is on a slew of positive pointspread surges, including 13-2-3 overall, 7-0-1 on the highway, 10-2-2 as a favorite, 20-6-1 as a chalk of less than five points, 6-1 as a road chalk of five points or less, 10-2-2 against Western Conference foes, 37-17 against the Southwest Division, 16-5-3 versus winning teams, 4-1 on Wednesday and 4-1-1 when playing on back-to-back nights.
New Orleans has cashed in five of its last seven on Wednesday and 16 of its last 21 versus winning teams, but it is in pointspread slumps of 1-6 at home, 5-13 against Northwest Division squads and 0-5 when coming off three or more days of rest.
The Jazz are on “over” surges of 5-1 on the road, 4-1-1 as a road favorite, 8-4 against the Western Conference, 5-1 on Wednesday and 5-2 when playing on consecutive days. Similarly, New Orleans carries “over” streaks of 9-2 overall, 5-1 against the Western Conference, 4-1 on Wednesday and 6-1-1 after three or more days off. However, the Hornets have also stayed low in 27 of their last 40 home games and 10 of 13 against Northwest Division opponents.
Finally, the under is on a 6-2-1 roll in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH


Phoenix (32-22, 29-25 ATS) at Dallas (32-21, 21-32 ATS)
The Mavericks, who have covered just one pointspread at home since Nov. 18, welcome the streaking Suns to American Airlines Center as these conference rivals clash for the third and final time this season.
Phoenix returned from the All-Star break on Tuesday and scored a 109-95 victory at Memphis in a pick-em contest. The Suns are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games, during which they’ve won and covered five straight road games. Phoenix’s current runs follows a 3-8 SU and 2-9 ATS slump (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS on the road).
Dallas also resumed play on Tuesday, ending a three-game road trip with a 99-86 loss at Oklahoma City as a 4½-point road underdog. The Mavericks have lost six of their last eight games, and they’ve failed to cover in eight of their last nine contests and 20 of their last 27. During its 2-6 overall funk, Dallas is 2-2 at home (0-4 ATS).
The Suns ended a three-game losing streak to the Mavs with a 112-106 home win as a two-point favorite back on Jan. 28. Phoenix also got the money in a 102-101 loss in Dallas as a 4½-point underdog on Dec. 8, the first meeting of the season between these squads.
Phoenix is on ATS upticks of 6-1 overall (all against the Western Conference), 5-0 on the highway, 5-1 against winning teams, 4-1 versus the Southwest Division and 7-3 as an underdog of less than five points, but the Suns have come up short in seven of their last 10 when playing on no rest.
Although the Mavs have won 15 of their 23 home games, they’re just 5-19 ATS, including 10 straight non-covers. Going back further, they’ve cashed just once in their last 18 games at American Airlines Center, going 0-17 ATS as a home favorite. Additionally, Dallas is in pointspread freefalls of 7-20 overall (1-8 last nine), 7-20 against Western Conference teams, 1-4 versus the Pacific Division, 0-5 against winning teams and 2-6 when playing on back-to-back nights.
The under is on runs of 5-0 for Phoenix overall and 4-0 for the Mavs on Wednesday. From there, however, the Suns are on “over” streaks of 6-2 against the Southwest Division, 5-2 versus winning teams, 28-12 on Wednesday, 13-6 when going on back-to-back days and 5-1 as an underdog of less than five points. Also, Dallas is on “over” surges of 7-3 overall, 4-1 at home, 9-4 against the Western Conference, 5-2 versus winning teams, 5-1 as a favorite and 7-3 when playing on no rest.
Lastly, five of the last six Suns-Mavericks clashes have hurdled the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHOENIX and OVER

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

Insider Sports Report

4* southern miss
4* ball state
3* northwestern

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

JAMES JONES-ODDSWORTHBETTING

Total Edge System Plays

Detroit Pistons & Orlando Magic under 191 7:00 PM EST.

Miami Heat & New Jersey Nets over 187 7:30 PM EST

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

TRENT CITRON

10 units La Tech
8 units South Carolina
8 units UAB
6 units Memphis
6 units Purdue

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

PITTVIPER

NBA: Orlando -12

CBK: Ball State PK

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

GAMBLERS DATA

Olympic Hockey 3-0-1
Finland-2.5

BYU-8.5 5*
Utah.St-11 5*
UNLV-3 4*

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

BIGSLICKBETS
Today's Rated Plays :

3* Ball St +1
3* Texas/ Mizzu under 154.5
3* Ill St. -4.5
3* Hornets +4
3* Utah + 3.5
2* Nets +7
2* So. Miss pk

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-17-10

NBA DUNKEL

Detroit at Orlando
The Magic look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is coming off a 108-85 win over Minnesota and is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win by 10 or more points. Orlando is the pick (-11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 20. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-11 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 17

Game 701-702: Memphis at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.622; Toronto 120.940
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 215
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7); Under

Game 703-704: Minnesota at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 110.696; Washington 116.215
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: San Antonio at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.520; Indiana 114.792
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Detroit at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 107.545; Orlando 127.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 20; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 11 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-11 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Chicago at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.602; New York 117.199
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Miami at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.022; New Jersey 112.917
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 186
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+7); Under

Game 713-714: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.776; Milwaukee 120.399
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Utah at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 122.837; New Orleans 122.150
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Phoenix at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.708; Dallas 124.769
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 217 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Sacramento at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.264; Golden State 114.489
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 225
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 721-722: Atlanta at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.105; LA Clippers 111.155
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5 1/2); Under