2-26-10

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

CapTheTrap 2/26

NCAAB
5* Loyala Maryland -4
3* Cornell -11

NBA
2* Rockets +3

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Re: 2-26-10

Don Wallace Sports

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NBA
4* Chicago -3.5 over Portland

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Charlotte Bobcats at Memphis Grizzlies (-3.5, 193.5)

"We're losing momentum, we're losing chemistry, and a lot of things have to change fast.''

That’s what Bobcats forward Gerald Wallace told reporters after Charlotte fell 102-93 to the Utah Jazz. The setback was the Cats’ third straight loss and seventh in their last 10 games. Charlotte is just 1-7 against the spread its last eight games.

Larry Brown’s boys seemed like a playoff lock before the All-Star break but now they find themselves on the outside looking in.

"I think everyone is in a different place from each other,” Wallace told the Charlotte Observer. "It's no longer 'team this' or 'team that,' it's 'I this' and 'I that.’”

Memphis doesn’t share the same type of problem. Look for the Grizzlies to add to Charlotte’s pain.

Pick: Grizzlies


Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns (-10, 208)

The Suns are one of the hottest teams in the league. They’re 10-2 straight up and against the spread over their last 12 games with wins over Dallas, Denver and Atlanta highlighting the hot streak.

“I like everything on the stat sheet,” Phoenix coach Alvin Gentry told the Arizona Republic following a 106-95 win over the 76ers on Wednesday.

Giving veteran point guard Steve Nash a game off to rest his back this week proved to be a great decision. Not only did Nash play great in his first game back, reserve guard Goran Dragic had a chance to shine. Dragic guided the Suns to a 104-102 win over the Thunder while collecting 16 points and 10 assists.

"Goran did a great job of running the team and finding guys," Gentry said after the game. "He doesn't try to be Steve or play the way Steve plays. He just tries to be himself. That's helped him as much as anything. You can't be Steve."

It’s tough finding value fading the Clippers. The under looks like the better play. Phoenix has played below the total in nine of its last 10 games.

Pick: Under

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Re: 2-26-10

Arthur Ralph Sports
403 - 289 run 59 %

Free Play Fri WEBER ST -5

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Re: 2-26-10

SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 26

NBA

Dallas (37-21, 24-34 ATS) at Atlanta (36-20, 34-22 ATS)
The Mavericks try to run their winning streak to six when they visit Philips Arena for a showdown with the Hawks.
After losing its first game after the All-Star break, Dallas has rattled off five straight wins (3-2 ATS), including a 101-96 victory over the Lakers on Wednesday, cashing as a 1½-point home favorite. Dirk Nowitzki led the charge for the Mavericks with 31 points and nine rebounds as they beat Los Angeles without the services of newcomer Caron Butler, who missed the contest with an illness.
Atlanta comes in riding a two-game winning streak (1-1 ATS) after losing three of four (SU and ATS). The Hawks edged the Timberwolves on Wednesday 98-92, coming up well short as 12-point home favorites. Josh Smith had a huge game for the Hawks with 27 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. Atlanta is 22-6 in front of the home crowd, cashing in 18 of those 28 contests.
Back on Dec. 5, the Hawks went to Dallas and scored an 80-75 upset as 5½-point underdogs. They’ve now won two straight over the Mavs, including last year’s 95-87 home win as a five-point favorite. Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 series clashes, including 5-1 ATS at home.
Dallas has been a disaster at the betting window lately, currently on pointspread skids of 6-16 overall, 1-4 as a ‘dog, 8-20 after a straight-up win, 3-12 after getting one day off, 3-13 after a spread-cover and 2-7 against Southeast Division teams. Atlanta is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after a straight-up win, but is otherwise on positive ATS streaks of 29-14-1 as a home favorite, 13-5 after a non-cover and 4-1 against Southwest Division squads.
The Mavericks have stayed below the total in 11 of 16 against Southeast Division teams, but topped the total in five of seven on Fridays, six of eight after a straight-up win and seven of 10 as a road ‘dog of up to 4½ points. Meanwhile, the Hawks are on “under” streaks of 4-0 after a day off, 12-3-1 after a straight-up win and 8-3 as a home favorite of up to 4½-points. In this series, the “under” has been the play in each of the last four.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA and UNDER


Cleveland (45-14, 29-29-1 ATS) at Toronto (31-25, 28-28 ATS)
The Cavaliers used a huge second half to blow out the Celtics on Thursday night and now turn around and head north of the border to take on the Raptors inside the Air Canada Centre in Toronto.
Cleveland outscored Boston 60-32 in the second half to score a 108-88 victory Thursday, cashing as a 2½-point road favorite to halt an 0-4 ATS slide. LeBron James led the way with 36 points, seven rebounds and nine assists. Thursday’s result aside, it’s been a tough second half of the season for the Cavs, who lost three straight after the All-Star break (SU and ATS) and who’ve failed to cash in six of eight overall.
The Raptors had won five of six overall (3-3 ATS) before losing at home to Portland on Wednesday, falling 101-87 as a three-point home favorite. With All-Star Chris Bosh sidelined with an injury, Hedo Turkoglu had 24 points for Toronto, but it couldn’t stop the Blazers who shot 42-of-85 from the field. Still, the Raptors are 21-8 at home this season, cashing in 16 of those 29 contests.
Both squads could be without their big men tonight, as Bosh remains questionable while Cleveland’s Shaquille O’Neal left last night’s game in Boston with a thumb injury and didn’t return.
The home team has won both meetings between these two this season, including an Oct. 28 game in Toronto when the Raptors scored a 101-91 victory as seven-point home pups. Cleveland got revenge on Jan. 19, prevailing 108-100 but came up short as 10-point favorites. The Cavs have won eight of the last 10 clashes (6-4 ATS) and cashed in 10 of the last 14 meetings in Toronto.
Cleveland is on ATS slides of 1-4 overall, 1-4 against Atlantic Division teams and 0-4 on the second night of a back-to-back. The Raptors are just 11-27-1 ATS at home against teams with winning road marks, but they are on positive ATS runs of 13-6 against Central Division teams, 7-3 after getting a day off and 4-1 on Friday.
The Cavaliers have topped the total in five of six against Atlantic Division teams and six of nine overall, but they have stayed “under” the number in eight of 11 Friday games and five of eight against winning teams. Toronto is on “under” runs of 4-1 overall, 6-2 at home against teams with winning road records and 8-3 against teams with winning records, but it has gone over the total in 17 of 23 against the Eastern Conference.
In this series, the under is 6-2 in the last eight overall and 13-3-1 in the last 17 played in Canada.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Orlando (39-19, 30-27-1 ATS) at New Orleans (30-28, 29-29 ATS)
The Magic head to New Orleans Arena looking to hand the Hornets their third straight loss and seventh in their last 11 contests.
Orlando has won two in a row (SU and ATS) and seven of their last 10 (6-4 ATS). On, Wednesday the Magic clobbered the Rockets in Houston 110-92, easily cashing as 4½-point road favorites. Dwight Howard delivered a big game, going 11-of-11 from the field for 30 points and pulling down 16 rebounds.
Even though they have dropped two straight, the Hornets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight. However, they’re coming off Wednesday’s ugly 115-95 loss in Milwaukee as six-point underdogs. They were outrebounded by nine and allowed the Bucks to shoot 52.2 percent from the floor.
The home team has won the last three meetings between these two, including a Feb. 8 contest in Orlando when the Magic eked out a 123-117 win, but came up short as 9½-point favorites. The Hornets are 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Magic. In this series, the road team is on an 11-4-1 ATS run while the underdog has cashed in nine of the last 12.
Orlando is on ATS streaks of 4-1 on the road, 4-1 as a favorite and 5-1 after getting a day off, but it is on ATS skids of 1-4 on Fridays, 2-5-1 against Western Conference teams and 1-4 after a spread-cover. New Orleans comes into tonight’s contest just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 at home and 3-13 ATS in its last 16 on Fridays, but riding positive ATS streaks of 5-0 after getting one day off, 23-7 at home against teams with winning road records, 6-2 as a home pup and 18-6 against teams with winning records.
The Magic are on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 9-3 overall, 23-9 on the road, 21-8 against Western Conference teams, 41-18 after getting a day off and 13-3 on Friday. The Hornets have topped the total in six straight after a non-cover, seven of 10 as an underdog and 11 of 16 overall, but they are on “under” runs of 29-14 at home and 20-8-1 as a home pup.
Finally, in this series, the under has been the play in nine of the last 12 meetings, including five of six in the Bayou.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(15) Butler (25-4, 12-17 ATS) at Valparaiso (15-15, 16-9-1 ATS)
Butler, which has already wrapped up the Horizon League regular-season championship, looks to finish off a perfect conference season when it travels to Valparaiso.
The Bulldogs ran their overall winning streak to 17 in a row with Saturday’s 70-53 rout of Siena in a “Bracket Buster” contest, easily covering as a nine-point home favorite. Butler started conference play with an 84-67 rout of Valpo on Dec. 5 (coming up just short of covering as an 18-point favorite), then split four non-conference contests before resuming Horizon League action on New Year’s Eve and ripping off 16 straight wins. Including the non-conference victory over Siena, Butler has held five straight opponents under 60 points, giving up an average of just 54.2 ppg during this stretch.
Of Butler’s 17 Horizon League victories, 13 have come by double digits, including the last six in a row. Despite that, the Bulldogs are just 7-10 ATS in conference play, including 4-5 ATS on the road.
The Crusaders went to Bowling Green for a “Bracket Buster” contest on Saturday and got drilled 87-70 as a two-point road underdog. Prior to that, Valparaiso had been on a 9-3 SU and ATS run (all in conference action). The Crusaders are tied for third place in the Horizon League at 10-7, but unlike Butler, they’ve been money against league rivals, going 12-4-1 ATS. They’re also 9-2 SU and 6-3 ATS at home this season.
Butler has won all seven meetings since these teams became Horizon League members in 2005-06, including three victories at Valpo by margins of 13, 3 and 13 points. However, the Crusaders are 3-1-1 ATS in lined action in this rivalry, cashing in the last two meetings (both at Butler). The visitor is 4-0-1 ATS in the five lined contests.
The Bulldogs have failed to cover in five of their last seven league games and eight of nine when coming off an ATS win, but they’re 11-3 ATS in their last 14 on Friday. Meanwhile, Valpo is on pointspread surges of 9-3 overall, 4-1 at home, 9-2 in Horizon League action, 7-1-1 after a non-cover, 7-1-1 against winning teams and 4-1-1 on Friday.
Butler has topped the total in four of its last five road games and four straight Friday contests, while the Crusaders are on “over” runs of 21-8-1 overall, 5-0-1 at home, 16-5-1 in the Horizon League, 5-2 on Friday and 4-0 after a non-cover. Finally, the over is 4-1 in the five lined meetings between these squads.

ATS ADVANTAGE: VALPARAISO and OVER

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

RedZone Sports (a/k/a Jr. O'Donnell)

free internet play (8-1 last 9): New Orleans Hornets (NBA)

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Re: 2-26-10

Insider sports report 2/26
St. Peters 4*
Portland 3*

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Re: 2-26-10

CAPPERS ACCESS

Hornets
Clippers

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Wofford (-9-1/2) Thursday night.

Today it's Finland, Cornell and the Knicks. The deficit is 255 sirignanos.

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

GAMBLERS DATA
Utah Jazz -7.5

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

Golden contender

Niagara vs. Manhattan
Play: Niagara -3

Niagara already owns an easy 24 point victory vs Mnahattan this year. In fact the last 3 games between these 2 teams have all been blowout wins for the Purple Aces all by at least 19 points. Tonight we note that Niagara is 10-1 since 1997 in road games when the total is 135 to 140 and they have won 16 of 21 games the last 3 years in February. As a road favorite of 3 or less they have won and coverd 7 of 10 times. Manhattan is just 1-6 straight up and against the spread as a home dog of 3 or less the past 3 years and are 3-12 and 5-10 vs winning teams. Look for Niagara to win and cover here once again.

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

NBA DUNKEL


San Antonio at Houston
The Spurs look to take advantage of a Houston team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog from 1 to 4 1/2 points. San Antonio is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 26

Game 801-802: Cleveland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.342; Toronto 115.803
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: New York at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.954; Washington 110.256
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2; 205
Dunkel Pick: New York (+2); Under

Game 805-806: Orlando at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 124.625; New Orleans 115.080
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 4 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-4 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Minnesota at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.520; Oklahoma City 120.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Dallas at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.531; Atlanta 120.538
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 195
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Over

Game 811-812: Portland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.656; Chicago 125.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Charlotte at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 112.841; Memphis 118.852
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 194
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3); Under

Game 815-816: San Antonio at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.520; Houston 114.852
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 196
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3); Under

Game 817-818: Detroit at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.202; Denver 122.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 10; 201
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+10); Under

Game 819-820: Utah at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 121.477; Sacramento 117.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 7 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2); Under

Game 821-822: LA Clippers at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 111.166; Phoenix 118.554
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+9 1/2); Over

Game 823-824: Philadelphia at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 118.177; LA Lakers 126.132
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+11); Over

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

NCAAB DUNKEL


Iona at Fairfield
The Gaels look to take advantage of a Fairfield team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games as a home favorite. Iona is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Gaels favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Iona (+3). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 26

Game 825-826: Yale at Dartmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 48.042; Dartmouth 41.727
Dunkel Line: Yale by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Yale by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (-3 1/2)

Game 827-828: Princeton at Cornell
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 56.841; Cornell 63.847
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 7
Vegas Line: Cornell by 11
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (+11)

Game 829-830: Pennsylvania at Columbia
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 43.159; Columbia 48.058
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 5
Vegas Line: Columbia by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-3 1/2)

Game 831-832: Brown at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 47.753; Harvard 59.454
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+15 1/2)

Game 833-834: Butler at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 68.116; Valparaiso 56.113
Dunkel Line: Butler by 12
Vegas Line: Butler by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-8 1/2)

Game 835-836: Siena at Rider
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 63.378; Rider 55.109
Dunkel Line: Siena by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Siena by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-6 1/2)

Game 837-838: Canisius at Loyola-MD
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 49.485; Loyola-MD 55.614
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 6
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 4
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-4)

Game 839-840: Iona at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 57.329; Fairfield 55.139
Dunkel Line: Iona by 2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 3
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+3)

Game 841-842: Niagara at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 56.983; Manhattan 49.416
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Niagara by 3
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-3)

Game 843-844: St. Peter's at Marist
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 52.009; Marist 44.972
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 7
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 9
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+9)

Game 845-846: Idaho State at Portland State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 43.451; Portland State 54.772
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-8 1/2)

Game 847-848: Northern Arizona at Sacramento State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 49.209; Sacramento State 43.056
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 6
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-2)

Game 849-850: Weber State at Eastern Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 55.400; Eastern Washington 51.980
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+5 1/2)

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

C-Star Sports

5000 Units Phoenix minus the points over Clippers
1000 Units Portland plus the points over Chicago
1000 Units Minnesota/Oklahoma over the total

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

DON BEST STEAM

10:09:39am 2010-02-26 816 Houston Over 197
9:46:25am 2010-02-26 818 Denver Over 201½
8:56:42am 2010-02-26 824 LA Lakers Over 197½
8:39:28am 2010-02-26 802 Toronto Over 203
8:29:31am 2010-02-26 804 Washington Over 205