2-26-10

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

KEVIN ROGERS

Utah at Sacramento
Pick: Utah -7

I have never been much of a proponent of laying a lot of points on the road, but in this case, there is no way to back the Kings. Sacramento has completely packed it in, and to go along with internal strife, there is no value in this team. The Kings covered the first two meetings against the Jazz this season, but that doesn't mean much now. In the last meeting in Salt Lake, the Jazz beat the Kings by seven, as both Deron Williams and Carlos Boozer were both out. Also, Kevin Martin scored 33 points for Sacramento as the Kings cashed as eight-point 'dogs. Martin is in Houston now, while Williams and Boozer are back in the lineup for this meeting. The Kings have scored 88, 89, and 89 points in the three losses since Martin was dealt, while losing each game by double-digits. Utah is 10-0-1 ATS the last 11 games on the road, while going 5-0 SU/ATS the last five as a road favorite. The Jazz are cruising right now while the Kings are trying to get this disastrous season over with. I'll lay the points with Utah.

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

Diceituponline - Fireman's CBB Plays

Brown +16 = 5 Dimes
Princeton +11 = 5 Dimes

Rider +6 = 5 Dimes

Columbia -3 = 5 Dimes

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

Canada-2

Weber-5.5 5*

Siena-6 4* Looking for payback.

Niagara-3.5 4*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-26-10

Analyst: Jack Burnet
25,000 Dime Underdog Trio


25,000 Dime Valparaiso

25,000 Dime Knicks

25,000 Dime 76ers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-26-10

King Creole | NBA Total Fri, 02/26/10 - 10:35 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 823 PHI / 824 LAL Under 199.5 BetUS
Analysis: 10:30pm ET / Philadelphia 76ers @ Los Angeles Lakers
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

We'll got to the very LAST game on the Friday schedule for tonight's 'UNDER" of the DAY in the NBA. These two teams played each other back in late January... and the game went UNDER by 12.5 points. In the last 12 months, the series has gone 0-2 O/U (avg OU margin: -14.5 points).

The Lakers last game (vs Dallas on Wednesday) ended up going OVER the Total by~ one slim point. Prior to that one, LA had gone UNDER the Total in EACH of their last 6 games. So the Lakers are definitely 'trending UNDER" as of late (playing GREAT defense and struggling on offense). We also note that LA has dropped four STRAIGHT games in terms of the pointspread (0-4 ATS). The Sixers have gone UNDER in each of their last two games of this 4-game road trip (which ends tonight).

The NON-Conference aspect of this game has us excited about MULTIPLE Over / Under Systems.

3-13 O/U this season: All EASTERN Conference underdogs of > 10 points (Sixers) versus any WESTERN Conference opponent (Lakers). Since December, these games have gone a perfect 0-6 O/U.

1-8 O/U this season: All NON-Conference underdogs in the FINAL game of a 4+ road trip (Sixers)... when the OU line is > 197 points.

2-10 O/U since November: All NON-Conference teams playing off 4 or more ATS losses in a row (Lakers)... when the OU line is 196 > points. We also note that in the last 5 weeks, these teams have gone a perfect 0-4 O/U.

3-11 O/U this season: All WESTERN CONFERENCE teams with a W/L percentage of .666 or greater (Lakers).... versus an opponent with a W/L percentage of < .400 (Sixers).... when the OU Line is 198 < points. Since December, these games have gone 1-6 O/U.

Both teams are playing off a SU and ATS road dog loss. For Philly, it was Wednesday night versus the Phoenix Suns. For the Lakers, it was Wednesday night versus the Dallas Mavericks.

0-8 O/U this season: All home favorites of 6 > points playing off a SUATS road dog loss (Lakers)... versus an opponent ALSO off a SUATS road dog loss (Sixers).

1-10 O/U since November: All NBA home teams playing off a SU road loss to the DALLAS MAVERICKS (Lakers).

1-6 O/U since December: All NBA teams playing off a SU road loss to the PHOENIX SUNS (Sixers) that also went UNDER the Total.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-26-10

Tony George | NBA Total Fri, 02/26/10 - 9:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 817 DET / 818 DEN Over 201.0 BetUS
Analysis:


OVER 201 Detroit / Denver

Denver managed 127 points on TNT last night and score light out at home, and as we all know, they play little defense. Detroit has averaged near 100 points a game their last 5 and have more offense with a healthy lineup. With Denver playing last night I doubt they play much defense, and they can score 100 by accident. Denver is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the OVER.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER..thanks and best of luck, be sure to catch a 3 game NCAA Saturday card! 8 out of the last 9 Saturdays have profited

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-26-10

Bob Balfe
NBA Basketball

Cavs -5.5 over Raptors


College Basketball

Valparaiso +9 over Butler

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-26-10

Wunderdog NBA

Game: Cleveland at Toronto (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 205.5 -110 (risk 5 to win 4.6)

Game: Dallas at Atlanta (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Atlanta -3 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

Game: New York at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 206.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Game: Orlando at New Orleans (9:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 201 -110 (risk 5 to win 4.6)

[rhg111]

Re: 2-26-10

are you getting ats lock picks tonight?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-26-10

Dwayne Bryant
Bet: #806 New Orleans Hornets +5
I love this situation and it has nothing to do with it being a revenge game for the Hornets. Yes, Orlando won at home over the Hornets, 123-117, just 18 days ago. The Magic did not cover the 9.5-point spread and needed a HUGE second half (outscored New Orleans 68-47) to rally for the win. But like I said, the revenge factor is not why I like the Hornets tonight. Consider the revenge motive an added bonus.

What we have here is one team that overachieved in its last game, playing against a team that underachieved in its last game. In this case, I always look at the team that underachieved in its last game. My thinking is that the team that underachieved in its last game will come out more motivated (with something to prove), while the overachieving team may be a bit relaxed after a big performance.

Orlando comes into this one off a huge 18-point win at Houston as 4.5-point chalk. So they covered the spread by 13.5 points, meaning they played well above expectations. They also have a revenge game at home up next against state rival Miami. You know the Magic have to be peeking ahead just a little bit with state bragging rights on the line. And Orlando has shown a penchant for following double-digit ATS wins with an ATS loss.

On the flip side, the Hornets are coming off back-to-back double-digit road losses. The latter of which was a 20-point beatdown at the hands of the Bucks. They were only 6-point dogs and they lost to the spread by 14 points, meaning they played well below expectations. I really think the fact that New Orleans is back home, where they are 19-9 SU this season, is just what they need to get back on track. Playing on national TV (ESPN) should only add to the Hornets' motivation. Not saying they win straightup, but it wouldn't surprise me. Grab the points with New Orleans.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-26-10

Ksl KILLERSPORTSLIVE

Twolves
Charlotta

NCAA:

Iona
Princeton
Free Pick Snitch - Valpo

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

SAC LAWSON

Princeton +11 vs Cornell

I fully understand there are a lot of people out there that are in love with this Cornell squad. Me personally, I have them as a top 75 team, which is pretty damn good for an Ivy League school. That being said, I have Princeton has a top 125 team, the Tigers are no slouch themselves. First thing that stands out to those of us that know some things about this conference is: How is Cornell going to cover double digits in a game played in the 50's?! Princeton LOVES to play games as low scoring as possible, they are one of the top 5 slowest teams in college basketball, and they limit teams by packing the lane and forcing the shot clock to run down on every possession. What I've noticed is that Princeton slows it down even further, the more talented their opponent is. They know they can't score with the majority of the teams in this conference, and they know they are going to win games through defensive intensity and nothing else.

Don't get it twisted here, Princeton is the team on revenge. They lose to Cornell by 3 points earlier in the season, and I think a lot of people are ignoring the revenge angle because they think Cornell is so much better that it won't matter. Fact is, Princeton knows they can play with Cornell, they proved it to themselves in that last matchup. If anything, I see them being ultra fired up at a 2nd chance to beat these guys. In reality, if Princeton can steal a win here, they have a shot at the conference title! Princeton WILL be full motivated, and will definitely be playing some of their best basketball tonight.

I really look forward to a slow contest between these two teams tonight, obviously Cornell's success is based off their ability to make jump shots, and Princeton is one of the best teams in the nation at eliminating offensive efficiency. Let's back Princeton for 1 unit!


TOR +6 (-120) vs CLE

Yes, I am buying half here.. Mainly because 6 is a huge number in the Association... Okay, on to the good stuff..

I absolutely love this game, and I think Vegas is giving us a huge indication of which side we should be on. Chris Bosh is OUT for Toronto tonight, Cleveland just DESTROYED Boston last night, and yet we get Cleveland laying just 5.5 points. No doubt the public will be all over the road team here, but Toronto is the only play...

The Raptors have covered both games against Cleveland this season, including an outright win early in the year. At 21-8 on the year, you've simply got to respect Toronto's home court advantage, and you've got to love it even more with Cleveland coming in having played Boston last night. We talk about this all the time in the forums... It's one thing to play a back-2-back, it's a completely different story to play a back-2-back when the first game is one of the top teams in the league. No doubt Cleveland was psyched for that game last night, and it's very likely we'll see a bit of a letdown tonight. Cleveland is just 5-9 ATS in b2b's this year, and this spot looks especially difficult.

I'm a true believer that games like Cleveland played last night are absolute disasters for Joe Public. From that game forward we'll see the public absolutely pounding the Cleveland side for a solid week, just based on the fact that they were able to witness Cavs dominance. There is definitely value in fading the Cavs over the next few games, while Vegas uses that public perception against the public. No doubt I'm concerned with Bosh being out, but this opening line gives me large enough indication that Cleveland will be complacent to be able to ignore the injury. Let's back the Raptors at home, and expect them to win outright.

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

FantasySportsGametime

Friday Basketball

NCAA Basketball

100* Play Princeton (+11) over Cornell (NCAA TOP PLAY)
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST

Princeton has covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games and they have also covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Princeton has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games vs. Cornell and they are only allowing an average of 52 points a game on defense this season.



100* Play Valparaiso (+8.5) over Butler (NCAA TOP PLAY)
Game starts at 8:00 PM EST

Valparaiso has covered the spread in 11 consecutive games when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest and they have also covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games when revenging a loss vs. an opponent. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 games and they are averaging over 77 points a game on offense over the last 5 games.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NBA Basketball

50* Play Atlanta (-3) over Dallas (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Game starts at 8:00 PM EST

Atlanta has won and covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 home games when the total posted is between 195 and 199.5 points and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games when playing six or more games in 10 days. Atlanta has won 22 of the last 28 games when playing as a home favorite and they are averaging over 104 points a game on offense at home this season.

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

PITT VIPER

Phoenix -9
Princeton +11

[Hornetsnest]

Re: 2-26-10

ATS Lock

4 orlando
3 portland
3 san antonio