3-7-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-7-10

Brandon Lang 3-3-1 RUN
5* 816 NC State -2.5

[Guest]

Re: 3-7-10

Ben Burns

CBB Sides Sun, 03/07/10 - 6:00 PM œš

triple-dime bet 820 Wake Forest -1.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 819 Clemson

Analysis: I'm playing on WAKE FOREST. This is a big game for the Tigers. However, its arguably much bigger for the Demon Deacons. For starters, the Deacons are looking to snap a losing streak. Also, this is their final home game and their seniors will want to go out on top. Additionally, while the Tigers have likely already wrapped up an NCAA Tournament berth, the Deacons badly need a victory here to keep them out of the "bubble danger zone."

Yes, the Deacons come in on a 4-game losing streak. This has worked in our favor though, as it's helped to keep the line down. Also, let's keep in mind that three of those four losses came on the road. For the season, Wake Forest is still a very healthy 12-2 at home.

Yes, Clemson comes in on a roll, having won five of six. Again, this has worked in our favor, helping to keep the line down. Also, let's keep in mind that only one of those five victories came on the road. For the season, the Tigers are just 5-5 on the road. Prior to their narrow win at Florida State, the Tigers had been 0-6 ATS their previous six road games.

Note that the Tigers are a money-burning 4-10 SU/ATS the last 14 times that they were listed as road underdogs (or pick'em) of three points or less.

You may recall that the Deacons also closed out their regular season by hosting the Tigers last year. Wake Forest fell behind by 10 points early but rallied to win that 3/08/09 game by a score of 96-88. Al-Farouq Aminu had 21 points and grabbed 10 rebounds for the Deacons i…n that one and they'll be counting on him to have another big game here.

This will very likely be the last game that Ish Smith, L.D. Williams, Chas McFarland and David Weaver (and likely Aminu) will ever play here. Those players love Wake Forest and naturally, they'll be wanting to "leave it all on the floor."

The Deacons are 6-2 the last eight times that they scored 60 or more points in their previous game. During that stretch, they've gone 19-5 after allowing 60 or less in their previous game and 6-1 when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range.

Including last year's victory, the Deacons have beaten the Tigers 17 straight times, here at Winston-Salem. With so much on the line, I expect them to extend that streak here. *10 GOY

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-7-10

Ben Burns full card:

10* CBB GOY: WAKE FORREST -2
9* NBA on TV: ORLANDO MAGIC -2
10*: NBA TOTAL: UNDER 206 1/2 (Portland vs Denver)
7*: NHL: ATLANTA THRASHERS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-7-10

BIG AL

Opinion - Buffalo

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-7-10

Brandon Lang Sunday's Selection

NOTE:
The lord giveth and the lord taketh away.

In cashing in the 15 dime winner on Oregon State Thursday night I noted how it took 2 free throws with 2 seconds to go to get the cover.

And a 74% free throw shooter in Jared Cunningham is the man who steps to the plate for me and got it done.

I talked about how many times I haven't gotten those free throws, how one miss or even two misses have cost me more times than I care to remember and it was nice to get a win on Oregon State.

Then 2 days later Arizona gives it right back.

I get a 74% free throw shooter who makes both, but with 49 seconds in the first OT Nick Wise - 88% free throw shooter Nick Wise - steps to the line to push the lead back to 6.

He misses both.

And there goes your 30 dime release right down the drain with an 88% free throw shooter. That my friends is how fragile these games can be some time.

No worries. 3 out of 4 winning days on the books and if I step up and deliver back to back winning days here today and Monday, it will be winning week # 2 in a row.

Nothing wrong with that here in March. Nothing wrong with that at all.

Just have to step up today and get it done. Simple as that.

Let's go.

5 DIME - NC STATE WOLFPACK

Like what I have seen from NC State the last few games.

Yes, they come off a 12 point loss at Virginia Tech but it was their effort in the 2 games prior that puts me on them today.$ I'm talking about a 14 point home win over Wake Forest, and a 71-66 win at Miami as a 7 point dog.

This is the first meeting between these 2 this year and considering the 4-6 road mark of BC, the home team is the play.

The Eagles come off the 13 point home win over Virginia, but on the road in ACC play they are 1-6 SU and with this line being as low as it is, the winner probably covers.

That winner is going to be N.C. State.

You add the fact the series favorite is 4-0 ATS last 4, and N.C. State 11-4 ATS their last 15 following an ATS loss and it's all Wolfpack here on Sunday.

Hometeam rolls.

FREE PICK - LOS ANGELES LAKERS

[Guest]

Re: 3-7-10

Dr Bob

Sunday College Opinions

Siena (-12 or less) over Rider
Rotation #848 - 1 pm Pacific
Siena managed to win by 17 points over Manhattan yesterday despite negative 3-point shooting variance (32% to Manhattan's 44%) and the Saints' median conference game is a 15 point win. With Rider being an average Metro Atlantic team, it's not asking too much for the Saints to win by 13 points or more today. Siena would apply to a very good 53-14-1 ATS conference tournament situation at -12 points or less and I'd take Siena in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less.

Loyola Marymount (+12) over Gonzaga
Rotation #843 - 5:30 pm Pacific
Loyola Marymount is an underrated team now that everyone is back healthy and the Lions have won and covered in 5 of their 6 games since Larry Davis returned to the lineup, including a 74-66 upset win over Gonzaga. Aside from that win over Gonzaga, the Lions also had upset wins at USC and at Notre Dame when they had their full cast of players healthy. My ratings favor the Zags by only 9 1/2 points, so there is still solid line value favoring the Lions in this game. I'll lean with Loyola plus the points and I'd take Loyola Marymount in a 2-Star Best Bet if the line gets up to +13 points.

[Guest]

Re: 3-7-10

Wayne Root

3* VEGAS LEGEND BC
4* MILLIONAIRE Wisconsin
6* BILLIONAIRE Clemson

[kar261]

Re: 3-7-10

Dr. Bob

3 Star Selection
North Texas (-7 1/2) over UL Monroe
07-Mar-10 06:50 PM Pacific Time
North Texas applies to a very strong 157-48-6 ATS conference tournament situation that is 6-2 ATS so far this season. My ratings favor the Eagles by 9 1/2 points and I'll take North Texas in a 3-Star Best Bet at -9 or less and for 2-Stars up to -10 points.

Play Strength: 3-Stars at -9 or less, 2-Stars up to -10.

[kar261]

Re: 3-7-10

Dr. Bob

3 Star Selection
North Texas (-7 1/2) over UL Monroe
07-Mar-10 06:50 PM Pacific Time
North Texas applies to a very strong 157-48-6 ATS conference tournament situation that is 6-2 ATS so far this season. My ratings favor the Eagles by 9 1/2 points and I'll take North Texas in a 3-Star Best Bet at -9 or less and for 2-Stars up to -10 points.

Play Strength: 3-Stars at -9 or less, 2-Stars up to -10.

BTW, Dr. Bob was 9-0 yesterday (7-0 on Best Bets, three 3-stars and four 2-stars).........and Accuscore sim has about a 54% of covering.