3-10-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

King Creole | NBA Total Wed, 03/10/10 - 7:35 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 603 LAC / 604 MIA Over 190.0 BetUS
Analysis:
OVER the TOTAL / LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS @ MIAMI HEAT / 7:30pm ET



King Creole | NBA Total Wed, 03/10/10 - 8:35 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 613 NJN / 614 DAL Over 203.0 BetUS
Analysis:
OVER the TOTAL / NEW JERSEY NETS @ DALLAS MAVERICKS / 8:30pm ET



King Creole | NBA Total Wed, 03/10/10 - 7:35 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 607 MEM / 608 BOS Over 195.0 BetUS
Analysis:
OVER the TOTAL / MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES @ BOSTON CELTICS / 7:30pm ET

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

Jimmy Boyd

3* 28-0 ATS NBA SMASH on Nets +11.5
I stayed away from the Nets as much as possible this season, but now there is starting to be some value in playing them. This is a team that does not want to go down in the history books as the worst ever so they are playing hard right now. As a result, they have covered the spread in 3 straight games. The Mavs are extremely banged up. Terry is out for sure and Barea, Haywood and Dampier all could miss as well. Health is the most important thing this time of year so don't expect the Mavs to play a bunch of banged up guys big minutes just to blowout the worst team in the NBA. Dallas will be content with just squeaking by with a "W" in this spot. With Dallas lacking guard depth due to injuries, look for Harris, the former Mav, to have a big game tonight. Jason Kidd just doesn't have the foot speed to stay with him, especially if he has to play big minutes. The numbers are in our favor as well. The Nets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Mavericks are 3-22-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. We'll take the points.

Top Play
5* NEC Game of the Year (ESPN 2) on Robert Morris +4.5
With revenge on the mind for an earlier season loss, and with an NCAA Tournament berth on the line, I'll take Robert Morris and the points this evening. Robert Morris appeared to have the league title in the bag until it dropped 2 of its last 3 conference games to Quinnipiac and Mount St. Mary's. Last game, Robert Morris avenged its loss to Mount St. Mary's with an 80-62 blowout win, and I expect the Colonials to win this one outright tonight. Mount St. Mary's had come into the conference tourney as the hottest team in the league, but Robert Morris dominated. You know how the old saying goes, "defense wins championships", and Robert Morris is the more capable defensive team. The Colonials have won 4 of the last 5 and 8 of the last 10 in this series. Quinnipiac may have the home court advantage here, but I don't think it will be enough. Plays against home teams as a favorite or pick, a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games, are 52-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. We'll take Robert Morris and the points.

3* Conference Tourney Line Mistake on Rice +14.5
Rice finished the season with 7 straight defeats so it will be extremely motivated as it looks to play spoiler tonight. Plus, the Owls will not be lacking any confidence after playing Tulsa to a 4-point game earlier this season. With these things in mind, I feel odds makers are asking too much of Tulsa tonight, especially when you consider that they have not won by more than 14 points since January 16th. The Golden Hurricane are just 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 1-11 ATS in their last 12 vs. Conference USA, 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Meanwhile, the Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. We'll take the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

KILLER SPORTS LIVE
10 EACH

NJ Nets +11
SMU -1.5
Minn Twolves +8
Air Force +1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

DOC SPORTS NBA

2-Unit Play #605 Take Utah/Detroit UNDER 201 1/2 (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
3-Unit Play #611 Take New Orleans/Oklahoma City OVER 201 (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

KELSO-
25 units Ok 'St -7
5 units Nuggets -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

MATT FARGO **10** CBB **TOP** TOURNEY REPORT **LATE**

Matchup: Iowa State at Texas
Pick: TEXAS -8.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Wed, 03/10/10 - 3:00 PM
double-dime bet 629 Nebraska 11.0 (-110) Bodog vs 630 Missouri CBB 2* PERSONAL PLAY

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

TIM TRUSHEL

under st. johns/reg
under n. dame/20*
under celts/reg

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

lenny stevens

10 Georgetown
10 Tulsa
10 star Wash St

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

I wont be around after 5pm, so if someone can help out posting service plays, Im sure it would be appreciated by all.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

alatex
15* Cal Poly
Cincy

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

Scott Delaney Wednesday winner ... 60-Dime OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS ... Been a long time since Billy Tubbs was in charge, and the Sooners were a threat to anyone in the Big 12. And though these two split the regular-season series, I have to side with the much-better Cowboys in this opening-round showdown. After losing in overtime in the first meeting, Oklahoma State throttled the Sooners, 97-76, on Feb. 13. The Cowboys have now covered three of the last four meetings.

And when you factor in junior guard James Anderson, who was the unanimous pick of the conference coaches for Big 12 Player of the Year, it’s hard to imagine the Cowboys allowing Oklahoma to stay close. He was also a unanimous All-Big 12 first team selection.

Anderson averaged 22.9 points, which currently leads the conference by 3.7 points over the next highest scorer, and also ranks fifth in the Big 12 in field goal percentage and 14th in the league in rebounding (6.0 per game).

Thus, my biggest question is how in the world will the 288th scoring defense stop Anderson? The Sooners allowed 73.4 points per game on 45.4 percent shooting, which ranked 280th in the nation.

The Sooners have looked horrible down the stretch, losing eight straight on the hardwood and six of eight to the books. Six of those eight losses came by double digits, while the average margin of loss was 11.6 points. The biggest loss was the 21-point thumping at the hands of Oklahoma State. The Sooners are also in on ATS slides of 2-5 after a straight-up loss, 3-8 against winning teams, 1-4 on neutral sites and 3-9 overall – all in Big 12 play.

As for the Cowboys, they closed the season on a winning run of 5-2 both SU and ATS, with the wins coming by average margin of 12 points. Checking the betting trends, the OSU is on winning streaks of 4-0 against losing teams, 23-8 on neutral courts, 19-8 off a straight-up win, 5-2 in conference play, 16-7 after covering and 26-10 overall.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-10-10

MIKE HOOK

CBB Sides Wed, 03/10/10 - 11:25 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 650 Cal Poly 2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 649 UC Irvine
Analysis:
I love this game, as oddsmakers flat out have the wrong team favored. I had Cal Poly listed as a 2.5 favorite tonight. This is an example of oddsmakers simply having too many lines to put out, as they can't focus on EVERY game every single day. I had a feeling this was going to be a line we exploited based on the final result when these 2 teams last squared off. Anyone that follows my work will remember last Saturday night, when i had mentioned that there was a very strong possibility that Irvine would beat Cal Poly outright. Let's dig a bit deeper into that game, as that game had a huge affect on this line today.

Cal Poly was a 2.5 point favorite this past Saturday at home to Irvine. The situation behind this game was very, very flawed. Cal Poly had nothing to play for other than the fact it was their Senior Night, which was mostly for star G Lorenzo Keeler. However, this Cal Poly team had already gone on the record in the local media talking about how they were focused on the upcoming Big West Conference Tournament. Cal Poly was already locked into their tournament seeding, so they had little to gain for their efforts. Irvine meanwhile needed a SU win to even make it into the conference tournament, so they were playing for their postseason lives. Irvine ultimately won the game in overtime, but let's dig a bit deeper. Cal Poly was actually up by 8 points in the final minute of that game. Irvine made every 3 pointer possible in the final minute to come back and ultimately tie the game. We all know that coming from 8 points behind in the final minute simply doesn't happen very often. I give credit to Irvine for what they did, but let's not forget the overall situation to begin with. We had a desperate team playing as such,against a team that had very little to gain. What i take from that specific game was the rebounding edge Cal Poly had oveŠr Irvine. In reality, Cal Poly won the hustle points, just like they did in their very first matchup. Combining both matchups, Cal Poly dominated the rebounding edge with Irvine. Cal Poly won the first meeting at Irvine by double digits, and were up 8 PTS in the final meeting in the 2nd meeting. If you look simply at the final scores of each contest, you would think that these two teams are equals, which i simply don't agree with.

Cal Poly is much better than their record would indicate. They are also playing far better basketball than it appears right now. Cal Poly is only 2-2 SU in their past 4 games, but both losses were heartbreakening losses that just as easily could have been wins. Had Cal Poly won all 4 games, they certainly wouldn't be as undervalued as they are now. On paper alone, everyone sees that this Mustangs team is 11-18 SU. However, those that follow the West Coast conferences well very well know that this Cal Poly team is far more dangerous than their SU record would indicate. We will absolutely use that to our advantage today.

Irvine is a decent team, and on paper they appear to be better than Cal Poly simply because their record is 14-17 SU. Irvine has also won 3 of their past 4 games, so it appears that they are in better form than Cal Poly. However, i don't see it that way at al. Irvine beat Northridge and Marist at home in very close games, and the OT game against Cal Poly we have already talked about. That win over Marist was very weak, as Marist simply isn't a good team. I could easily argue that this team could have went 0-4 in this same stretch that they ultimately went 3-1 in.

Perception doesn't always equal reality. I wrote an article for a sports site about this very topic. Today, we will use that to our advantage. I'm very, very certain that Cal Poly is the better overall team entering this conference tournament. On a neutral court, i know that Cal Poly shouldn't be the listed underdog. I also know that Cal Poly matches up very well with Irvine, as Irvine can't stop the major players of Cal Poly. Quite simply, I trust this Cal Poly team listed as the underdog more than i trust this Irvine team as a favorite. Irvine has shot 20 more free throws in the two games combined so far in this series, yet should have lost both games. With a more evenly matched officiated game, Cal Poly could win this game by 7-10 points tonight. Bottom line, the wrong team is favored, and i know better. This Big West Conference was the very first conference i ever followed, and i'm backing my instincts here. CAL POLY +2 is my DOUBLE STAR play of the day!