3-12-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

FantasySportsGametime.com



Friday Basketball

NCAA Basketball



1000* Play Miami (+4) over Virginia Tech (NCAA TOP PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

Will Cover


4* Utah st. -7.5
3 * N.D. + 5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

Trent Citron

10 units West Virginia
8 units Dayton
8 units Washington
6 units New Mexico
4 units Kansas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

Indian Cowboy is on Alabama +10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

C-Star Sports

5000 Units Utah/Milwaukee over the total
1000 Units ARKON MINUS THE POINTS OVER Western Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

MARTY OTTO

vtech-3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

TRIPLE CROWN -
4* temple;
4* savier
3* tenn in college

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

TOM STRYKER
ADDED PLAY
3* k state

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

SPORTS BANK
400* Rhode Island

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

Sac Lawson | CBB Sides Fri, 03/12/10 - 9:30 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 886 UC Santa Barbara -4.5 (-110) BetUS vs 885 UC Davis
Analysis: Writeup Will be up by 1 Eastern..

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

King Creole | CBB Sides Fri, 03/12/10 - 4:00 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 858 S.Miss 2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 857 Houston
Analysis:
6:30pm ET / #858 / Conference USA Semi-Finals / Tulsa, OK
Houston Cougars @ Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
3*** BEST BET on: SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI plus the points

WRONG team favored in this Semi-Final CONFERENCE USA matchup. The GOLDEN EAGLES have cruised in each of their two Conference Tourney games, beating UAB and Tulane BOTH by double-digit margins. They were hot coming into this Tourney... and have maintained their steam. Meanwhile, the favored COUGARS went right down to the wire in upsetting #2 Seed Memphis yesterday by ONE point. According to the database, that LATE... CLOSE win puts the Houston team in serious jeopardy today.

Let's first take a look at what's been PROFITABLE in this particular Tournament. Houston might be playing with same-season single REVENGE... but this one of those Tourneys in which Revenge means SQUAT.

1-10 ATS since 2001: All CONF USA Tourney teams playing with 'SSR1' (same-season single revenge) in the Semi-FInal round (Houston). Teams that are LAYING points have gone a PERFECT 0-4 ATS.

Very 'short' favorites (like the Coogs) have also done very poorly.... whether it's in the Semi-Final round... or ANY round.
1-11 ATS since 2001: All CONF USA~ Tourney neutral or road favorites of -4 or LESS points (Houston) vs any opponent off a SU win (SOUTHERN MISS).

0-6-1 ATS since 2003: All CONF USA Tourney favorites of -6 or LESS point in the SEMI-FINAL round (Houston).

As mentioned, the GOLDEN EAGLES are on a big-time roll.... having won 4 straight AND covering their last 3 in a row,
8-1-1 ATS: All CONF USA Underdogs (in ANY round) of < 10 points playing off 3 or more SU and ATS wins in a row (SOUTHERN MISS).

Systems that pertain to ALL College Conference Tournaments:

Both teams are playing their third STRAIGHT day with NO rest. Each team won on Wednesday and Thursday. The database tells us to grab the points with the 'short' DOG in these rest situations.
8-1 ATS since 2003: ALL Conference Tourney SEMI-FINAL Underdogs of < 6 points (SOUTHERN MISS) when BOTh teams have played in EACH of the last 2 days.

I mentioned that Houston won yesterday's game over Memphis by ONE slim point...
1-9 ATS last 6 years: ALL Conference Tourney SEMI-FINAL favorites playing off a SU underdog win of 2 points or LESS (Houston). In the last three years, these teams have gone a PERFECT 0-8 ATS. It appears that they have NOTHING left in the tank off such an emotional and close Underdog win.

Now let's plug in the impact of an UPSET win over a #2 SEED... and the likely aftermath. Lat season, these teams s**t the bed in their next game.
0-7 ATS last year: All ALL Conference Tourney favorites playing off a SU win over a #2 SEED (Houston).

In case you think last season was a fluke, let's step back for a 10-year look.
The results are just as good.
1-6-1 ATS since 1998: All ALL Conference Tourney SEMI-FINAL favorites playing off an Underdog win over a #2 SEED (Houston).

Another System that was PERFECT last season has us squarely on the GOLDEN EAGLES. it pertains to teams who won each of their last two Tourney games by 10 or more points.
4-0 ATS last year: All ALL Conference Tourney SEMI-FINAL underdogs playing off BB double-digit wins in a row.

Finally, let's take a look at the rare seeding matchup that occurs in this SEMI-FINAL round. Houston is a #7 seed while Southern Miss is a #6 seed.
5-0-1 ATS last 10 years: ALL Conference Tourney #6 SEED Underdogs (SOUTHERN MISS) versus a #7 SEED team playing off a SU underdog win (Houston).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

Greg Shaker | CBB Sides Fri, 03/12/10 - 2:25 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 843 Illinois 8.0 (-110) BetUS vs 844 Wisconsin
Analysis: NCAAB: Illinois Fighting Illini at Wisconsin Badgers - Illinois +8 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 3/12/2010
Note: In case you have not noticed yet, a lot of the better teams in the~ country are struggling during these conference tourneys and the reason is simple. They have cashed their ticket to The Big Dance while the teams they are playing are still trying to get on the Dance Floor. We have a good situation for this contest today with the Illini, who not only have the motivation needed to play well today, have added motivation as well, with their last game of the regular season being against this Badger Squad. That game was not a pretty site as Wisconsin throttled them on the Illinois homecourt. But Illinois can play with this team as evidenced by their earlier win over them, and while they are somewhat offensively challenged at times, they do some things very well which makes them a good tourney proposition. This team plays perhaps the best D in the Big 10, limiting all opponents to under 40% shooting. They also have a pretty good bench that will allow them to be more fresh as the contest progresses. One has to wonder about the Badgers mindset today and the fact is, these are a lot of points to give a team as capable and motivated as Illinois is. As a 9 point dog, they did go to Wisconsin this year and win outright so they know that they can accomplish their goal today. They might fall short but we can expect them to give it the Ole College Try.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

Jimmy Boyd

5* Conference Tournament Game of the Year on Xavier -3
Ever since Xavier was absolutely embarrassed by Dayton, losing 65-90, the Musketeers have been on an absolute tear, winning 7 in a row with 5 of those wins coming by double digits. You can bet Xavier was hoping it would get a chance to face Dayton again. Well, it gets that chance this evening and I expect the Musketeers to get their revenge. Right away, I love the fact that plays on any team revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, are 32-9 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Flyers enter at 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Xavier is 17-6 ATS as a favorite this season, 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a S.U. win of more than 20 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in its previous game. Look for Xavier to roll tonight.


4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Clippers +10
After 5 straight losses, the Clippers will be a very hungry team tonight. On top of that, they will draw confidence from a 98-94 win over the Bobcats last month. The Bobcats are rolling, having won 4 in a row SU & ATS, but it's going to be difficult for them to give the Clippers their full attention with Orlando up next. Just last month, the Bobcats lost to the Nets at home when they were caught looking ahead to Cleveland. Plus, plays against home favorites of 10 or more points, after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, are 21-6 ATS the last 5 seasons, 8-2 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. The road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Clippers.4* Major Conference Tourney Late Night Blowout on Vandy -7.5
I'll back the Commodores in an extremely motivated spot tonight. Georgia gave Vandy all it wanted and more during the regular season. The Dawgs won at home 72-58 and they only lost by 2 points on OT at Vandy. But what these scores don't tell you is that the first meeting was a sandwich game for the Dores. Vandy had just won a tough one against Mississippi State and then got caught looking ahead to Tennessee. The second one was a letdown spot. Vandy had just lost a heartbreaker to Kentucky the game before and clearly wasn't yet over that defeat. Because of how tough Georgia played Vandy during the regular season, and because it enters off a loss to S. Carolina on senior day, expect to see Vandy extremely motivated tonight. The Commodores want this SEC tourney badly. They want another shot at Kentucky. They also carry the big edge in terms of fresh legs and prep time having not played since last Saturday. We'll lay the points with the more talented side.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

Tm Trushel
under west virginai/20*
illinois/ regular
pacific/regular

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-12-10

TEDDY COVERS

20* Big Ticket California
Minnesota
Georgia
Texas A&M

Cavaliers