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Scott Delaney
Friday winner ...
40-Dime UTAH STATE AGGIES - Yesterday's 40 dime winner was on Washington as a slight underdog against Marquette; the Huskies won outright. For Friday, I'm grabbing the points with another pup, Utah State, against Texas A&M in a battle of Aggies.$)[ The bunch from Utah State had won 17 in a row before losing to fellow tournament member New Mexico State in its conference final. I love them in this spot.
And who wouldn't?
? ? ?
The Aggies are your prototypical disciplined basketball team that is well-coached. They shoot the ball well and take good care of the rock. And though Utah State isn't overly athletic and lacks size and depth, it's not going to necessarily have to worry about a rather bleak offensive game by A&M.
What the Lone Star Aggies like to do is lay on its opponent and get their foes deep into the shot clock, and make note Utah State is the best three-point shooting team percentage-wise in this tournament, draining an amazing 42.1 percent. Slowing the pace what bother Utah State one bit, as it is quite methodical on offense.
Fact is, this is a great spot for Utah State, which might have struggled with an athletic opponent. But against A&M, the fundamentally sound Aggies out of Logan, Utah have the edge.
Utah State turns the ball over on just 16.3 percent of offensive possessions, it ranks 13th in offensive efficiency overall, as well as a very good 52nd in defensive efficiency.
Utah State was 10-6 away from home, while A&M was just 8-8 away from College Station. I would have liked to seen a better non-conference schedule, but the Aggies did beat first-round victor BYU back on Dec. 2. They also played fellow mid-major entry St. Mary's, who won yesterday.
Both are in on a bevy of ATS runs, but I'm most intrigued by the fact USU is 9-2 as an underdog, 4-1 on neutral courts, 8-2 when catching points in this range and 13-4 overall. And also make note, A&M is on 1-4 ATS slides versus non-conference teams and as a favorite on neutral courts.
6 Units on New Mexico State (+13.5) over Michigan State, 7:20pmET
5 Units on Siena (+4.5) over Purdue, 2:30pmET
5 Units on Mississippi (-4) over Memphis, 6:30pmET
4 Units on Maryland (-9.5) over Houston, 9:50pmET
4 Units on Louisville (+1) over California, 9:55pmET
triple-dime bet 827 Morgan St. 17.5 (-110) BetUS vs 828 W.Virginia
Analysis: NCAAB: Morgan State Golden Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers - Morgan State +17.5 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 3/19/2010
triple-dime bet 825 Florida St. -1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 826 Gonzaga
Analysis:
NCAAB: Florida State Seminoles at Gonzaga Bulldogs - Florida State -1 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 3/19/2010
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