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NBA Mar 26 '10
10:05p New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns
Take: Phoenix Suns -10½-110 in 9h
3* Friday Night NBA Blowout on Suns -10.5
The Suns have plenty of motivation to run up the score on the Knicks tonight. First off, they are fighting for the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference so they can get home court in the first round of the playoffs. Secondly, they will be out for blood here after getting crushed by a score of 99-126 at New York the last time these two teams met. Having not played since Monday, I expect the Suns to be very fresh and energetic this evening. Plus, plays on favorites of 10 or more points, after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, against an opponent that has gone under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, are 25-5 ATS since 1996 and 13-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams in these spots have been favored by 12.2 points on average and are winning by an average of 17.9. Take the Suns.
-= TOP PLAY =- Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Mar 26 '10
9:35p Northern Iowa vs Michigan State
Take: Michigan State 0-110 in 9h
5* Friday Sweet 16 *BEST BET* on Michigan State pk
I know Michigan State is without Kalin Lucas, and Chris Allen and Delvon Roe are banged up, but this is still a big, physical, squad that has been here and done that before. And this squad is playing for a coach that has been here and done that a lot. Northern Iowa is a good basketball team, but the fact that it relies so heavily on perimeter scoring will finally catch up with the Panthers tonight. Expect the Spartans to kill the Panthers on the boards. Michigan State is 10-1 ATS when playing away from home after a game where it outrebounding an opponent by 15 or more over the last 3 seasons. I've grabbed the Spartans at a pick, but they opened as a 1.5-point favorite and are still a 1-point fave at many books. The fact that they opened as a fave could prove to be quite crucial as they are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 6.5 or less points and 21-6-2 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less period. The Panthers started to really pee down their legs when Kansas started pressuring them late in the game. Expect coach Izzo to take note of that and apply the pressure much sooner. Also, expect the Spartans to really look to hammer the ball inside to take advantage of their physical bodies. We'll pound Michigan State.
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Mar 26 '10
7:25p Saint Mary's CA vs Baylor
Take: Baylor -4½-105 in 6h
4* Major Sweet 16 Perfect Angle Power Play on Baylor -4.5
Look for the length and athleticism of Baylor to be too much for Saint Mary's tonight. The key to beating Saint Mary's is keeping Omar Samhan in check, and I believe Baylor's long and athletic front line guys will be able to do just that. Saint Mary's is a team that can hurt its opponents with the 3-point shot, but Baylor has really excelled against these type of teams. In fact, Baylor is on a 7-0 ATS run vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams making 41% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. The Bears are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. The Gaels, meanwhile, are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as an underdog. With this one being played in Houston, Texas, the Bears will have the support of the crowd as well. We'll lay the points with Baylor...
Who was that Syracuse team that started that game last night? Down 12-1 to start the game and never got into the flow. Butler was the aggressor all night long. I said tempo was the key in the W.VA/Wash game and the Mounties controlled it. They were just too physical for the Huskies and wore them completely down
I have been saying that I love N. Iowa all week and I was hoping there would be a lot of love for Mich st considering Izzo's record in the sweet 16 but this line isn't going anywhere. I am on :
3* N.Iowa ML +110 over Michigan st(9:35 pm) - Some of you will be only able to get the +1 then take that. Besides Lucas being out, Allen and Roe will be at less than 100%. everybody was focused on the Cornell game last night as being the sweet 16 cinderella, but tonight the real underdog takes the stage scratching and clawing all the way.This game could start out real slow as both teams try to feel each other out. This will have the feeling of a Big 10/MVC type of game rather than a tourney game. I have a feeling we will see a 55-50 drag em out type of game here.
1* N.Iowa/Mich st under 122 - read above
NBA
2* Atlanta -5 over Philly (7pm) - Philly is just an awful home team this year. They are 11-24 SU at home this year and 17-35 ATS @ home since the all star break last year. The 76ers had a fantastic game vs the Bucks 2 days ago. Putting B2B games hasn't been their strong suit. With Young out and Williams Questionable at best ,they will need to put forth another supreme effort to hang here. Atlanta is playing well as they have won and covered 6 of their last 8 games. They are 14-3 ATS L17 games vs the Atlantic Division and 7-3 ATS L10 vs the 76ers.
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