4-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-3-10

Big Al

5* Butler
3* Duke

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-3-10

Ben Burns *ALERT* Burns' *10* MAIN EVENT!!
triple-dime bet Butler -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-3-10

Wayne Root 4-3-10

Millionaire - Michigan State (+1) over Butler

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-3-10

BEN BURNS
NCAA TOY
10* Under West Va/ Duke

[Guest]

Re: 4-3-10

Brandon Lang's Saturday Selection

15 Dime College Pick in the Final 4 on the Duke Blue Devils as a small chalk agaist West Virginia. As this play is posted around 2 am Eastern Saturday, the Blue Devls are laydng around 2 1/2 points in Las Vegas and Offsahore. But like I always tell you in fooiball, "you never get beat by the hook" so go ahead and buy the 1/2 point down on Duke.

It all comes down to the years of experience Coach K brings to this Final Four. Nothing else really matters for my money. Love the guy, or hate the guy, Coach K can flat-out coach, and in the end his know-how will make a difderence when the chips are down in this battle.

All props to West Virginia for taking Kentucky out of their rhythm, but when you think about it, the Wildcats don't really have a pure jump-shooter. The Blue Devils have 3. Scheyer, Singler, and Smith can all put the ball through the hoop from long range, and that is what you need against the Mountaineers zone defense.

The Mountaineers shot out of their minds from behind the arc against Kentucky, nailing 10 trifectas in the game, 8 of them coming in the first half. I don't know about you, but watching West Virginia play in the games leading up to their unlikely outburst against Kentucky, I can tell you that for my money, there is no way West Virginia shoots like that tonight against Duke.

The Blue Devils are one of the best teams in the nation in defendaing the arc, and that will be an area that W Va loses the battle in all 40 minutes long.

Great run for Huggy and the 'Neers, but with this being Mike Krzyzewski's 11th trip to the Final Four, I just can't pass up his expirience minus this small number.

Dookies dancing on to Monday night.

FREE PICK - MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

[Guest]

Re: 4-3-10

Ben Burns *10* MAIN EVENT!!

triple-dime bet Butler -1.5

ADDED PLAY

BEN BURNS
NCAA TOY
10* Under West Va/ Duke

[Guest]

Re: 4-3-10

Root

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Millionaire - Michigan State (+1) over Butler

Billionaire - Mil Bucks

No Limit - Duke

[Guest]

Re: 4-3-10

Larry Ness

NJN +2.5 vs NOH

The Nets won a week ago Wednesday at home vs the Kings, then last Friday at home vs the Pistons. After losing last Saturday at Chicago, the Nets upset the Spurs in New Jersey this past Monday, earning their 10th win of the season, thereby surpassing the 1972-73 76ers for futility in one NBA season (Philly went 9-73 that year, the worst single-season record in NBA history). The Nets can be excused for falling to the Suns on Wednesday, as Phoenix is the league's hottest team, entering Saturday's play on a 10-game winning streak, posting a 19-4 mark since the break. The Nets led by three at the half vs the Suns but were outscored 13-0 in the opening minutes of the third quarter, on the way to getting outscored 38-23 in the quarter (lost the game, 116-105). The 35-42 Hornets will finish with a losing record this year for the first time since going 39-43 in the 2006-07 season (year team played home games in Okla City due to Hurricane Katrina). They have lost four straight and 11 of 12 on the road entering this game and let's remember the Nets had won three in a row at home, prior to running into the red-hot Suns. Expect the Nets to get lucky win No. 11 tonight.

[Guest]

Re: 4-3-10

Private Players Of Pittsburgh
4% Miami Heat
3% Chicago Bulls
3% Portland Trailblazers
2% Michigan State
2% West Virginia

[Guest]

Re: 4-3-10

Dr. Bob


NBA
2 Star Selection
Portland (-7) over SACRAMENTO
03-Apr-10 07:05 PM Pacific Time
Portland is a better team since acquiring defensive ace Marcus Camby from the Clippers to fill the void in the middle of the paint and the Blazers' loss at Denver on Thursday night should have them properly motivated tonight. Portland applies to a 30-6-1 ATS subset of an 86-32-3 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation and the Blazers are 12-4 ATS this season as a road favorite while the Kings are just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 as a home underdog. My ratings favor Portland by 7 points, so the line is fair, and I'll take Portland in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less and for 3-Stars at -6 points.

Play Strength: 2-Stars at -7 or less, 3-Stars at -6.

COLLEGE
Opinion
Butler (-1) over Michigan State
03-Apr-10 03:05 PM Pacific Time
Michigan State has managed to win their last two games without star point guard Kalin Lucas, which speaks to how good of a coach Tom Izzo is. Michigan State is now 25-10-1 ATS in NCAA Tournament games when not laying 9 points or more under coach Tom Izzo, including 21-5-1 ATS when they're seeded #5 or better. However, Butler is a better team than Michigan State and the Bulldogs tend to play their best against better teams. The Bulldogs have been 2 points better in 9 games against NCAA tournament caliber teams than they've been overall while going 6-3 straight up in those games (against Minnesota, Clemson, Georgetown, Ohio State, Xavier, UTEP, Murray State, Syracuse, and Kansas State). Michigan State, meanwhile has been 2 points worse this season than they've been overall, when facing NCAA tournament caliber teams while going a modest 9-8 straight up in those games. My ratings favor Butler by 2 1/2 points without adjusting for Lucas being out and I value Lucas as worth just over 1 point, so the line value favors Butler, who is also playing in their home city. Teams playing in their home state are 123-82 ATS in the NCAA Tournament, but the Final Four may not provide the usual edge for the in state team since there are not as many extra tickets available to be snapped up by local fans. Playing in a dome could also be an issue for Butler, who has no experience with the depth perception problems that a dome creates. Michigan State, meanwhile, has played 9 games in domes the last few years, so they're more accustomed to the environment. I'm still going to lean with Butler, who has won 24 consecutive games and toppled very good teams in Syracuse and Kansas State in the last two rounds. Michigan State's 4 tournament wins have been by an average of just 4 points and the only really good team that they beat was Maryland. Butler has played 6 points better in this tournament than Michigan State has and I'll call for them to make it to the Championship game. I have no opinion on the total.

Play Strength:
Opinion
Duke (-2) over West Virginia
03-Apr-10 05:45 PM Pacific Time
Duke wasn't getting the respect that they deserved heading into this tournament, as many thought West Virginia should have been a #1 seed instead of Duke. However, Duke was my 2nd highest rated team heading into this tournament and my ratings favor the Blue Devils by 3 points in this game. Duke has one of the best offensive teams in the nation, but the Blue Devils have the 3rd best defense in the nation on a compensated points per possession basis. Duke is better on both ends of the floor than West Virginia, whose upset win over Kentucky was a bit of a fluke. West Virginia beat Kentucky by only 7 points despite the Wildcats' pathetic 4 for 32 3-point shooting and they'll have to get lucky again to win this game. Teams that beat a #1 seed in the Regional Final are just 6-13 ATS in the national semifinal if facing a team seeded #3 or better and West Virginia also applies to a negative 0-10 ATS Final Four situation. I'll consider Duke a Strong Opinion in this game and I'll lean Under (I project 127 1/2 points).