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Re: 4-7-10
GOODFELLA
NBA
dime bet ATL -4.5
GOODFELLA
NBA
dime bet ATL -4.5
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Re: 4-7-10
Mike Hook | MLB Money Line Wed, 04/07/10 - 7:10 PM
double-dime bet ml 913 FLA (-130) Bodog vs 914 NYM
NBA LEANS:
BOBCATS -1 Hornets
WOLVES -1.5 Warriors
NETS +8 Bucks
BASEBALL LEANS:
NATIONALS +155 Phillies
INDIANS +140 White Sox
PADRES +124 DiamondbacksComment
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Re: 4-7-10
DAVID MALINSKY
4* UTAH over HOUSTON
There was no hurry to pounce on this one today – with the Jazz having to travel off of an O.T. win patience was the key, with the markets making their usual adjustment against a team in such a setting. But we do not believe that the adjustment has any merit, and that gets us in play at the new short line.
First, the fundamentals of the matchup. As we noted in yesterday’s failed Memphis ticket, the Houston defense has simply worn out down the stretch, and note that even in getting that win that Rockets allowed 103 points on 49.9 percent shooting, with the Grizzles able to get to the basket consistently, taking only five of their 92 shots from 3-point range. That is really bad news against a Utah offense attacks the rim relentlessly, with the Jazz also going hard after their own misses, with the battle of the boards a major mismatch. And with Utah having moved into sole possession of that key #2 slot in the Western Conference, there is an absolutely sense of urgency for the favorite to exploit all of those advantages.
So what about the Overtime factor? We do not believe it matters all that much, and a case could be made that the Jazz might even be the fresher team. They had three full days off before hosting Oklahoma City, which negates much of last night’s exertion, and contrast that with a Houston team that is playing for the 6th time in nine days, with a court change every time. When you lack size and depth back-to-back settings expose your faults, and the Rockets are on an 0-6 ATS run in back-to-back settings, and just 1-10 ATS in their last 11.
These teams have met twice since the All Star break, with the Jazz winning by a combined 32 points, scoring 237 on 93-156 shooting, a sizzling 59.5 percent clip. They had an amazing count of 66 assists in those wins, while controlling the boards 82-61, all without any player going more than 36 minutes in either game. And in the first of those two encounters the Rockets still had Shane Battier, Carl Landry and David Andersen in uniform. It takes much more than an O.T. game to change that flow.Comment
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