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triple-dime bet 928 CWS (-109) BetUS vs 927 MIN
Analysis:
MLB: Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox - WhiteSox -109 (Liriano/Danks)(Best Bet) -109 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 4/9/2010
Note: A great start for these Twins but a good situation for the home team here today in Chicago. Minnesota had a late night affair last night and will not only travel, but will lose 2 hours in doing so. They start a thrower who just has not had his way since Tommy John surgury and frankly, one has to wonder when he will be benched. He was just 5-13 last year with an astronomical ERA of 5.80. Liriano is 0-3 with a 7.52 ERA in three starts and three relief appearances against the White Sox. In two starts last season, he allowed 12 runs and walked seven over 8 2-3 innings. The Twins remain without Nathan as well which is certainly a disadvantage. Danks has been no prize verses Minnesota but he is known as a good home thrower. Chicago hits lefties well and they should be able to strike the ball well verses their opponent today€. My MLB Model has Chicago winning this contest right at 58% of the time and good enough to put a 3% wager here. Unless stated, always list your pitchers when placing a bet.
triple-dime bet 725 DAL 4.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 726 POR
Analysis: NBA/NCAAB ROLLING AT 8-1 89%
Tonight's 3* Signature Winner= Dallas Mavs + 4 3* dog winner
Let's stay HOT tonight as the {51- 27} Dallas Mavs will relish this Dog role as they are 0-3 vs the Blazers this season and this stat will put the public on the T Blazers tonight, Not "Our Camp" Dallas just mashed the Grizzlies the other night and are a smooth 4-1 80% cover play as a road dog Camby is a questioin mark tonight and no one but JR will want to step in front of the Blazers at home tonight, we will back the Mavs. Last game in Portland was a blow out and now the line is onlyƒ 4, we're not biting here. Our Power ratings have this baby at a pick and we will gladly take the 4 with a Focused DOG HERE !!
Play the Mavs + 4 as a Nice 3* J Bomb
double-dime bet 908 NYM -1.5 (+150) Bodog vs 907 WAS
Analysis: I know a lot of people have no love for Pelfrey, and I get that completely, the guy is very inconsistent and can be very very bad at times. Fact is though, he was 3 runs better in terms of ERA at Citi Field last year compared to on the road. Citi Field is a big park and it suited his contact pitching style very very well. Also, he's kept his ERA fairly low over the last few years when facing the Nationals (in the high 3's).
On the other side, Garrett Mock is a guy that I literally circle everytime he's on the card. He's a young guy who has been absolutely terrible in his first two seasons in the bigs. He's got some command issues, and he's proven to be extremely hittable (a 0.308 clip to opposing batters). Against the Met's specifically he's only started one game, and it was a game in which he lost. I'm not sure what the staff in Washington sees in this guy, or whether it's just a matter of having no other options (which is likely), but Garrett Mock simply does not have swing and miss kinda stuff.
Starting Pitching aside, there's absolutely no way on earth I'd want to be on that Washington side when their bullpen hits the field. You compare the back ends of both these teams, and there's not one sane person on the planet that wouldn't take the mets. In my estimation, the worst case scenario is a tie ball game when both teams go to the pen... from their, I'd still take the Mets by two runs.
I know everyone is a bit Jazzed following that Nationals win over the Phillies yesterday, but let's not get carried away.. This is still the Nationals, and still one of the worst starters in the majors toeing the rubber tonight. SO why take the Runline? Pelfrey is capable of imploding himself, and that Nats lineup can get hot and really produce. If Pelfrey has a bad evening, the Mets lose outright... If Mock has the bad outing, and their bullpen is subpar as usual the Met's will win easily. I would much rather take the extra 80-90 dollars of value than take the one run with a couple pitchers that simply do not produce close games.
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