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Thu, 04/15/10 - 1:10 PM VR's Morning Moves | MLB Money Line-----------double-dime bet 918 MIN (-120) Bodog vs 917 BOS--------------Analysis:----------------------------------------- ** DAY MLB MORNING MOVES 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
TWINS -120....(2*)....LIRIANO over Wakefield
Greg Shaker
Today's Pick: LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Today's pick is a pay premium pick from Greg Shaker
MLB
Arizona vs. Los Angeles
10:10 EST
I have already mentioned this before, but Hiroki Kuroda is the healthiest he has been ever to open up a new season, and it has already paid off with a solid performance at Florida. He is very excited about having his best year ever and when he is on, he is tough to hit. The DBacks are one of those teams that have not done so well verses this guy, batting just .205 against him, and many of their bigger hitters have done worse than that. Danny Haren is coming off a very poor outing against the Pirates and while have decent success verses LA, they have managed to hit .294 when facing him in 10 appearances. The Dodgers, despite losing last night, continue to hit the ball well, averaging near 6 runs per game and there will be no lack of motivation tonight after losing the contest last night in extra innings. Both of these Bullpens have struggled a lot this year and that gives us an advantage here since Kuroda often goes deep into games with his rubber arm. Great Value for this play with the home team. Take the Dodgers.
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:
Baltimore sends David Hernandez to the mound; Hernandez lost his first start allowing two runs on six hits over six innings on Saturday as the O's lost 3-0 to the Blue Jays; he walked four and struck out five.
He had a poor rookie season going 4-10 with a 5.42 ERA; he was horrible on the road, going 2-6 with a 5.53 ERA and even worse in "night games" going 3-8 with a 5.65 ERA.
In the other dugout: Oakland sends big Ben Sheets to the mound; Sheets gave up three runs and 10 hits in six innings on Saturday in his second start of his comeback after missing last season because of elbow surgery.
“I know it’s going to get better,” said Sheets, who’s been on the disabled list seven times since breaking into the majors in 2001. “This ain’t my stuff, but I know it’s going to come back."
Bottom line: After losing two of three to the Rays to open the season, the Orioles concluded an 0-6 homestead with a 9-1 loss to Tampa on Wednesday.
The Orioles simply can't hit; they've been outscored 49-27 and are hitting .152 with runners in scoring position.
Playing against a determined Oakland team is not what the doctor ordered for Baltimore; although its lost two straight, the A's have won six straight at home over Baltimore.
The Orioles have lost Hernandez's last 10 starts and that trend continues tonight; play on OAKLAND!
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