10-10-08

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98822

    #16
    Re: 10-10-08

    ATS Lock College FB 10/10

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    3 units Memphis +6.5
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



    Comment

    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98822

      #17
      Re: 10-10-08

      vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
      904 TAM (-120) Bodog vs 903 BOS
      Analysis:
      *** MLB ALCS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***

      (Shields vs Matsuzaka)



      This should be an excellent series, and Tonight we have the all important Game 1 of the ALCS...and I just can't see any Value in going against the Home Team in this one...

      For starters, the Rays have WON "71%" of their Home Games in 2008, and that tells us that we could have laid -240 on them at home and still turned a Profit...More importantly, Boston was average at best on the road, and in the "18" game played between these 2 clubs in the season...ONLY "3" have been won by the road team...and 2 of those wins came from the Rays at Fenway...

      As we saw in the Phillies selection last night, many times edge in price alone is enough to make a wager...but Tonight we have much more going for us by backing the Rays...

      Dice K has been incredible on the road this year, and to have success against him, you need patience...Well if you remember when he faced the Angels and we backed him and won...my reasoning was that Scoscia was asking an aggressive team to change what's led to their success, and we got rewarded for it...Tonight, we will need that same approach from the Rays batters, but the huge difference is that this team's philosophy all season has been "Patience at the Plate"...which is the main reason Dice hasn't lasted 6 inn against them...

      I also really like the fact that we get Shields at home, whose splits really show that in this dome is where you want to back him...And speaking of domes, the Red Sox have never played well in them, including this year where they come in "2-11"...and "6-16" on the carpet...

      When I broke this series down, the only reason I didn't go ahead and make a play on the Rays to advance is their lack of experience and nothing else...because I believe even without a big name closer, they really have an edge over the Red Sox in starting pitching and in the pen...especially at home...and you would give the nod to Boston offensively...but not by the type of margin many believe and Lowell being out will be huge, you can mark my word because the replacement value backing him up isn't even close, and then when you toss in defense, it becomes even more apparent that this is a very winnable series for Tampa...

      When looking at how the market is reacting both to sharp and public money, I really like the way the Rays have gradually gone up in price, rather than one big shot...meaning, even though the books could expect much more public money to come in late on the Sox tonight...they are doing what they can to stop more sharp money from coming in on Tampa...and willing to book the Sox at "plus money"...Mainly because as I was informed by many of the books in town...there is a liability if the Rays win this series, and since they believe that is very likely...it's become evident they will attempt to offset what they can by having Boston be bet during the series...to avoid getting hit from both ends...

      Finally, the atmosphere in Tampa tonight should be electric...and I really like how this club has shown that although they may be young, they are having fun and playing extremely loose...and if my vote for Coach of the Year is able to keep that attitude in the club house througout...even when facing adversity...we just may see this team in the World Series...

      But first, they have a Game 1 to play...so let's go ahead and back the Rays as our 3* BEST BET of the DAY...and see if we can improve on our 65% MLB Playoff record...VR
      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98822

        #18
        Re: 10-10-08

        John Ryan

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the Chicago Blackhawks
        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



        Comment

        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98822

          #19
          Re: 10-10-08

          Teddy June
          10* OVER D.Rays
          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



          Comment

          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98822

            #20
            Re: 10-10-08

            Mike Lineback

            Tampa Bay Rays
            _________________
            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98822

              #21
              Re: 10-10-08

              JB Sports

              Memphis
              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98822

                #22
                Re: 10-10-08

                Indiancowboy

                Pod - Memphis
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



                Comment

                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98822

                  #23
                  Re: 10-10-08

                  Bob Balfe


                  College Football
                  Memphis +6.5 over Louisville
                  The Tigers started out 0-3 and have bounced back winning three straight. Memphis has been in every game this year and really are a team on the rise. Memphis has a good scrambling QB and the tallest receivers in the nation. Louisville has a good run defense, but I don't think they will be able to bring the heat because of Arkelon Hall's ability to scramble. Louisville just does not have the offense they once did. In the 4th quarter this year they have been outscored 48-12. This tells me this is not a complete football team and that they cannot finish. The Cardinals also have kicking problems with both freshman kickers. This line is set so low for a reason. Memphis has a real shot to win this game outright.

                  Major League Baseball
                  Rays -115 over Redsox
                  Shields/Matsuzaka
                  Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



                  Comment

                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98822

                    #24
                    Re: 10-10-08

                    Vernon Croy

                    Memphis +6½
                    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98822

                      #25
                      Re: 10-10-08

                      jb COMPUTER PLAYS
                      PHILADELPHIA -105
                      TAMPA BAY -120
                      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



                      Comment

                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98822

                        #26
                        Re: 10-10-08

                        Northcoast Fri Marquee

                        Lou/Mem OVER 56
                        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



                        Comment

                        Working...