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Re: 4-28-10
MIKE HOOK
MLB Money Line Wed, 04/28/10 - 8:05 PM“
dime bet ml 979 CWS (+108) BetUS vs 980 TEX
MIKE HOOK
MLB Money Line Wed, 04/28/10 - 8:05 PM“
dime bet ml 979 CWS (+108) BetUS vs 980 TEX
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Re: 4-28-10
jeff benton wednesday
Wednesday's Action 20 Dime: DENVER NUGGETS
Nuggets
Last night, we saw two teams return home with their backs against the wall – Dallas down 3-1 to San Antonio; the Lakers tied up with the upstart Thunder. What happened? The Mavs cruised by 22 points, and the Lakers rolled by 24.
Tonight, the Nuggets find themselves back home in the same must-win situation against Utah. And like the Lakers and Mavericks last night, Denver is primed for a big-time blowout. There’s just no way a team led by veterans like Chauncey Billups, Carmelo Anthony and Kenyon Martin are going to go down without a fight – not on their home court.
Besides that, while I’m sure the Jazz want to win – badly – there’s something that happens to teams when they go on the road with a chance to close out a series. They just can’t match the home team’s intensity or summon up the kind of killer instinct needed to wrap things up. We saw it happen with the Celtics in Game 4 in Miami, and we saw it happen with the Spurs in Game 5 in Dallas last night. And you could also argue that the Cavaliers (Game 3 in Chicago), Hawks (Games 2 and 4 in Milwaukee) and Suns (Game 4 in Portland) suffered similar letdowns.
It will take a Herculean effort by the Jazz to reverse that trend and match Denver’s physical and emotional energy tonight – and I’m not even talking about Utah’s chances of actually winning this game. I’m saying it will be nearly impossible for Utah to avoid getting blown out.
Keep this in mind, too: The Nuggets, who have dropped three in a row since a 126-113 win over Utah in Game 1, have not lost four straight games all season long. In fact, this is just the third time Denver has had a three-game slide all season (and the first time it happened, the Nuggets snapped out of their funk with a 105-95 victory against – you guessed it! – the Jazz in Utah). Also, prior to losing the last three games, Denver had beaten Utah five out of six times and gone 8-0-2 ATS in the previous 10 clashes.
And the last time Utah beat Denver as many as four straight times was when it had a 6-0 SU and ATS run in the rivalry from the 2005-06 to 2006-07 seasons.
Bottom line: I’m not suggesting the Nuggets will rally all the way back and win this series, but they will win this Game 5 tonight and they’ll win it convincingly. After all, Denver is on ATS runs of 40-17-2 as a home favorite of five to 10½ points and 8-2 ATS when laying that spread margin in the playoffs, while the Jazz are in ATS ruts of 1-5 as an underdog, 4-16-1 as a ‘dog of five to 10½ points and 2-7 in playoff games as a ‘dog in that range.Comment
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