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Re: 4-29-10
GoodFella 4/29
San Diego ML - 1dime
NBA
Phoenix +1 2dime
GoodFella 4/29
San Diego ML - 1dime
NBA
Phoenix +1 2dime
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Re: 4-29-10
Doc Sports NBA 4-29-10
3-Unit Play #547 Take Dallas +4 ½ Over San Antonio (8 p.m. EST, Thursday)
In our eyes, this game has all the makings of a 7-game series. We are not saying there is any conspiracy or anything but we think the NBA wants this one to go to seven games and they have a way of making things happen that they want, if we have learned anything the last couple of years. All that aside, the Mavs are the better team here and overall and they have won or been in every game in this series except for that one game in Dallas where the Spurs rolled. We will call that game an anomaly since the Mavs have pretty much owned the Spurs lately. They have won five of the last eight in this series overall and they are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. In the last two games in San Antonio they lost by three and four, respectively, so they would have covered this line in both instances. Both games in San Antonio have been defensive games and we think that could be the case again tonight (although we don’t want to touch this adjusted total) and that makes the points even more valuable here with a low scoring game. We just think this is going to be a battle throughout and that the Mavs will have a chance to pull this one out in the final seconds.Comment
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Re: 4-29-10
jeff benton thursday
Wednesday's Action 25 Dime: DALLAS MAVERICKS
IMPORTANT NOTE: If the best number you can get is 3 1/2, I want you to buy the half-point and take Dallas at plus-4. These NBA Playoff lines have been very sharp, and these teams know each other very well, and the last thing we want to do is get beaten by the hook. So it's a prudent move to buy the insurance and protect ourselves in case this game lands on a 4-point margin.
Mavericks
Just not willing to give up on the Dallas Mavericks, and judging by this very cheap pointspread, neither are the oddsmakers. If the roles were reversed and the Mavs were at home and needed a win to close out the series, they’d be laying at least – AT LEAST – six points. So this is Vegas telling us that they believe the Mavs are the better team.
Obviously, Dallas wasn’t as good as it looked – and San Antonio wasn’t as bad as it looked – in that 103-81 rout in Game 5. And when you look at the boxscore and see that Ginobili (18 minutes), Duncan (24 minutes) and Parker (25½ minutes) all had their evening cut short, San Antonio clearly threw in the towel in the second half. But for the first time since Game 1, the Mavs finally played a solid all-around game with contributions from a plethora of players (five scored in double figures, with Caron Butler going off for 35 points).
The Mavs entered this series as a healthy favorite for a reason, and it wasn’t just because they had home-field advantage. They had enjoyed a lot of recent success against the Spurs (including an opening-round playoff series win in five games last spring). And they come into this Game 6 having gone 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 games against the Spurs overall and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 trips to San Antonio.
Also, remember back in Game 4 in San Antonio, the Mavs were in complete control at halftime, up by 11 points. But everything went wrong for Dallas (and right for the Spurs) in a pivotal third quarter that saw San Antonio outscore the Mavs 29-11. Despite that debacle, the Mavs still managed to make a game of it in the fourth quarter and they got the backdoor push, losing by three as a three-point underdog.
These teams are obviously extremely familiar with one another, meeting 18 times since the start of last season. And seven of the nine contests this season have been decided by single digits. I smell another tight one here, which makes the points we’re getting all the more valuable. Throw in the fact that Dallas comes into tonight on ATS runs of 7-2-1 overall, 5-1-1 on the road, 5-1 after a SU or ATS loss and 5-2-1 in playoff games against the Spurs, and I’ll confidently back the Mavs, who probably won’t even need the points as this series has had seven-game thriller written all over it from the start.Comment
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Re: 4-29-10
GREG SHAKER
MLB Total Thu, 04/29/10 - 7:10 PM ƒŠ
triple-dime bet 919 KAN / 920 TAM Over 8.5 BetUS
Analysis:
MLB: Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Devil Rays - Over 8.5 (Hochevar/Garza)(Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 4/29/2010
Note: The Rays continue to swing a Hot Bat with 10 more plated runs on Wednesday. That means that they are now averaging 7.6 Runs Per Game over the last 10 played and in doing so, they are the best team in the Major League's right now record-wise and they are creating a lot of OVERS in the process. KC games are doing the same but not because of their hitting prowess, instead it is because of their pitching staff which has been about as poor as it can get. The KC Bullpen is ERA-ing near the 6.5 Run Mark and starting throwers are well over 5 runs per 9 innings. I know that Garza can be very good when he is on and a quality effort by him today could put a snafu in this play. One thing is for sure. The Royals starter has not had success verses these Rays and a lot of Rays hitters have feasted on him in the past. Hochevar has a career ERA of 6.46 in 3 starts throwing at TB Batters and his worst efforts have been right here at this park. This Park has always been a Hitter's Venue and currently OVE~R is 7-2 last 9 here. My MLB Totals Model has this game producing 10.1 Runs and I must say that I have to agree with it.Comment
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Re: 4-29-10
JR ODonnell | NBA Sides Thu, 04/29/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ
triple-dime bet 547 DAL 3.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 548 SAN
Analysis:
3* NBA SIGNATURE WINNER TONIGHT GOES TO THE LIVE DOG HERE WITH THE MAVS!
Let's break this baby down at the AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas
Dallas 57-30 overall owns a strong 26-16 road re~cord and they will not be afraid to roll into San Antonio who are 53-34 and we feel the public side here tonight, Jr's has a unique system of Power ratio: ratings and we have the Mavs at -3 ,a monster 7 point difference. The Mavs are in a nice cover spot here as the Vegas lines makers have San An @ -3.5 , way way too cheap boys.The Mavs smell blood and want to bring the series back home . Dallas a smooth 8-3 the last 11 vs San Antonio and the huge edge here on turnovers by the Dallas Mavs will be factored in big time as they protect the Rock!
DALLAS BABY JR O STYLE AS A SIGNATURE "WINNER"Comment
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