4-30-10

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Re: 4-30-10

INSIDER ANGLES

The Los Angeles Lakers finally played a complete game vs. the young Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 on Tuesday, and the end result was a 111-87 shellacking.

Now granted, the Thunder have won both games at home during this series, but that result Tuesday suggested that the Lakers were on cruise control for the first four games, knowing that they can flip the switch whenever they wanted. Well, even with this game in Oklahoma, look for the Lakers to wrap up this series in Game 6 Friday night.

We look for the Lakers to show up with a full effort again here, as they do not want to set up a winner-take-all Game 7 where anything can happen. They did just that on Tuesday, and the end result was an unbelievable 53.8-percent shooting performance, as Oklahoma City seemed helpless in trying to prevent the Lakers from getting whatever they wanted. At the same time, the Laker defense held the Thunder to an anemic 36.9 percent shooting.

The Thunder are a game club that may become one of the elite teams in the league within a couple of years, but they have to be disheartened here after that last performance, and truth be told, team leader Kevin Durant has not really shot the ball well for this entire series. It is also frustrating to know that Oklahoma City has never beaten the Lakers in Los Angeles, meaning that a home win here may only extend their misery.

Now, we do not expect a total LA domination like in Game 5, as the Thunder have been tough at home all year. However, we do expect the Lakers to do enough to bring this series to a halt.

NBA Friday Pick: Lakers +1.5

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Re: 4-30-10

Stan Lisowski

4* Denver / Utah Under 217

Utah has a strong 66% tendency towards going under in post season home games. In this series this year, the games played in Utah have averaged 14 points less than in Denver in the regular season and 16 points less during the playoffs. Denver is on a 4-16 run to the under on the road in the post-season.

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Re: 4-30-10

WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING

Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
954 PHIL ML -151 $5
956 FL ML -225 $6
960 STL ML -200 $13
966 SF ML -133 $14
964 LAD ML -255 $17
968 NYY ML -240 $6
973 BOS ML -160 $6
975 LAA ML -117 $7
980 SEA ML -150 $7

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
56 PITT ML -250 $10
56 PITT -1.5 +120 $5
56 Pit / Mon UN 5.5 -103 $5

SERIES BETS
3102 CHI WIN SERIES -135 $10
NJ to WIN Eastern Conference +650 $4
Chi to WIN Western Conference +215 $5

National Basketball Association
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
553 ATL -2 -101 $10
558 UTAH -4.5 -104 $7

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Re: 4-30-10

MATT FARGO
10* LA Lakers +1.5
9* Utah Jazz -4.5
8* Milwaukee Bucks +2

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Re: 4-30-10

Scott Spreitzer

Knockout, 1-1 yesterday with Knockouts
Date: Friday, April 30, 2010

I'm playing the Lakers on Friday night. All of the talk about Kobe "taking the night off" in game four went out the window when the Lakers rocked OKC in game-five. The biggest adjustment from the two losing games in Oklahoma City to the game-five easy win was not necessarily Kobe's offensive game, but instead, what he did on the defensive end. The Lakers were being bothered by Russell Westbrook's play on OKC's offensive end. So, before game-five, Kobe told Phil Jackson to let him cover Westbrook. The rest is history. While solid teams counter their opponents adjustments next time out, I just don't believe the Thunder have the experience to make it happen. The Lakers regained their swagger, and I doubt they'll let up now. Derek Fisher said it's all about emotion at this point. Fisher said, "...we'll have to be the team that keeps our emotions and our poise in check the most." In a situation like this, I'd much rather side with the veteran-laden, defending NBA champs, than a bunch of talented, but very young upstarts. Los Angeles knows a thing or two about closing teams out on the road. They're shooting for their third straight tonight, going back to last season. The Lakers are an outstanding 18-4 SU when playing on at least two days rest, winning by an average of 102-94. The Lakers are 33-19 ATS as a dog this season, albeit a small one at the time of this release. I believe the Lakers hit their rock-bottom in game-four, and finally flipped on the playoff switch in game-five. Kobe took over by limiting Westbrook and I don't believe OKC will have the answer. I'm playing the L.A. Lakers, my Friday night Knockout. Thanks! GL! Scott.

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Re: 4-30-10

Scott Spreitzer Game of the Year
Date: Friday, April 30, 2010

I'm laying the points with the Jazz on Friday night. I had Denver and cashed last time out, but this Nuggets' team is not playing with much intensity on the defensive end, and their team chemistry leaves a lot to be desired. One of the biggest problems for Denver in this particular opponent, is the fact that Denver plays a lazy brand of defense. They look to force turnovers, rather than denying shots. That's not the greatest strategy when facing a team that's led by Deron Williams. The Utah guard just doesn't make a lot of mistakes. Instead, he takes care of the ball and finds the open man...normally in the paint in this series. Utah has killed the Nuggets inside and nothing changes tonight. The Jazz are shooting "lights-out" because they're getting a plethora of high-percentage looks. With the way Denver is playing on the defensive end, I expect the opportunities to be there again tonight. The Jazz scored a combined 98 points in the paint in their last two wins in this series. While Utah is a tough nut to crack in Salt Lake (25-9-2 ATS run), the Nuggets have been a serious money-burner on the road, going 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 away from home. In fact, Denver has covered just 6 of their last 21, overall. The Jazz are not only on a 20-6 ATS run off a SU loss, but they're also on an 8-1-1 ATS run as a playoff fave of less than five points (4 1/2 at the time of this release). Look for Utah to take care of business, pounding the ball inside one more night, eliminating the Nuggets. I'm laying the points with Utah on Friday, my 1st Round Western Conference Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott.

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Re: 4-30-10

Dan Bebe | NBA Sides Fri, 04/30/10 - 10:05 PM

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triple-dime bet UTA -4.5 (-110)

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Re: 4-30-10

the booooj 4/30

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atlanta-2 15 unit

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Re: 4-30-10

Cajun-Sports Executive Club & Free Play Friday


Friday, April 30, 2010
Handicapper: Cajun Sports
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT Free Play
Pick: Money Line: -147 Seattle Mariners Play Title: Cajun Sports MLB 2-Star Complimentary Selection
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Texas Rangers travel to the Pacific Northwest for a weekend series against the host Seattle Mariners with the opening game Friday night and the first pitch set for 10:10PM EST. Texas will send right-hander Colby Lewis to the bump with his 3-0 record and ERA of 3.80. On the highway his ERA increases to 4.36 but he is still perfect with a record of 1-0 while his team is 1-1 with him taking the hill on the road this season. The Rangers are 3-6 overall on the road and 2-6 when facing left-handed starters. Seattle will send left-hander Cliff Lee to the mound for his first start of the 2010 campaign. Lee was traded from Philadelphia during the off-season after pitching extremely well for the Phillies last season. The Mariners have been tough at home posting a record of 7-2 for +5.3 units of profit. They are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season while the Rangers have only managed 3.8 runs per game on the road. The Rangers have struggled against southpaws on the highway the last couple seasons going 8-21 (-12.9) their last two campaigns. Our TPR Index projects a Mariners win by 2.2 runs over the Rangers on Friday night. The Math Model also favors the host in this situation with Seattle winning by 1.87 runs. Finally a check of the database reveals a powerful league-wide system that tells us to Play AGAINST MLB (AL) road underdogs in this price range with a batting average of .260 or worse facing a team with a solid bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better with a starting pitcher that gives up .5 or less homeruns per start. Playing against the underdogs has produced a record of 40-8 the last five seasons and a profit of +28.1 units of profit. With solid technical and situational support we will back the host team here as the Mariners open this three-game set with a victory on Friday night.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Seattle Mariners 4 Texas Rangers 2


Handicapper: Cajun Sports
Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz (NBA) - 10:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -4.5/-110 Utah Jazz Play Title: Cajuns NBA 5-Star Black Magic Game of the Month
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Denver Nuggets travel to Utah for Game Six of their best-of-seven series versus the Jazz trailing two games to three. Denver was able to hold off elimination with a 116 to 102 pounding of the Jazz in the Mile High City in Game Five but the inevitable is at hand tonight in Utah. The Nuggets were able to slow the Jazz offense in Game Five holding them to a series low 45.2 percent from the field. It’s highly unlikely they will be able to match that performance tonight in Salt Lake. Denver got solid performances from several role players and five Nuggets other than Carmelo Anthony scored double-digits in that win. The Jazz will look to Deron Williams who became the first player in NBA history to record five straight twenty-point/ten assist double-doubles to start a series to once again lead this team to victory. Utah is 8-2 ATS coming off a double-digit loss and 17-4 ATS off a road loss. Denver has not been the same team on the road especially when it comes to covering the spread going 1-8-1 ATS their last ten away from the Mile High City. Denver’s poor play recently against the number triggers a league-wide system that tells us to Play Against NBA road teams after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against the spread, in a game involving teams with a win percentage of sixty to seventy-five percent. This system has produced a record of 83-53 ATS the last five seasons for 61 percent winners and 24.7 units of profit. We also have three power angles that support the Jazz in this situation. Utah is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 110 points or more this season, 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more this season and 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points this season. A check of our database reveals two league-wide systems that are active for tonight’s Game Six. Play AGAINST an NBA playoff team with 3 series losses and less than 2 days rest off a straight up win shooting 47 percent or better from the three-point line. These teams are 0-8 ATS in their next game and fail to cover the spread by a whopping 13.0 points per game. The final system won last night with San Antonio closing out their series with the Dallas Mavericks. This system says to Play ON an NBA playoff team with a 3-2 series lead off a straight up loss in its last game and not a straight up win of 21 or more points prior to that loss. These teams are now a perfect 10-0 ATS and average covering the spread by a remarkable 18.2 points per game. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a big win for the host Jazz on Friday night in Salt Lake City winning by 11.4 points. Our Math Model and PPR Index also favor the Jazz by 10.6 and 12.0 points over the visiting Denver Nuggets. The combination of strong fundamentals, technical and situational support all point to a solid win and cover by the Utah Jazz as they close out this series and advance to the next round of the playoffs. Lay the short price with Utah as they cash the winning ticket on Friday night.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Utah Jazz 109 Denver Nuggets 99


Handicapper: Cajun Sports
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 106 Minnesota Twins Play Title: MLB 4-Star "Shocker" Game of the Week
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Twins travel to Cleveland for a weekend series with the Indians. Minnesota is 14-7 on the season showing a 5.7 unit profit overall. They are 71-46 playing in the first game of a series for a profit of +2410 units. The Twins are 8-4 on the road, 10-6 versus right-handed starters and 10-2 when playing under the lights this season. Minnesota ranks eighth in pitching overall with a team ERA of 3.68 and their opponents are hitting .262 against them. In the hitting category the Twins are ranked thirteenth with a batting average of .264 averaging five runs per game. Their bullpen has done a nice job with an overall ERA of 2.90 and a road ERA of 2.50. Cleveland is 16-32 (-15.6 Units) versus a bullpen that converts on 75 percent or more of their save opportunities the last 2 seasons. Minnesota faces an Indians team that is 9-12 on the year and 5-9 versus right-handed starters. Cleveland ranks twenty-seventh in the league in hitting with a batting average of .238 averaging 3.5 runs per game. The Indians rank thirteenth in pitching with an ERA of 3.93 and teams are hitting .254 against them with OPS of .776. The Twins will send Kevin Slowey to the bump with his 2-2 record and ERA of 3.42. In his career versus the Indians he is a profitable 4-2 with a 3.55 ERA including a win back on April 20th where the Twins got the win 5 to 1. He pitched eight strong innings giving up one earned run on five hits no walks and nine strikeouts. Cleveland will send Fausto Caromona to the hill with his perfect 3-0 mark and ERA of 2.96 on the season. Over his career versus the Twins he is 3-5 with an ERA of 5.15 with his last start coming last September where he lost 5 to 4 going 5.3 innings giving up five earned runs on nine hits three walks and three strikeouts. We know that teams coming off a loss in which their opponent left fewer than ten runners on base are only 28-43 for a profit of +1415 units when playing against them. This system qualifies the Cleveland Indians as the play AGAINST team here versus the Twins. We have another play AGAINST MLB System that qualifies Cleveland and it says to Play AGAINST any MLB team who scores 4.2 or fewer runs per game against a team whose bullpen has an ERA of 3.33 or better with a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits per start. Playing against these teams has produced a record of 70-28 for 71.4 percent and +35.9 units of profit. We look for Caromona’s win streak to end here as the Twins have the better overall team and Slowey has had success against the tribe over his career including earlier this season holding them to only one run. We will back the road underdog here as the Twins grab an opening game win and set the tone for this weekend series versus the Indians.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 4* Minnesota Twins 6 Cleveland Indians 3

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Re: 4-30-10

Don Wallace Sports

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NBA

4* Utah -4.5 over Denver

passed yesterday

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Re: 4-30-10

SR Computer Picks

Boston Red Sox -165
St. Louis Cardinals -200
San Francisco Giants -140

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Re: 4-30-10

Johnny Guild

Friday, Apri 30th, 2010 7:00 PM EST.
Atlanta Hawks (55-32) at Milwaukee Bucks (49-38)
Milwaukee will have their boisterous home crowd behind them tonight at the Bradley Center. Look for the keyed up Bucks to finish off the Hawks tonight in Milwaukee. The Bucks whip the Hawks in both games of this series in Milwaukee and have won 20 of its last 24 clashes at home against Atlanta. Meanwhile, The Hawks have played awful away from home. Atlanta has lost eight of their last 10 road games, just 19-24 this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.

Milwaukee Bucks + 2
Over - 190


10:05 PM EST. Denver Nuggets (55-32) at Utah Jazz (56-31)

Utah Jazz -5

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Re: 4-30-10

Gina

Friday, April 30th, 2010 7:05 p.m. est.

Chicago White Sox (9-13) at New York Yankees (14-7)
(R) Freddy Garcia (0-2) vs. (L) Andy Pettitte (3-0)

The White Sox have lost six of their last 7 games away from home and the last 5 meetings at Yankee Stadium. Go with the Yankees at home with veteran lefty Andy Pettitte on the hill.

Chicago's right-hander Freddy Garcia is 0-2 with a 5.82 ERA in his last three starts and is 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA in 10 career appearancers against the Yankees.

New York's lefthander Andy Pettitte is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last three starts and is 11-9 with a 4.34 ERA in 24 career appearancers against Chicago.
MLB

New York Yankees -250 (Ty for this)


Friday, April 30th, 2010 10:00 p.m. est.
(4) Denver Nuggets (2-3) at (5) Utah Jazz (3-2)
Utah Jazz are 34-9 at home this season and have won 12 of their last 13 games at home, going 10-3 ATS. Meanwhile, Denver Nuggets have lost 8 of its last 10 road games, going 1-8-1 ATS and are just 19-24 away from home this season.
Go with the Jazz in their house to bring the Nuggets season to an end. They have beaten Denver in seven of the last eight contests at home.

NBA Playoffs Utah Jazz -6

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Re: 4-30-10

Erin Rynning

nba
lakers under 194.5
denv under 216

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Re: 4-30-10

Vr 4/30

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Los/Pit under 8.5. 2* morning moves personal play