4-30-10

[Mr. IWS]

ATTN! WE ARE LOOKING FOR A SERVICE PLAYS MODERATOR. IF YOU ARE INTERESTED, CONTACT ME VIA PM TO DISCUSS.

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-30-10

Big Al - 4/30

games are rated from 3* to 5* and Opinion (1*)

Opinios 25-16 (MLB)


Baseball Plays for Friday, April 30

3* Rangers +132 (Lewis/Lee)
3* Angels -124 (Pineiro/Porcello)
Opinion Mets/Phillies 'under' 10.5 (Niese/Kendrick)


Basketball Plays for Friday, April 30

3* Jazz -4.5
3* Thunder -1.5
Opinion Hawks -2


Horse Racing selection for Saturday, May 1

Kentucky Derby: Lookin at Lucky (bet to Win)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-30-10

Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Apr 30 2010 2:20PM
Prediction: Chicago Cubs
Reason: I'm laying the price with the CHICAGO CUBS. The Diamondbacks scored the upset in yesterday's opener but I expect the Cubs to bounce back in a big way this afternoon. Wells gets the call and he's 2-0 with an excellent 2.49 ERA through four starts. Last time out, he allowed two runs through seven complete innings, en route to earning a 12-2 victory at Milwaukee. Note that he had six K's and zero walks. Lopez goes for the visitors and, unlike Wells, he's coming off a rough outing. While he escaped with a no-decision, he allowed 10 hits and six earned runs. That was at home, but Lopez also struggled in his lone road start. In that outing, at LA on 4/14, he gave up 11 hits in five innings, allowing five runs, four of them earned. Wells dominated in his only start against the Diamondbacks. In that game, he had a whopping 10 K's in seven innings, en route to earning a 5-0 victory. He allowed just three hits while walking only one. That works out to a 0.00 ERA and 0.571 WHIP. On the other hand, Well has an ugly 7.59 ERA in two starts against the Cubs. He was awful in his lone start here at Wrigley, allowing eight earned runs in 4 2/3 innings. He only had one strikeout, walked four batters and gave up nine hits. Even with yesterday's victory, Arizona is still just 49-59 in day games the past 2+ seasons. During that stretch, the Cubs are 97-69 when they've played during the day. After yesterday's loss, manager Lou Piniella noted: "We've got to have a little urgency" and I expect to see that today as the Cubs bounce back and even up the series. *8

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-30-10

Scott Spreitzer

Knockout, 1-1 yesterday with Knockouts
Date: Friday, April 30, 2010

I'm playing the Lakers on Friday night. All of the talk about Kobe "taking the night off" in game four went out the window when the Lakers rocked OKC in game-five. The biggest adjustment from the two losing games in Oklahoma City to the game-five easy win was not necessarily Kobe's offensive game, but instead, what he did on the defensive end. The Lakers were being bothered by Russell Westbrook's play on OKC's offensive end. So, before game-five, Kobe told Phil Jackson to let him cover Westbrook. The rest is history. While solid teams counter their opponents adjustments next time out, I just don't believe the Thunder have the experience to make it happen. The Lakers regained their swagger, and I doubt they'll let up now. Derek Fisher said it's all about emotion at this point. Fisher said, "...we'll have to be the team that keeps our emotions and our poise in check the most." In a situation like this, I'd much rather side with the veteran-laden, defending NBA champs, than a bunch of talented, but very young upstarts. Los Angeles knows a thing or two about closing teams out on the road. They're shooting for their third straight tonight, going back to last season. The Lakers are an outstanding 18-4 SU when playing on at least two days rest, winning by an average of 102-94. The Lakers are 33-19 ATS as a dog this season, albeit a small one at the time of this release. I believe the Lakers hit their rock-bottom in game-four, and finally flipped on the playoff switch in game-five. Kobe took over by limiting Westbrook and I don't believe OKC will have the answer. I'm playing the L.A. Lakers, my Friday night Knockout. Thanks! GL! Scott.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-30-10

Scott Spreitzer Game of the Year
Date: Friday, April 30, 2010

I'm laying the points with the Jazz on Friday night. I had Denver and cashed last time out, but this Nuggets' team is not playing with much intensity on the defensive end, and their team chemistry leaves a lot to be desired. One of the biggest problems for Denver in this particular opponent, is the fact that Denver plays a lazy brand of defense. They look to force turnovers, rather than denying shots. That's not the greatest strategy when facing a team that's led by Deron Williams. The Utah guard just doesn't make a lot of mistakes. Instead, he takes care of the ball and finds the open man...normally in the paint in this series. Utah has killed the Nuggets inside and nothing changes tonight. The Jazz are shooting "lights-out" because they're getting a plethora of high-percentage looks. With the way Denver is playing on the defensive end, I expect the opportunities to be there again tonight. The Jazz scored a combined 98 points in the paint in their last two wins in this series. While Utah is a tough nut to crack in Salt Lake (25-9-2 ATS run), the Nuggets have been a serious money-burner on the road, going 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 away from home. In fact, Denver has covered just 6 of their last 21, overall. The Jazz are not only on a 20-6 ATS run off a SU loss, but they're also on an 8-1-1 ATS run as a playoff fave of less than five points (4 1/2 at the time of this release). Look for Utah to take care of business, pounding the ball inside one more night, eliminating the Nuggets. I'm laying the points with Utah on Friday, my 1st Round Western Conference Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-30-10

DR BOB

NBA
Opinion
MILWAUKEE (+2) over Atlanta
30-Apr-10 04:05 PM Pacific Time
I'll lean with Milwaukee as an underdog.

Play Strength:

Opinion
OKLAHOMA CITY (pick) versus L.A. Lakers
30-Apr-10 06:35 PM Pacific Time
I'll lean slightly with Oklahoma City at -1 or better.

Play Strength:

3 Star Selection
UTAH (-5 1/2) over Denver
30-Apr-10 07:05 PM Pacific Time
I'll take Utah in a 3-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -7.

Play Strength: 3-Stars at -6 or less, 2-Stars up to -7.