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Re: 5-6-10
Marc Lawrence
3* atlanta hawks
Marc Lawrence
3* atlanta hawks
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Re: 5-6-10
jeff benton thursday
Thursday's Action 15 Dime: ORLANDO MAGIC
Magic
As someone who believes greatly in the NBA playoff “zigzag theory” I wanted to grab the points with the Hawks tonight, I really, really did. After all, the pointspread loser in Game 1 of both the Celtics-Cavs and Lakers-Jazz series came back to cover in Game 2.
But in the end, I couldn’t pull the trigger. I couldn’t pull the trigger because I just absolutely cannot get the images of that Game 1 rout out of my head. Not only did the Hawks lose by 43 points, they got outscored by 39 points in the second and third quarters (60-21).
Seriously, Game 1 was exactly as one-sided as the score indicates. Atlanta made just 28 field goals in 81 attempts, had 35 total rebounds and 24 personal fouls. Orlando made 44 field goals in 84 attempts, had 53 rebounds and 17 fouls. And with Dwight Howard (21 points, 12 rebounds) leading the way, the Magic outscored the Hawks 56-34 in the paint.
Now, it would be one thing if you could just dismiss Game 1 as a fluke. But there’s no way you can. That’s because the Magic have now defeated Atlanta seven times in the last eight meetings, and I’m talking both straight-up and against the number. In the last four meetings in Orlando, here were the final scores:
Orlando 114, Atlanta 71
Orlando 104, Atlanta 86
Orlando 113, Atlanta 81
Orlando 121, Atlanta 87
That’s four wins by an average – an AVERAGE! – of 31.8 points per game!
That’s not a trend, folks. That’s a major, major mismatch. Throw in a 17-point road victory in Atlanta in the first meeting this season, and the Magic’s four wins over the Hawks this year have been by margins of 17, 32, 18 and 43 points.
Guys, the Magic own Atlanta, and both teams know it. And watching the Hawks’ body language throughout Game 1, they looked like a team that’s resigned to a negative outcome. At the same time, the Magic are a team on a freaking mission. Don’t forget, while every other team that locked up its playoff seed rested starters in the final week of the regular season, Orlando coach Stan Van Gundy kept the pedal to the metal. As a result, the Magic come into this game having won a season-best 11 consecutive games, going 10-1 ATS (the only non-cover was a nine-point victory over Charlotte as a 10-point chalk in Game 1 of the opening round).
That 11-game winning streak includes eight double-digit routs, with wins by margins of 43, 15, 10, 14, 20, 15, 27 and 15 points.
Furthermore, since January 20, the Magic are 38-8, and of those 38 wins, 26 have been by 10 points or more!
Finally, consider this: The SU winner has covered the pointspread in each of the last 18 meetings between these teams, and the SU winner is 24-1 ATS in the Hawks’ last 25 playoff games. What that means is if you pick the winner of this game, you’re almost certain to cash your ticket. Well, do you think Atlanta is going to recover from a 43-point deficit in 24 hours and score the upset tonight? Neither do I.
Lay the points as the motivated Magic remain perfect in the playoffs and run their winning streak to a dozen.Comment
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Re: 5-6-10
JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Thu, 05/06/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ
triple-dime bet 959 ARI (-135) BetUS vs 960 HOU
Analysis:
Arizona D Backs - 135 on the road tonight vs those Astros
let's break this baby down
Those pesky (9-18) Houston Astros tonight will be the right medicine for the D Haren lead (13-15) Arizona Diamond Backs off a tough loss last night. Haren will spin a gem tonight @ Minute Made park as the stellar right-hander has a 2.61 ERA and 3 consecutive wins over the Astros. Looking at the Houston hurler W. Rodriguez he has been bombed by the D backs as a 9 ERA and a 5.56 ERA will put all our cold cash on the road team tonight. Let's roll the D Backs and Haren tonight as our power ratings have a 2.6 run margin in favor of the Rattle snakes.
PLAY THE D BACKS BIG!!!!!!!!!!!Comment
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Re: 5-6-10
Greg Shaker | MLB Total Thu, 05/06/10 - 10:10 PM ƒŠ
triple-dime bet 961 MIL / 962 LOS Over 9 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers - Over 9 (Bush/Ely) -115 | Unit Value: 3 Unit (TOTAL OF WEEK)
Game Date: 5/6/2010
Note: The Milwaukee Brewers continue to lead the National League in runs scored as they have most of the year plating an amazing 22 times the last 2 games at Dodger Stadium. This park has been an OVER Bonanza lately and mostly due the the LAD Throwing Staff which has been very poor this year and toward the latter part of last year. One of the most interesting things about the Brewers is the fact that while they are scoring runs, they are still 3 games below .500. That must mean poor pitching and it does. Both Bullpens are way below par and within the bottom 20% of either league. Both Pens have also been worked to death most recently and if the starters don't get some good innings, we are likely to see these guys enter the game at less than 100%. With Both Bush and Ely not off to good starts there is a good chance that second line throwers for both teams will be called upon early. You Trenders will enjoy the fact that Milwaukee is OVER the mark at 25-8-4 and LAD is OVER the mark at 21-9. Umpire enthuSIAsts will point to Timmons who is 5-0 Under behind the plate this year with just 5.83 RPG. But that is not who he is and his worked games have seen over 10.4 rpg the last 2 years. Clearly an abberation. This play warrents 3 Unit Status.
Greg Shaker | MLB Total Thu, 05/06/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 965 KAN / 966 TEX Over 9.5 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers - Over 9.5 (Davies/Harrison) -115 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 5/6/2010
Note: The Rangers are back at home where they can score and the fact is, this park is a OVER Venue and the two throwers tonight are likely to have problems. Harrison has not looked good at all this year although his last start was a pretty good one. That was at Seattle facing a team that has not produced runs this year and a park nowhere near this one in Arlington. While KC is not what I would consider a scoring machine, they do hit lefties very well and they have had good success verses Harrison scoring 8 times in 11.2 Innings. We will have a pretty brisk wind blowing in from right tonight but this game is not about wind direction and the fact is, OVER is 2-0 here with the exact same weather pattern as we have tonight.Comment
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Re: 5-6-10
BOB BALFE
Washington Nationals +120
Both pitchers are having decent years, but the fact is the Braves are so poor on the road. The Nationals are a decent home team and, for being such a bad team for many years, should have a decent season this year. Look for Washington to get a nice home win here at a great value. Take the NationalsComment
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Re: 5-6-10
THE DUKE SPORTS
Atlanta Over (189') for 2 Units
In Game 1, the Hawks were getting some good looks but nothing was falling in the basket; today, we'll look for Crawford, Johnson, and Bibby to make a much better offensive contribution. The Hawks are 17-7 O/U following an ATS loss, 7-2 O/U as a road dog, and 8-0 O/U following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Magic, on the other hand, should continue to find open looks to the basket vs the undersized Hawks. Howard, Carter and Nelson shot a high percentage with little resistance; tonight, we don't see the Hawks concocting a magic formula to slow down the Magic; after all, Orlando has averaged 113 ppg (minimum of 104) in their last 4 games at home vs Atlanta. Orlando is 3-1 O/U after scoring 100+, and they're 6-1 O/U after allowing 75 or less in previous game. "Over" the call.Comment
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