5-11-10

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Re: 5-11-10

Anthony Redd: 30 dime on the Celtics (1st half) + 20 dime on the Celtics

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Re: 5-11-10

Bobby Maxwell: 300 units on the Cavs + 100 units on the Padres (list both pitchers

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Chris Jordan: 300 units on the RUN line Phillies

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Chuck O'Brien: 20 dime on the RUN line Phillies + 10 dime on the RUN line Rangers + 10 dime on the Nationals

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Derek Mancini: 10 dime on the Cavs + 5 dime on the RUN line Phillies

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Re: 5-11-10

Karl Garrett: 20 dime on the Cavs + 10 dime on the Braves

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Re: 5-11-10

Michael Cannon: 25 dime play on the Cavs + 10 dime on the Tigers

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Re: 5-11-10

Stephen Nover: 25 dime play on the UNDER Cavs/Celtics + 10 dime on the Braves

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Re: 5-11-10

Tom Law

Houston-4*
und houston-4*
und minny-4*

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Re: 5-11-10

v/r...2* White Sox/Twins under 9
2* Cavs -7.5
2* Celtics/Cavs Under 194
3* Blue Jays/Red Sox under 10.5

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Re: 5-11-10

Nsa
20 stars cavs -7.5
20 stars blackhawks +110
20 stars yanks-145 rain out

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Re: 5-11-10

HOPE EVERYONE FOUND WHAT THEY WERE LOOKING FOR...IF NOT WE WILL TRY AGAIN TOMARROW!!!.....BOL.

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Re: 5-11-10

Dave Cokin
Solid Gold Play

Matchup: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CUETO, J vs. (R) MORTON, C

Play: Cincinnati (ML -120)

The Pirates are actually within hailing distance of being .500, but don't be misled. This is a bad baseball team, and the run differential on the season tells a more accurate story of their true level. But because the overall record isn't awful, the result is that there are some reasonable prices in games where the Bucs would seem to be at a distinct disadvantage. Tonight is one those scenarios. Johnny Cueto has turned into a six-inning pitcher, but with a decent bullpen to finish things up, Cueto can garner his share of wins if he's just keeps his side in the game. He's flashed his best form of the season lately, so this is not a bad time to back Cueto, especially against a soft attack that he's handled well throughout his career. Charlie Morton has saved his spot in the Pittsburgh rotation with a couple of okay efforts, but I'm not at all convinced he's turned the corner. I also like the fact Evan Meek worked a couple of innings in relief on Monday. He's been the best bullpen component for the Bucs but does not figure to see action tonight. The price here is not bad at all, and I'm backing Cueto and the Reds to earn the victory.

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Matchup: Washington at N.Y. Mets

Listed pitchers must go: (L) OLSEN, S vs. (L) NIESE, J

Play: Under (8.5 -110)

A pair of hot pitchers along with two spotty offenses and the right umpire add up to a Total selection in tonight's Nationals-Mets hookup. Neither Scott Olsen nor Jon Niese are going to be anything other than spectators come All-Star time. But both are in solid form right now. Olsen nearly no-hit the Braves last outing, and he's allowed just one earned run in his last 20 innings. Niese has come on nicely and has pitched exceptionally well at home so far this season. Neither offense is exactly sizzling right now, and John Hirschbeck and his generous strike zone are a pitcher's best friend. I don't see many runs going on the scoreboard this evening, so the Nationals-Mets play in on the Under.

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Re: 5-11-10

James Patrick

Matchup: Boston at Cleveland

Play: Cleveland (-7.5 -110)

Boston vs. Cleveland 8:00 p.m. est. TNT (Series tied at 2-2)
The Cavaliers fill a couple of great situations in Game #5 of this Eastern Conference Semi-Final series. Home Teams,(Cleveland), off a road loss to an opponent of (10) points or more and are installed as home favorites are (74-38) ATS for an outstanding (66.1%). Also Home Teams, (Cleveland), where the Total is between (190 to 199 1/2) points, revenging a straight-up loss versus an opponent as a favorite, against an opponent off a home win by (10) points or more are (30-11) ATS for (73.2%). The numbers don't lie so It's All for One and One for All with the Cleveland Cavaliers for us here.
5* Pot of Gold #734 Cleveland Cavaliers

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Re: 5-11-10

DAVID MALINSKY

4* NY YANKEES/DETROIT UNDER

A cool, perhaps even cold, night in Detroit with the wind blowing in from left rarely brings this kind of Total into play. But that is what happens with the starting pitchers show tags of 1-3/9.78 and 2-3/7.50. But neither Javier Vazquez nor Rick Porcello are going to remain anywhere near those production levels, and that gives us excellent value to step in here.

Vazquez is coming off 10 straight seasons in which he has made at least 30 starts, with half of them resulting in an ERA of less than 4.00, and his 2.87 ERA and 9.8 K’s per 9 were career bests LY. So it is not as though he is going to fall off the table. We can anticipate an ERA climb as he goes from a favorable park for a flyball pitcher in Atlanta to Yankee Stadium, and some tougher A.L. ballparks for his style, but we will also see that same pop from his arm, and note that even in the disastrous bottom line so far he has recorded 20 K’s in 23 IP. Now he has been skipped for a start to get his head back in order, and the combination of tonight’s weather, and a Detroit offense that is tied for 24th in the Majors in home runs, bodes well for his correction to begin. And with no fatigue issues for any key bullpen arms the latter stages are in good hands.

Then there is Rick Porcello. To go from the 14-9/3.96 of his rookie to season to the current 2-3/7.50 looks like a precipitous drop, but take a closer look. In 2009 he had 2.74 W’s per 9, that has only gone to 3.0. In 2009 he had 4.69 K’s per 9, that is actually up to 5.70. In 2009 he allowed 1.21 HR’s per 9, that is down to 0.9. And once again he is keeping the ball down in the strike zone, with 2.42 ground ball outs for every fly-out. So what has gone wrong? A little bit of baseball geometry. There are 123 pitchers that have worked at least 30 innings, and his BABIP sits at #3, a .398 rate that will play back in his favor in the innings ahead. Behind him is a bullpen that has been the best in the Major Leagues so far in 2010, and with only Joel Zumaya carrying a fatigue rating there are plenty of good options for Jim Leyland in the end-game.

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