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MTI Sports
PREMIUM
Game: Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels May 15 2010 9:05PM
4* Prediction: Oakland Athletics
Reason: The A’s have dropped three straight, scoring a total of two runs in the three games. In yesterday’s series opener, Saunders threw a complete-game and the Angels won 4-0. A struggling opponent is one that Ervin Santana has trouble against, so we’ll grab the price.
LA is 0-7 with Santana starts as a favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series, losing by an average of 3.7 runs.
In Santana’s last start, he threw 115 pitches and went six and two-thirds, but got little run support and the Halos lost 8-1. This is another spot in which Santana is a poor investment. LA is 0-5 as a favorite with Santana when the Angels scored fewer than three runs in his last start – losing by an average of 5.4 runs per game as a 141 favorite. Ouch. Also, the Angels are 0-5 (-2.4 rpg) when Ervin Santana starts as a favorite after throwing 100-plus pitches on the road in his last start.
As a team, the Angels are 0-5 at home vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series, with four of the five coming from THIS season. In their last three, they lost 7-1, 9-2 and 7-2 and in three of the games they were more than a 150 favorite.
The A’s managed only four hits yesterday and “wasted” a fine effort from Braden, who pitched a complete game in the loss. Oakland has been a big money-maker in this spot, as they are 5-0 as a DOG when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they had six or fewer hits and their starter lasted more than five innings. Four of the five games are from THIS season. The Athletics have won by an average of 2.4 runs per game and they were +148 on the average. Let’s grab the price.
MTi’s FORECAST: Oakland 6 LA Angels 3
COMP PLAY
4-Star Washington at Colorado UNDER 8 runs - (THIS WAS FOR GAME 1)
Game: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals May 15 2010 7:10PM
Prediction: Chicago White Sox
Reason: Chicago starter Jake Peavy has allowed 2 runs total in his last 2 starts. The White Sox are 6-2 off a loss and they are 23-8 on Saturday. The White Sox are 56-39 vs. a team with a bullpen WHIP 1.65 or worse. Kansas City starter Luke Hochevar has 10 walks and 5 strikeouts in his last 3 starts. The Royals are 20-43 their last 63 home games and they are 5-15 in the last 20 starts made by Hochevar. The Royals are 51-109 their last 160 Saturday games. The Royals are 2-7 their last 9 games overall. 10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON CHICAGO - (Peavy vs. Hochevar)
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