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LA has won six straight for +6.9 units. They’ve also won 8-of-9. LA is hitting a spectacular .281 inside the division with a .358 OBP. They are 11-3 for +8.1 units to the NL West.
The Fathers are hitting an impotent .197 in their last seven games with a mere .285 OBP. Heck, for the year, they are hitting just .237.
Yes, Wade LeBlanc has been a nice surprise, but he will come back to earth against a team that is 3-1 against him. LeBlanc’s career numbers are an ERA of 6.27 with a WHIP of 1.821.
San Diego has lost five straight to right-handers. LA has won 5-of-6 with Billingsley versus San Diego.
Matt Rivers, of OffshoreInsiders.com says take the Minnesota Twins in the Bronx.
There is no doubt that the Yankees at home always seem to beat the Twins. Arod and the Bombers are great and clearly superior but it’s never easy to sweep any team no less a very good one which Minnesota is and Sergio Mitre laying a pretty penny to Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau is just wrong in any circle.
Nick Blackburn has had some issues this season but the righty has been a little better of late and even if he doesn’t hurl a gem should be better than Mitre. The Yankee Italian righthander has that sinker that really hasn’t sunk in years. When on the Marlins Mitre appeared to be a blossoming young talent but things went south thanks in part to injuries and right now the guy is lucky to be in the big leagues and even luckier that he is given a shot on the best team in the game.
Minnesota is always an extremely fundamentally sound club coached by one of the best in Ron Gardenhire and is going to come out today to win no matter how many times they lose to these Yankees at the Stadium. This team has top notch lefty bats and should get to Mitre the way the Tigers did in that last start and pull this thing out.
Matt Rivers MLB picks: Minnesota
The Celtics are in Orlando to take on the Magic in Game 1 of the EC Finals. Boston was dismissed by most as Cleveland was supposed to be here facing Orlando. But the Celtics dumped the Cavs in six games. Orlando has swept through the first two games of the playoffs winning eight straight games and covering the point spread in seven of the eight games. It’s been over a month since this Magic team lost a ball game as they have reeled off 15 straight wins and beat the line in 14 of those 15 contests. The Celtics and Magic have played four times this season with Orlando winning three of the four. The only Boston win was here in Orlando on Christmas afternoon when the Celtics upset the Magic 86-77. Three of the four have been low scoring games with three of the four going under the number. Do the Celtics have a chance to stop this powerful Orlando squad? They shut down the Cleveland offense by allowing the Cavs to shot 41% or less in four of the six games. However, this Orlando team has too many weapons and we think the Celtics won’t be able to stop them in this opening game. Orlando is shooting 49% from the field in the playoffs and scoring 101 points. There defense has been suffocating as they are allowing opponents to hit only 41% from the floor and only 84 points per game. That margin of victory in the playoffs is a whopping 17 points per game. Boston has been playing good, but Orlando have their way with them today. Play on Orlando.
San Diego has been very surprising this year with a 22-13 overall record. LA Dodgers is 3-7 this year against left handed starters. San Diego is 9-1 this year when playing against a team with a winning record. LA Dodgers is scoring only 3.6 runs per game against left handed starters this year. San Diego is a decent 11-6 at home this year. San Diego bullpen has been very good with a 2.79 ERA overall this year and a 2.53 ERA at home this season. Wade LeBlanc is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA overall this year, 1-0 with a 1.56 ERA at home and 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll play San Diego for 4 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.
Now we move forward to the first game of the Eastern finals and the Celtics see if they can continue their post season run but I do not like their chances here in game 1 at Orlando against arguably the hottest team in the league. What is interesting here is the Celtics are off an emotional battle as they sent the Cav's packing earlier than expected and the Magic have been clubbing opponents like baby seals. If the Magic come out and struggle all the talking heads will proclaim they are rusty, blah, blah, blah. I'm personally not buying into that train of thought and feel like they will have the fresher legs and be more than ready to continue their assault on a return trip to the finals where I suspect they would just love a rematch with the Lakers. One of the key factors in my view will be the Magic's clear advantage down in the post with Dwight Howard over Kendrick Perkins. The bottom line for me is that despite Boston's heroic effort against LeBron and company they are in a bit over their head here against the streaking Magic. The Magic have Jameer Nelson healthy this post season as opposed to last year and the benefits have been more than clear. Boston is a proud and extremely well coached club by Doc Rivers and I am not calling for a sweep by Stan Van Gundy's team but I clearly expect a fast start in the home opener as any rust should not last long enough to put the outcome in the opener in jeopardy. Any victories in this series for Rivers guys likely will come later back in the Garden. I just cannot see it in game 1. Orlando should pull away in this one guys and cover the number without a great deal of drama. Triple Star here on the Magic laying the 6.5.
Arizona's Dan Haren has not been pitching the way we're used to seeing him. Sure, he still strikes out a lot of batters, but he's also giving up more runs. Haren owns an un-Haren-like 4.23 ERA on the season, but it's his numbers against these Braves that really get my attention. Haren owns a 5.40 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. Several Braves hitters have had success against Haren, including Nate McLouth (3-for-6, 1 HR), Omar Infante (4-for-9), Melky Cabrera (4-for-10), Brian McCann (3-for-8, 1 HR), and Chipper Jones (3-for-8, 1 HR). Troy Glaus only has 2 hits in 9 at-bats against Haren (.222 BA), but one of those hits was a homer. And Yunel Escobar has a hit in 3 AB's against Haren.
On the flip side, Tim Hudson is having a solid season, sporting a 2.64 ERA that dips to 2.13 at home. He's been especially tough lately, posting a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts. Hudson hasn't faced the D'backs since '07, so his 4-0 record and 1.61 ERA in six career starts versus Arizona was not factored into my decision. But what did factor into my decision to back Atlanta today is the fact that only two current D'backs hitters have faced Hudson, which gives him the edge at least the first time through the lineup. And the way Hudson is pitching, I suspect it'll take Arizona's hitters more than one AB to get a feel for him. Those two hitters who have faced Hudson? Chris Snyder (1-for-5, 2 K's) and Adam LaRoche (1-for-6, 1 K).
What also factored into my decision is the bullpens. Arizona's bullpen is absolutely horrible, sporting a 7.03 ERA overall and a 7.95 ERA on the road. The 'Zona pen has been even worse than that lately, posting a bloated 10.06 ERA and 2.06 WHIP in their last three outings. The Atlanta pen owns a respectable 3.27 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the season, and a very solid 2.36 ERA at home.
Bottom line: I feel we have the edge in starting pitchers based not only on season stats, but also on how the opposing team's hitters have fared against them. Most of the D'backs will be facing Hudson for the first time, which also works in our favor. And let's not forget our HUGE edge in the bullpen. With the Braves getting embarrassed 11-1 last night, I expect a very solid performance from them tonight. Take Atlanta/Hudson over Arizona/Haren.
Oakland has not faced Piniero since 2006 and the Angels have been picking up their offense recently, with the exception of Thursday. The Angels are a team that has a lot of potential to climb over .500 and pose as a real threat towards the end of the season. Look for Piniero to have a decent outing and enough run support for the W. Take Los Angeles.
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