5-18-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-18-10

GREG SHAKER

MLB Total Tue, 05/18/10 - 7:10 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 957 NYM / 958 ATL Under 7.5 BetUS
Analysis: I am not going to bore you with stats for this game, but clearly we have history on our side tonight. Santana is just 1-4 in 7 starts throwing to the€ Braves but has an incredible ERA verses them and even better here in this park in 3 starts. Why is he not winning? Because the Mets have not produced enough runs, and guess what? They are not producing this year at all. They did manage a 3-2 win last night and in doing so picked up another UNDER for this year. They have been doing that a lot, because they have great Bullpen Work, better than average starting pitching, and a weak offense. Medlen is the key tonight but he has thrown 6 and 1/3 scoreless innings verses New York and this guy does have pretty good stuff. His first start this year was better than average verses the Phillies and these Mets are not even close to the Phils run production. Interestingly, both of these two teams have been playing a lot of Overs lately, but against each other, they have not met this posted number this year in 4 tries, and dating back to last year in 6 tries. We do not have a favorable wind situation for tonight. However, My MLB Model shows we will not see 8 runs 56.8% of the time, and that is good enough for me to play it.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-18-10

The Hammer Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2010
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CHICAGO CUBS w/SILVA -110 8:05 EST
NY YANKEES w/SABATHIA -175 7:05 EST

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-18-10

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2010
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STAT MASTER WIZARD BASEBALL TOTALS WINNER
UNDER 7.5 NY METS and ATLANTA BRAVES 7:10 EST

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

ANDY ISKOE

Angels at Rangers
Pick: Under 8.5

Jered Weaver has clearly been the Angels' most effective starter this season as has C J Wilson been for the Rangers as he's made a very successful conversion from reliever to starter. Both offenses have not been as potent as expected, especially Los Angeles, and this game should be played along the lines of last night's 4-3 game won by Texas. Both starters are capable of going deep into this contest and it would not surprise if this game was another tight contest with a "blowout" being no more than a 5-2 type final. More likely this game falls between a 6 and a 7.

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

JOYCE STERLING
10 STAR Play

Orlando -7.5

At home the Magic are averaging 104.9 scoring, and holding teams to 92.9 points scored on defense.
On the road, the Celtics are averaging 98.4 scoring.

Orlando will now have to overcome a loss for the first time in more than six weeks when the Magic face the resurgent Celtics in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals tonight.
It was a good wake up call.

The Magic, swept Atlanta and Charlotte in the first two rounds, haven't lost consecutive home games all season. They're banking on that streak continuing heading into Game 2, or their hopes of redeeming last year's NBA Finals loss to the Lakers could be crushed

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

HEAVY HITTER TEAM

MLB 5 STAR HOME DOG TONIGHT
++ HEAVY STATS++

Seattle @ Oakland 10:00 EST Oakland +135
The Mariners just don't have any punch in that offense. B. Sheets has been brilliant at home. F. Hernandez has slumped lately. Oakland is 4-0 at home against right handers and 5-1 as a home dog

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Boston Blackie
Plays are in RED

5***** Game


OVER 188.5
Both Teams are fired up

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

The Shark
We rocked the books again last night! Nothing but winner's!!

And we are going to keep on doing it!

Today is another easy day

Philadelphia
Breezes again, but it's Halladay and you know the drill -1.5 runs -140

Tampa also -1 .5 runs -120

NY Mets -120

If you play off shore or with an on line book parlay the three.
If you have been following my selections you are up pretty good.
Let loose a little and triple up your bankroll.
(that's what the parlay will do for you)

But play the games straight besides, always do that 1st!
I don't want anyone ever to lose

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Champion Sports


NBA MULTI: SIDE AND TOTAL DOMINATOR
Complete Info To Win

Boston vs. Orlando 8:30 EST
Boston +7.5 and OVER 188
Celtics don't have their backs against the wall as the Magic do here. As well coached and self disciplined as Boston is, we don't see them straying too far from their game plan. The Celtics have three guys who are big enough to body D. Howard, and two of them have a very legit track record. Either they upset again or keep it close.
Orlando averages 102.4 ppg and Celtics average 99 ppg., so we like the OVER in this spot.

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

The Shark
NBA


``Nobody's perfect,' said Magic forward Rashard Lewis, who had six points on just 2-for-10 shooting in Game 1. ``It would have been great if we could have swept everybody and won a championship that way. But you're going to lose games.
Good teams bounce back from losses, and we're a good team.'

True as that is, I am very uncomfortable giving up 7 1/2 points after what I watched. The logical play is the under 188 1/2 since it is such a defensive series. But, I am taking the 7 1/2 and Boston. They won't lose by that much (if they lose at all).
I'm taking advantage of the generous line this time. They "caught me" once.

Boston +7 1/2

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

David Malinsky

4* SAN DIEGO/SAN FRANCISCO OVER

To see a “6” posted for a Total on the MLB Diamonds is the kind of rarified air one usually associates with a climb into the Himalayas, and not a Jonathan Sanchez/Matt Latos matchup. But the oddsmakers were forced into a short range because these two starters have hooked up in a pair of 1-0 decisions already, and the markets are naturally using that recent history to trickle the line even lower (you can find some Over 6 at low vigorish). That brings the kind of value to get us into play as the pendulums begin to swing the other way.

Yes, these two have dominated the lineups that they are going to face tonight. But there is absolutely a diminishing returns aspect, especially since a lot of baseball geometry has been in play. When it is the third time around against a particular starter this early in the season, especially in a second quick look after Sanchez and Latos hooked up in San Francisco last week, it means that the hitters have pretty much seen the entire repertoire from both arms. And while the swings have been feeble so far, they will get better. First let’s note the favorable rides these two moundsmen have had. There are 137 pitchers that worked at least 30 innings so far, and Latos checks in at #136 and Sanchez at #134 on BABIP. And in terms of difficulty of batters faced, it is #129 for Sanchez and #115 for Latos. Their head-to-head encounters carry a lot of weight in those tables, of course, and the BABIP numbers for each could easily finished 60-70 batting average points above their current levels.

Note that if we take away the two starts vs. San Francisco it has been a 1-3/5.27 for Latos this season, in line with his 4-5/4.62 of LY. A third look in less than a month gives a significant adjustment advantage to the Giant hitters, and while added plate appearances are not as big of an edge against the heat that Sanchez brings from a contact standpoint, the Padres can be counted on to bring more patience to the plate, making his mediocre control (20 W’s in 44 IP) an issue. It does not take much to get over this low speed bump, and this time around the hitters can bring that production.

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

JOHNNY GUILD

NBA BASKETBALL Tuesday, May 18th, 2010 8:30 PM EST.Orlando is a solid team and I believe they will recover and play tough tonight at Amway, but laying 7.5 points is a bit hefty against the Celtics. Look for the Celtics to control the tempo and keep this clash close again in a low scoring defensive battle.

Trends:
Orlando is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home.
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
Boston is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando
Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
The total has gone 'under' in 8 of the last 9 meetings.
The total has gone 'under' in 4 of the last 5 mettings in Orlando.


Boston Celtics +6.5
Under -189

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

WOOD BROTHERS(Betonepicks)
3*(MLB)ROCKIES-108(ACTION)
-----------------
These clowns have documented some nice records

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

YOURPROLOCKS
MLB
100 DIME Philadelphia Phillies RL (-145)

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

SAC LAWSON

MLB Money Line Tue, 05/18/10 - 10:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 979 SEA (-114) Bodog vs 980 OAK
Analysis: This is a 1.5 unit play fellas.