5-21-10

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR
MLB VERSION 1.0
New York Mets +146
Chicago White Sox -114
Kansas City Royals +110
Oakland Athletics -104
Seattle Mariners -165

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

B&S PICKS
ADDED
1 DIME Pittsburgh Pirates +135 ml
1 DIME Texas Rangers -155 ml
1 DIME Chicago White Sox -125
1 DIME Oakland -110 ML
1 DIME NY Mets over 9

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

CAPRI'S-THE PLAYERS PARADISE
Sal Capriglione

Philadelphia Phillies -148
First Pitch @ 7:00 pm est.

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

MATT RIVERS/OFFSHORE INSIDERS

CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Call me old school but the White Sox here at home against the Marlins are being disrespected to the umpteenth degree today at this price. Yes Mark Buehrle at times has been terrible and yes Ozzie Guillen's club overall has been well underachieving of late but the Marlins cannot travel to the North Side and basically be a favorite like this, no how no way.

Don't get me wrong, Ricky Nolasco can be very tough and at times is close to unhittable. But the righty also at times is extremely mediocre and now going to an unfamiliar ballpark and not being able to hit is quite a change for anybody.

Hanley Ramirez is a stud and the Marlins certainly have some players with Uggla and Cantu but this is a still an ultra-weird spot for the fish at US Cellular.

Paul Konerko has been on-fire all season long and it's not like these Sox don't have an upside. Ramirez, Pierzynski, Quentin, Teahen and others are talented guys and overall well undervalued guys. They may be undervalued because they have stunk but they also are undervalued and therefore a quality play in this spot.

Ozzie's boys have not lived up to much of anything in any phase of the gam yet but at home in Interleague action the comfort level is well on our side and at this price I will gladly back Buehrle and the "Good Guys" at a price that even if right is wrong.

The pick: Chicago White Sox

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

KARL GARRETT
20 DIME Cincinnati Reds
10 DIME Boston Red Sox

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

SPORTS WAGERS

Toronto +1.49 over ARIZONA

With Brandon Morrow you’re either going to get a strong outing or a disastrous one and that’s because when he’s on he’s terrific and when he’s wild he gets into a heap of trouble. Morrow just can't seem to harness the control necessary to turn himself into a truly great pitcher but he’s certainly worth taking a chance on because if he comes out throwing strikes, he’s one of the best. The Jays are coming off a heartbreaking loss yesterday but they’re still one of the hottest teams in the majors and it really doesn’t seem to matter who they’re facing. The Jays are seeing BB’s right now and have been for a month or more. This is a great doubles and HR park and that’s right up the Jays alley. The D-Backs are a vulnerable squad with the major’s worst bullpen. That pen has an ERA of 9.20 over its last six games after allowing 14 runs and four bombs over 13.1 innings. Overall the pen has an ERA of 7.71 and an off the charts slugging % of .510. Dan Haren is a decent pitcher but he’s not nearly as sharp as years gone by. He has a BAA of .280, he’s already been taken yard eight times in 59 frames and his ERA at Chase Field is an ugly 5.88 in four starts and that’s after facing NL teams, Pittsburgh, San Diego, St. Louis and the Dodgers. In Haren’s his last two starts, the D-Backs were losers by scores of 13-1 and 13-3 to the Braves and Dodgers respectively. AL vs NL gets the call, as the Jays offer up more great value. Big overlay. Play: Toronto +1.49 (Risking 2 units).


OAKLAND +1.05 over San Francisco

Barry Zito is 6-1 with an ERA of 2.15 and that’s very nice for Barry Zito, it really is. However, one thing you can take to the bank is that a serious regression will happen soon and it might not stop once it does. Basic stats can be very misleading but the real stats are not and overall, Zito’s skills say he's pitching above his head, and that his 6-1 record and 2.15 ERA aren't for real, as his xERA (xERA = expected ERA based on his skills that include command, strand rate, ground ball %, etc) is 4.44. As a favorite on the road, against an AL team, Zito and the Giants offer up very little in terms of value. The Giants offense continues to be a problem and things surely don’t figure to change at the Coliseum. Oakland has its offensive problems too but they’re 15-9 at home and last year Trevor Cahill completely dominated this line-up. Cahill has a 57% GB rate and he also has good command and those two things at this park should allow him to succeed again. Play: Oakland +1.05 (Risking 2 units).


L.A. Angels +1.36 over ST. LOUIS

Brad Penny is another Cardinals reclamation project and it’s working out but this isn’t Cincinnati, Houston or San Fran he’s facing. In fact, Penny has faced the Reds and Astros twice this year and the Giants once and that adds up to five of his eight starts. His ERA this month in three starts is 5.00 and the Cards have lost his last four starts. The Cardinals are the most overrated and overvalued team in the majors. Contrary to public belief, the Cards are not a good team at all and that has been masked due to a heavy dose of Brewers, Mets, Astros, Reds and Giants. Current Angel hitters have 101 combined AB’s against Penny and they’re hitting .307 against him and he sure isn’t skinnier this season. Ironically, Joel Pineiro is a former Cards scrap-yard pickup but he’s actually sharper now than he’s ever been. Pinerio has been adding more strikeouts to his high command-high-GB% approach he developed last year, and the results have been terrific. His 3.71 ERA is fully supported by a 55% ground ball rate, and 3.74 xERA. The Cardinals offense is a very beatable one and as long as you don’t allow Albert to beat you, this team is extremely beatable. Mike Scioscia might be the best manager in the game while Tony LaRussa, like the Cards, is the most overrated in the business. The Angels are the superior team here with the vastly superior manager and they offer up one of the best wagers on today’s menu. Play: L.A. Angels +1.36 (Risking 2 units).


MINNESOTA –1½ +1.23 over Milwaukee

After facing the Yanks, Jays and Red Sox all on the road over its last seven games the Twins will be thrilled to come home and see this intruder. Hell, they may even roll out the red carpet for them. The Brewers are a bad NL team that does nothing well. They can’t pitch and the thing they rely on most - its offense, has been pretty much non-existent. The Brewers pen is a mess, its manager is on the hot seat and after this weekend you might be seeing Ken Macha waving goodbye. Milwaukee just ended a nine-game losing streak by defeating the Pirates 4-3 so you’ll have to excuse me while I crap in my pants in awe of the Brewers. And then there’s Dave Bush. Bush (-11 BPV, 0-3-3-2-2 PQS) has spent years posting skills that were better than his surface stats but not this season. He’s no longer fooling anyone and now he’s a broken down pitcher on a broken down squad. It’s a rare day when the Brewers staff allows less than seven runs against. Nick Blackburn isn’t great but he eats innings and can be effective but this has nothing to do with wagering on Blackburn. It has everything to do with wagering on the Twins against the Brewers and frankly, it really does not matter who is on the mound for the Twins. Play: Minnesota –1½ +1.23 (Risking 2 units).

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

MVPLocks 5/21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Yats -175 (lock of the day)
Braves -160
Black Hawks -155
Cubs/Rangers over 9

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

CAPRI'S-THE PLAYERS PARADISE
Sal Capriglione

Philadelphia Phillies -148
First Pitch @ 7:00 pm est.

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Mike Hook | MLB Money Line Fri, 05/21/10 - 8:05 PM

triple-dime bet 913 CHC (+145) Bodog vs 914 TEX
Analysis: The Chicago Cubs +145 is our TRIPLE STAR Play of the Day for Friday, May 21st.

1, Ted Lilly is a gamer. I know for a FACT that he really wants to pitch well tonight. I know nearly all pitchers will say such a thing, as we can't expect them to say anything different. However, i know for a FACT that he feels better heading into this start than at any point this season. I'll take that and run with it.

2. Is Colby Lewis really a good pitcher? Do we really know yet? I say NO, not yet. He has potential, but so do alot of pitchers in this game. Lewis has pitched well this season, but i've seen some recent outings that make me think he's about to get lit up. Beating up on Oakland simply doesn't impress me much.

I believe the Cubs actually have the pitching edge here today. I have more trust in a healthier Ted Lilly than i do in Colby Lewis. One must realize that this total set at 9 is very LOW between 2 offenses that are playing well. The Rangers in particular are really swinging the bats well. Despite HUGE MONEY on this OVER, this line hasn't budged of it's opening oªf 9. So not only was this total set low, it's staying there despite all that OVER money. I think this is very telling considering the weather is even indicative of an OVER tonight. Bottom line, Ted Lilly lives for games such as tonight. Lilly is the perfect pitcher to back in an underdog role. He's a gamer, and a very sharp competitor. I know we will be getting his best tonight.

Speaking of motivation, how about Marlon Byrd, Alfonso Soriano, and Cubs hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo heading back to Texas to play? All three of these guys want to show their former team what they are missing. Soriano and Byrd have both gone on the record to state how excited they are to play tonight. Considering Jaramillo has spend the majority of his career in Texas, you think the Cubs bats don't want to hit well for their well liked hitting coach? You think a veteran like Ted Lilly hasn't spoken to Jaramillo about how best to approach this hot Rangers team?

Interleague play is all about catching the right motivational edges. I think we have an underrated, talented pitcher with an offense that is ever improving as a rather large underdog. The Cubs as a whole are starting to play better, and i think they play well in Texas this weekend. I really like the Cubs today, as i feel we have solid VALUE in them tonight. The Cubs +145 is our TRIPLE STAR Play of the Day!

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

hammerthebook.com



FRIDAY, MAY 21, 2010

PLAYS WERE RELEASED TO SUBSCRIBERS AT 3:31 PM (ET)!

ROTATION 509/510: 3-UNITS: ORLANDO MAGIC @ BOSTON CELTICS (CELTICS -3)

ROTATION 509/510: 4-UNITS: ORLANDO MAGIC @ BOSTON CELTICS (UNDER 190 1/2)

ROTATION 901/902: 3-UNITS: ATLANTA BRAVES @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES (UNDER 8 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 905/906: 3-UNITS: BOSTON RED SOX @ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (OVER 9-RUNS @ BO DOG, PINNANCLE, 5DIMES, CANBET & WAGER WEB)

ROTATION 907/908: 4-UNITS: BALTIMORE ORIOLES @ WASHINGTON NATIONALS (OVER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 909/910: 4-UNITS: NEW YORK YANKEES @ NEW YORK METS (OVER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 911/912: 4-UNITS: TAMPA BAY RAYS @ HOUSTON ASTROS (TB RAYS RL -1 1/2 -110)

ROTATION 913/914: 4-UNITS: CHICAGO CUBS @ TEXAS RANGERS (OVER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 919/920: 4-UNITS: MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ MINNESOTA TWINS (TWINS RL -1 1/2 +120 @ JAZZ & PINNANCLE)

ROTATION 927/928: 4-UNITS: DETROIT TIGERS @ LOS ANGELES DODGERS (OVER 8 1/2 RUNS)

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Mike Lineback

Cubs/Rangers Over 9
D-Backs

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Teddy Cover 5/21/10

Red Socks/Phillies over 9

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

DALLAS DAVE SPORTS (THE RIGHT PLAYS)
DAILY PACKAGE - 1 OF 3
Milwaukee @ Minnesota 8:15 PM EST
1 UNIT Minnesota Twins -167 ML

[spook]

Re: 5-21-10

Fri, 05/21/10 - 8:05 PM VR's Morning Moves | NHL Total double-dime bet 62 CHI / 61 SJS Under 5.5 Bodog Analysis: ** NHL PLAYOFFS 2* BOOKIE BET **
UNDER 5.5 (+105) SJ/CHI....(2*)

[kar261]

Re: 5-21-10

Scott Delaney

Friday's winner ...
40 Dime Nationals Run Line (pitchers make no difference) - Let me clarify real quick how this play will work. When betting on Run Lines and Totals in MLB, the pitchers of record at the time you make your wager are the ones who are listed on your ticket - it's an autemated listing on the wager.



Tonight, I don't really care who is pitching for either team, though I'm intriguhed with the scheduled starters. I simply believe the Nationals are going to blast the strulgling Orioles.



Now, on to your analysis ...



While I realize Washington comes into this one having lost six of seven, make note that 1-6 slide has dropped the Nats to .500 entering Interleague play. So while they've hit a rough patch, they've still been awfully impreesive as a whole this season, and from what I saw with some strong hitting in their two-game set with the Mets, I sense a breakout game tonight.



Welcoming cleanup hitter Adam Dunn back in the lineup, the Nationals split their series with New York by scoring 12 runs in the pair of games. That's a lofty accomplishment after the Nationals were held to 10 runs during a five-game skid prior to facing the Mets.



So you can see the excitement the Nationals will have coming into the weekend set with their neighbhors to the north, the Baltimore Orioles, who own the majors’ worst record at 13-29.



Dunn has three home runs and nine RBI in his last four games versus the Orioles, whose pitching staff yielded 20 hits in a 13-7 loss to Texas last night. The O's have lost five of six overall and come into this clash having dropped 25 of their last 35 when on the Interleague road and taking on a southpaw.



That southpaw is Scott Olsen, who is 2-0 with a 1.11 ERA in his last five starts, in which he's struck out 25 over 32-1/3 innings without allowing a home run. He comes in after giving up one run in 6-2/3 innings of a 2-1 loss to Colorado on Sunday, so I think he'll pumped to earn the win against this futile team.

He'll should get plenty of run support early and often if Baltimore does indeed send David Hernandez to the bump. The right-hander, who skipped his schlduled turn in the rotation Sunday due to shoulder discomfort, is 0-5 on the year with a 5.84 ERA. He has now lost his last 11 decisions, the longest active slump in the majors.

Play the Nationals big tonight, as they win this on the Run Line ... and then some.