5-22-10

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Re: 5-22-10

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Orlando at Boston

The Celtics look to take advantage of an Orlando team that is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a road underdog. Boston is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, MAY 22
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST (5/20)
Game 507-508: Orlando at Boston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 123.073; Boston 132.581
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 3; 190
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3); Under

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Re: 5-22-10

CappersAccess

Sat (NBA) Celtics Magic 3- Magic
Sat (MLB) W. Sox Marlin 125 Marlins
Sat (MLB) D'Backs Blue Jays 135 D'Backs

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Re: 5-22-10

Sampicks 5/22

Europe - Uefa Champions League - 19:45
Internationale - Bayern Munich take Internationale +0
Best odds: 1.7



Poland - I Liga - 16:00 GMT
Gorzow Wielkopolski - Motor Lublin take Gorzow W. to win
Best odds: 1.6

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Re: 5-22-10

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 8 runs bet. Tampa Bay and Houston

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Re: 5-22-10

King Creole | NBA Total Sat, 05/22/10 - 8:30 PM

double-dime bet 509 ORL / 510 BOS Under 191.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
8:30pm ET / Round 3 - Game 3 / Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics
2** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL

Let's face it... this has been an EXTREMELY low-scoring series as of late. And we ALWAYS play on streaks to continue, whether they are ATS streaks or OU streaks. So with current streaks of 3-13 O/U in the last 13 games between these 2 teams... and 1-9 O/U in the last 10.... there's only ONE way to go. The last 7 games played IN Beantown have gone 1-6 O/U... and Boston is a PERFECT 0-6 O/U as favs of -4 or less points in this series.

Saturday's OU line of 189.5 to 191 points is right in step with previous lines in this series. Oddmakers STILL refuse to compensate for the LOWER-scoring patterns that we generally see in a Playoff series... but that's ok by me. We'll gladly play on the value of a game in which the OU line should justifiably be about 6-7 points lower than Saturday's posted total. The average OU line in this series (playoff AND regular season games) has been 189.9. And the average total points scored is only 177.6. That's more than 10 points lower than Saturday's line.


Let's look at GAME #3 of a Playoff series. We'll start with the '3/3' game specifically (Round 3 / Game 3).
5-17 O/U since 1991: All '3/3' games if the previous game ALSO went Under the Total. And if the OU line is 182 > points in these games, the OU results are a PERFECT 0-14 O/U!

1-8 O/U since 06: All Playoff GAME THREE #2 Seed teams playing off a SU loss (Magic). These teams have gone a perfect 0-5 O/U in Rounds 1. 2, or 3....


THREE days of rest is sure a long time at this point of a Playoff series. These two teams last played on Tuesday night... Let's look at the REST situation and the Day of the Week.
1-7 O/U since 92: All Playoff GAME THREE home teams with 3+ days of REST (Celtics) off a SUATS win... when the OU line is 189 > points.

0-4 O/U since 02: All Playoff ROUND 3 or 4 home teams on a SATURDAY playing with 3+ days rest (Celtics).

0-8 O/U since 01: All Playoff SATURDAY home favs of > 2 points (Celtcis) in ROUND THREE... with an OU line of > 183 points.


Let's review the current winning and losing STREAKS for each team:
After reeling off 8 STRAIGHT Playoff wins in a row, the Magic have lost two in a row...
0-5 O/U: All Playoff dogs of > 1 point playing off BB Playoff losses... and 5+ Playoff wins before that (Magic).

Boston has won AND covered EACH of their last 5 Playoff games...
0-6 O/U since 04: All Playoff GAME THREE or greater favorites (Celtics)... off 5 or more SU and ATS Playoff wins in a row.

0-6 O/U since 96: All Eastern Conference Playoff ROUND 3 / Games 1 thru 4 / with an OU line of 189 > points....

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Re: 5-22-10

Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Sat, 05/22/10 - 7:05 PM

double-dime bet 967 CIN (+100) BetUS vs 968 CLE
Analysis: MLB: Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians - Reds (Cueto/Carmona) +100 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 5/22/2010
Note: It's no secret to anyone where these teams are going right now. The Reds continue to do things right despite their awful loss at Atlanta a couple games ago, and Cleveland continues to do everything that is not right. The Indians are on another losing streak, currently at 5 games and they are still not scoring runs, just 15 during this stretch. Manager Manny Acta made some changes in an attempt to help his faltering lineup, moving Travis Hafner from cleanup to third and former Reds slugger Austin Kearns from fifth to fourth. This team has no clue right now and they will play a team again that has dominated them in interleague play winning the last 3 of 4 and 11 of 14. The Reds continue to score runs, and they continue to have high on base percentage, especially verses righthanded pitching, batting over .320 verses these guys in the last 10 played. This one is a No Brainer for me.




Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Sat, 05/22/10 - 7:10 PM

dime bet 970 TEX (-152) BetUS vs 969 CHC
Analysis: No writeup for this play but get it now because this line is going to jump..I am playing this game at 1/2 Moneyline, and 1/2 Runline of +130 to give us less risk, a push on a€ 1 run win, and better payouts on a 2 run win or more..

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Re: 5-22-10

lv investments

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brewers ml +120.......3-5=8 i would fade him

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Re: 5-22-10

Baseball Crusher

POD

Dodgers -145

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Re: 5-22-10

JSM Sports 5/22

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HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 22nd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[969] Chicago |8*|-130|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[965] Tampa Bay |2*|-150|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[979] San Diego |2*|-110|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST



note: JSM Sports is on a 10-2 run the last 2 days

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Re: 5-22-10

The Vegas Killers - Comps

John Harrison - Atlanta Braves/Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 9
Nolan Fernandez - Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +155
Richie Parker - Cincinatti Reds -110
Chad Greene - Atlanta Braves -150
Dave Eckstein - Texas Rangers -152 (2 UNITs)

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Re: 5-22-10

bob balfe with write up

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Both starting pitchers have pitched very well this season, but this game will come down to manufacturing runs. The Indians are a low-scoring team; Johnny Cueto should shutdown their struggling offense today and receive enough run support to pick up the win. Take the Reds.............. cinn +105 ml......................celtics in basketball - 3 1/2

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Re: 5-22-10

FoxSheets 5/22

Super Situations

DETROIT at LA
Play On - Any team (DETROIT) average AL hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70), with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities
34-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 22.5 units )
Situational Power Trends

CUBS at TEXAS
TEXAS is 22-5 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in Home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (6.0) , OPPONENT (4.1)
__________________

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Re: 5-22-10

Craig Davis 05/22 Paid and Confirmed

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40* Celtics
15* UNDER

Is this guy finally breaking out of his slump? Hit his 30 dimer last night on the A's. Magic have looked totally mismatched so far against the Celts. Liking the Celts today.

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Re: 5-22-10

ATS Lock Club 5-22


Baseball
5 units on Padres -120 over Mariners
5 units on Over 10.5 Blue Jays/DBacks
4 units on Twins -120 over Brewers

Basketball
4 units on Magic +3.5 over Celtics

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Re: 5-22-10

Jimmy Boyd

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5*- Orlando
4*- Arizona
3*- Colorado