5-23-10

[spook]

REGULAR SERVICE PLAYS go here!! NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium....

[kar261]

Re: 5-23-10

Steven Budin-CEO
SUNDAY'S PICK
The Greek Syndicate has a 25 Dime play on Phoenix in today's contest at home againet Los Angeles. As this play is releasehd at 5:30 AM Eastern, the Suns are -2 to -2 1/2 points in Las Vegas and offslore in the game. In either case, go ahead and buy down the 1/2 point on Phoenix as insurance.

(note: ML is -130, so there is value in the ML at -130 versus -1.5 at -120; Greek syndicate has lost 2 in a row after winning 9 in a row and are 11-3 in the NBA this season)

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

BOBBY MAXWELL
300 UNIT LAKERS

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

igz1 sports

Free play from mlb card
5* Game at noon
3* Tampa Bay RL -1.5 (-115) (Price)

NBA
4* Over 219 (-110) Lakers vs Suns

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

NY PLAYERS CLUB
5* Phoenix Suns -2.5

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

PAPAYAGANG PICKS
20* Washington ML
20* Tampa Bay ML
50* Florida ML
20* LA Lakers +3 buy the hook

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

King Creole | NBA Sides Sun, 05/23/10 - 8:30 PM

double-dime bet 511 LAL 2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 512 PHO
Analysis: 8:30pm ET / Round 3 - Game 3 / Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns
2** Play on: LOS ANGELES LAKERS plus the points

As the series shifts to Phoenix, the Suns have been installed as short home favorites on Game Three... with an extremely high Over / Under line to boot. That's the first area that we queried in the Playbook NBA post-season database.

0-5-1 ATS since 03: All Playoff GAME THREE home favorites of 6 < points (Suns)... with an OU line of 215 > points.

Stepping back to include ALL Playoff games, we come up with this System based on the OU line:
3-15 ATS: All Playoff home teams (Suns) vs a fellow DIVISION opponent (LAKERS)... when the OU line is 218 > points. Since the 2003 season, these hosts have gone 0-4 ATS.

The first two games of this series were ugly for the host Suns. They lost Game One 128 to 107.... and Game Two 124 to 112.
1-6 ATS since 06: All Playoff GAME THREE home teams (Suns) in Rounds 2,3, or 4 playing off BB SU and ATS double-digit losses. If these hosts are favored by < 7 points, the results have gone 0-4 ATS.

Both teams came off PERFECT 4-game SWEEPS in their previous Playoff round.
6-1 ATS: All Playoff GAME THREE teams playing off BB ATS wins (LAKERS)... who won their last Playoff series 4 games to ZERO.
0-4 ATS: All Playoff GAME THREE teams playing of BB SU losses (Suns)... who won their last Playoff series 4 games to ZERO.

LA comes in as the #1 Seed in the Western Conference. Phoenix comes in as the #3 Seed.
5-1 ATS: All Playoff GAME THREE #1 Seeds (LAKERS)... versus a #3 Seed (Suns).

A look at the Day of the Week also puts us on the right side...
2-10 ATS: All Playoff SUNDAY home teams (Suns) versus a DIVISION opponent (LAKERS).... in Rounds 3 or 4.

Let's run a System for the 'short' line....
2-12 ATS: All WESTERN CONFERENCE Round Three home favorites of 3 < points (Suns). Since the 2001 season, these teams have gone 1-9 ATS.

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Flyers Saturday but missed with the Magic (+3-1/2) last night.

Sunday it's the Lakers. The deficit is 1000 sirignanos.

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

Hondo

Hondo went double-draino last night, swirling down the tubes with the Brewers and Phillies to raise the number on the big red deficit toteboard to 580 stiebs.

Today, mark him down for a Marcum play -- 10 units on the Jays. Also, he'll say si, si to Sabathia -- 10 units on the Yankees

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

Arthur Ralph Sports
450 - 327 run 58 %

Free play SUNDAY Fla Marlins -134

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

LinexGroup

3* on Tampa Bay Rays RL

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 861-373 (.698)
ATS: 658-614 (.517)
ATS Vary Units: 1564-1485 (.513)
Over/Under: 631-649 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 819-848 (.491)

Western Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 3, best-of-7 series
PHOENIX 110, L.A. Lakers 105

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

Baseball Crusher POD 5/23/10

#906: Washington Nationals -112

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, MAY 23

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE

L.A. Lakers (10-2, 8-4 ATS) at Phoenix (8-4 SU and ATS)

The Suns, perhaps the hottest team in the NBA in the two-month stretch preceding the Western Conference finals, now find themselves in a must-win game as they return to U.S. Airways Arena for Game 3 of this best-of-7 series against the defending champion Lakers. Phoenix was on a 22-4 SU roll (19-6-1 ATS) heading into this series, but allowed the Lakers to break 120 points in each of the first two games, including Wednesday’s 124-112 loss as a 7½-point underdog. The Suns tumbled despite five players scoring in double figures, led by Jason Richardson (27 points) and Grant Hill (23), and despite Steve Nash doubling up with 11 points and 15 assists. Los Angeles again shot lights out from the field in Game 2, hitting 57.7 percent (45 of 78) while the Suns shot 49.4 percent, this after outshooting the Suns 58 percent to 49.4 percent in Game 1. Pau Gasol had 29 points and nine rebounds in Wednesday’s win, and Kobe Bryant followed up a 40-point Game 1 effort with 21 points and 13 assists as six Lakers reached double-digit scoring. Los Angeles is 5-1 SU and ATS in its six meetings with Phoenix this season. The Lakers have won nine of the last 11 SU in this rivalry and is 11-4 ATS in the last 15. The home team has cashed in seven of the last eight meetings, and the chalk is on a 5-1 ATS swing. Still, L.A. has gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 trips to the desert. These squads also met in the first round in 2006 and 2007, with Phoenix taking both series, rallying from a 3-1 deficit in ’06 while going 4-3 ATS, and rolling in five games in ’07 (2-3 ATS). The SU winner is 13-1 ATS in the last 13 Lakers-Suns clashes (6-0 this year). Also, the SU winner has cashed in all 12 of Phoenix’s playoff games and in 21 in a row overall for the Suns, and the SU winner is 10-2 ATS in Los Angeles’ dozen playoff games this year. Los Angeles is 26-20 (20-25-1 ATS) on the road this season (3-2 SU and ATS in the playoffs), winning SU and ATS in its last three on the highway, first to close out Oklahoma City in Game 6 in the first round, then taking Games 3 and 4 of a sweep against Utah. Phoenix is 36-10 (29-16-1 ATS) in the home jerseys, winning its last four SU and ATS after dropping the first-round opener against Portland. The Lakers sport positive pointspread streaks of 7-1 overall (5-0 last five), 6-1 following a SU win (5-0 last five), 5-1 in conference finals starts (4-0 last four), 7-2 as a playoff pup and 17-8 after three or more days rest. That said, they’re just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 starts after a spread-cover and 1-4 ATS in their last five Sunday contests. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last seven conference finals outings (0-4 last four), 2-7 ATS in their last nine after a SU loss of more than 10 points and 6-14-1 ATS after a break of three days or more. On the flip side, they still own a bevy of positive ATS streaks, including 33-13-1 overall, 16-4-1 at home, 7-1 after a non-cover, 5-1 after a SU loss, 4-1 as a playoff chalk and 40-19-2 as a home favorite. Los Angeles is on “over” surges of 8-1-1 overall (5-0-1 last six), 4-1 as a visitor, 6-2 as a chalk, 5-0-1 after a SU win and 4-1 in the conference finals going back to last season. Phoenix is on “over” stretches of 5-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 5-0 after a three or more days off, 8-0 after a road trip of seven or more days, 6-2 after a non-cover and 15-7 as a playoff chalk, but the under is 9-4 in the Suns’ last 13 games following a double-digit defeat. Finally, the total sailed over the posted price in Games 1 and 2, and the over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between these Pacific Division rivals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


INTERLEAGUE

Detroit (24-19) at L.A. Dodgers (25-18)

Hiroki Kuroda (5-1, 2.87 ERA) goes after his fourth straight victory when he tries to lead the red-hot Dodgers to a sweep of the Tigers and Rick Porcello (3-4, 5.93) in the finale of a three-game interleague series at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles has taken the first two games of this series by scores of 4-1 and 6-4, improving to 17-4 in its last 21 games, including 11-1 in the last 12. The Dodgers have also won 11 of 14 at home during their 17-4 run, stretching their record to 15-7 at Dodger Stadium. On top of that, L.A. is on upticks of 14-3 against right-handed starters, 21-6 versus righties at home, 8-1 versus winning teams and 4-1 on Sunday. Despite winning the first two games of this series, Joe Torre’s squad remains in interleague slumps of 31-52 overall and 8-20 against the A.L. Central. The Tigers have lost consecutive games for the first time since a getting swept in a three-game series in Minnesota on May 3-5. Detroit has also now lost six of nine on the road and eight of 10 in National League ballparks. On the positive end Jim Leyland’s club is on impressive runs of 9-3 on Sunday, 9-4 in the third game of a series, 53-25 in interleague action overall and 42-21 when facing right-handed starters in interleague play. These teams met two years ago in Motown, and Detroit swept a three-game series, outscoring Los Angeles 22-11. Prior to that, the Dodgers had won five of six from the Tigers in two separate series in 2003 (road) and 2005 (home). Porcello threw a gem against the Yankees on May 12, scattering four hits and three walks over seven scoreless innings en route to a 2-0 victory. However, he regressed on Tuesday against the White Sox, yielding four runs on eight hits in seven innings of a 6-2 home loss. The Tigers are just 2-5 in Procello’s seven starts this season, and the right-hander is 0-3 with a 9.88 ERA in three starts. Going back to last season, Detroit has dropped Porcello’s last four starts on the highway and four of five when he works on Sunday. However, they went 4-0 in Porcello’s four interleague contests last season, with the then-rookie allowing just five earned runs in 23 2/3 innings (1.90 ERA). Kuroda surrendered three runs on seven hits in six innings of a 7-3 home win over Houston on Tuesday – the seventh time in eight starts this season that he’s given up three earned runs or fewer. Los Angeles is 7-1 in back of Kuroda this season, including 4-0 in his last four starts. Additionally, the Dodgers are 20-8 in the right-hander’s last 28 home games, including 4-0 this season with Kuroda going 2-0 with a 3.42 ERA. On the downside, L.A. has lost eight of Kuroda’s last 11 Sunday starts and four of his last five against the American League. He has never faced the Tigers. Detroit carries a slew of “under” trends, including 8-3-1 overall, 5-0 in the third game of a series, 6-2-1 versus right-handed starters, 15-7-1 in N.L. parks and 18-8-1 against the N.L. West. However, with Porcello starting, the Tigers are on “over” runs of 5-2 overall, 4-1 on the road and 4-1 in the third game of a series. For Los Angeles, the under has hit in nine of 14 overall, four of five on Sunday, six of eight against winning teams, 12 of 18 interleague home games and six of nine against the A.L. Central. However, the over is 9-4 in its last 13 at Dodger Stadium, and the over is 9-2 in Kuroda’s last 11 starts overall (4-0 in his last four home outings.) Lastly, these teams have stayed under the total in seven of 11 meetings since 2003, including four of the last six.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


N.Y. Yankees (26-17) at N.Y. Mets (21-23)

A couple of former Cy Young Award winners square off in the rubber match of the Subway Series at Citi Field, with CC Sabathia (4-2, 3.43) set to take the ball for the Yankees while the Mets counter with Johan Santana (3-2, 3.72) in a nationally televised contest. The Yankees snapped a three-game losing skid with Friday’s 2-1 series-opening victory, but the Mets bounced back with a 5-3 victory on Saturday, ending a four-game losing skid to their Subway Series rivals. The Yankees are just 2-5 in their last seven games and 5-9 in their last 14 (2-5 on the road). That said, the defending world champs are still riding a slew of positive streaks, including 102-48 overall, 10-3 in interleague play (all against the N.L. East), 8-2 in interleague road games, 4-1 when favored against N.L. teams, 53-22 as a favorite overall, 36-17 against losing teams, 47-22 versus left-handed starters and 15-7 on Sunday.
Since ending April with a season-best eight-game winning streak, the Mets have posted a 7-14 record in May. They’ve lost eight of their last 11 overall, four of six at home, six of seven interleague games (all at home, all against the A.L. East), 20 of 42 as an underdog and five of six on Sunday. On the positive end, Jerry Manuel’s squad is on runs of 5-2 against left-handed starters, 6-2 as a home underdog and 9-4 when facing lefties at home in interleague play. Since the start of last season, the Yankees have won six of eight against the Mets, including the four of the last five (all at Citi Field). Going back to 2008, the Yanks are on a 6-2 roll when playing in Queens.
Sabathia bounced back from a 6-0 loss at Detroit in which he allowed all six runs in six innings with a strong showing against the Red Sox on Tuesday, allowing just a run on four hits in seven innings. The veteran left-hander departed with a 5-1 lead but the bullpen couldn’t hold it and the Yankees eventually fell, 7-6. Sabathia struggled in his last two road starts at Detroit and Boston (nine runs allowed in 10 2/3 innings), and he’s now 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA in six starts on the highway. Still, behind Sabathia, the Yanks remain on hot streaks of 20-6 overall, 11-4 on the road, 10-3 as a road favorite and 4-1 on Sunday. Also, Sabathia has faced the Mets twice, going 2-0 with a miniscule 1.20 ERA. Santana has been outstanding in his last two trips to the mound – both on the road – going seven innings in each contest while holding the Marlins and Braves to a combined three runs (two earned) on 11 hits and three walks. However, he had nothing to show for it as the Mets lost 2-1 in Florida and 3-2 in Atlanta. The Mets are 4-1 in Santana’s five starts at home, where he’s 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA. But they’ve lost five of his last six against A.L. opponents and five of his last six on Sunday. Last June, he faced the Yankees once at Yankee Stadium and got destroyed, allowing nine runs on nine hits in three innings of a 15-0 loss. Prior to that, Santana had gone 4-1 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 career regular and postseason appearances (nine starts) against the Bronx Bombers. The Yankees have stayed under the total in five of six road games and four of five against southpaw starters, but they’re also on “over” runs of 6-1 overall, 5-1 in interleague action (all against the N.L. East), 10-4-1 versus losing teams and 6-2 on Sunday. Also, with Sabathia on the mound, the over is on stretches of 18-4 on the road, 7-0 on Sunday and 6-2 in the third game of a series. The over is 8-2 in the Mets’ last 10 home games, 12-4-1 in their last 17 interleague contests against lefty starters and 4-1 in their last five on Sunday. From there, however, they’re on “under” runs of 4-2 overall, 6-3-1 in interleague play, 8-3 when hosting A.L. opponents, 5-2-1 in Santana’s last eight starts overall, 6-1 in his last seven as a ‘dog and 3-1-2 in his last six interleague contests. Finally, these rivals have stayed under the posted total in seven of their last 11 clashes overall and seven of the last nine at Citi Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES

[spook]

Re: 5-23-10

RW Sports (35-32-5) (2-3-1)


rayo vallecano - salamanca, rayo -0.25, 1 unit, 1.66 @ pinnacle

rayo vallecano - salamanca, over 2.25 goals, 1 unit, 1.88 @ ladbrokes

cadiz - murcia, cadiz -0.25, 1 unit, 1.95 @ victor chandler

recreativo - hercules, draw, 0.5 units, 3.30 @ pinnacle

betis - real sociedad, draw, 0.5 units, 3.41 @ 5dimes


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05-23-2010, 08:30 AM