10-12-08

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Handicapper: d@c Sports AFC GOY
New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers (NFL) - 8:15 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -6/102 San Diego Chargers Play Title:
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
4 Unit Play. #126 Take San Diego over New England (Sunday 8:15 pm NBC) The Chargers are back in a must win situation after a disappointing trip to Miami last Saturday where they laid an egg losing, 17-10. That being said, the are hitting the Patriots at the right moment making their second straight trip to the west coast after taking down San Francisco last week. This eventually catches up to teams and that will become evident on Sunday night. San Diego currently sits at 2-3 in the AFC West and this is a must win game for them much like it was three weeks ago when they faced the Jets in a primetime game. Some questioned when one would lay nine points but that was an easy cover and the same will hold true tonight. New England is not the same team with out Tremendous Tom behind center and the Bolts will not let Cassell nickel and dime his way down the field. San Diego 28, New England 17.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Erin Rynning
Baltimore, under sf/ philly - regular plays
under seatt/gb - playmaker

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total
double-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
Analysis: UNDER new orleans ? The Saints Monday night game with Minnesota went over the total but it really had no business doing so and that is creating line value this week. The Saints offense was decent versus the Vikings but not spectacular and, on the other side of the ball, New Orleans actually did a great job against the Vikings! Minnesota scored their big points off of turnovers and a blocked field goal. Offensively, the Vikes really couldn?t do much against the Saints and yet those just glancing at the scoreboard Monday would think otherwise. New Orleans now will take advantage of a Raiders club which, like the Vikings, has had troubles throwing the ball. Another weak passing offense means the Saints can focus on shutting down the running game and, in doing so, New Orleans will keep the Oakland offense in check. The Raiders are coming off of their bye week and the coaching changes they made during the bye week won?t help them any here. Those are going to take time to have a positive effect and the bad news for Raiders fans is that coach Kifflin, who was just fired, was actually getting the support of his players and now it?s like the Raiders are starting over again. This is going to do no favors for the offense and, as noted above, the Saints defense played far better than last week?s scoreboard showed. At home, and off a tough loss, the Saints defense will ?bear down? once again. Note that Oakland is 0-6 against the spread in domes and this will be QB JaMarcus Russell?s first ever start in a dome. It just is not shaping up to be a good day for the Raiders offense. That said, Oakland?s defense has played better than many expected coming into the season and they?ve had two weeks to prepare for what the Saints offense brings to the field. Also, look for a steady dose of running this week for New Orleans as they try to minimize the mistakes that cost them the game Monday versus Minnesota. Also, New Orleans? offense wasn?t as impressive as the scoreboard shows last week as Reggie Bush had two punt returns for touchdowns. The big total here is simply not justified! UNDER!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Tommy Rider | NFL Total
double-dime bet220 DEN / 219 JAC Over 48.0 BetUS
Analysis: The Broncos defense played well against the Bucs but it won't happen two weeks in a row. One thing to look at when taking an over is pass rush. It's hard to hit an over when the quarterbacks are always under pressure. That won't be a problem in this game as Denver and Jacksonville both rank near the bottom of the NFL in sacks. The Jags defense ranks 22nd in the NFL, allowing 344 yards and 22 points per game. They are beat up in the secondary and can't stop anyone from throwing the football on them, so expect Jay Cutler to have a huge day. On the other side, the Jags struggling running game should get on track against the Broncos generous defense. Denver ranks 29th in total defense, allowing close to 400 yards and 26 points per game. Last week was a fluke for Denver's defense and it will show on Sunday in what should be a wild shootout at Invesco Field. **2 UNIT PLAY**


Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMTommy Rider | NFL Side
double-dime bet216 HOU -3.0 (+100) BetUS vs 215 MIA
Analysis: I'm a big fan of this Miami team as I took them last week against the Chargers. However, I like them more at home than I do on the road and I think this is a bad spot for them. Miami is coming off two huge upsets of the Patriots and Chargers and this looks like a big letdown spot for the Fish taking on a desperate Houston team with its backs to the wall. The Texans gave one away last week against the Colts but overall I they have played well in their last two games against the Jaguars and Colts. I heard that the Texans players had a close door meeting to talk about how big this game is with Detroit and Cincy on deck. With three straight home games, the players still believe they can make a playoff run starting with a win today. I think Matt Schaub has a big day against a suspect Miami secondary and Houston gets the win at home. **2 UNIT PLAY**

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Jeff Bonds | NFL Total
triple-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
Analysis:
I'm just not expecting both teams to come out and dominate the game offensively, as the Raiders are in transition off a bye week (firing of a head coach) and the New Orleans Saints are playing on a short week after a disappointing loss to the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football.



The total in this game should be 44 tops - so I'm imagining that we're getting more than three points of betting value here. New Orleans is on an 8-0-1 over run - but injuries and this particular matchup will end that run here.



Both teams will try to establish a running game, as the Saints will not find it easy to throw the ball against the Raiders - plus Oakland is use to defending a Reggie Bush-like back (Sproles/Tomlinson of the Chargers). Another thing that will play defense against Bush is the punting of Shane Lechler - he's simply the best in the league and I imagine he'll sacrifice 5-10 yards in punting distance to help his coverage team agaist Reggie.



The Raiders will welcome back RB Justin Fargas and will undoubtedly try to pound the ball at the Saints. New Orleans has done surprisingly well against the run of late, which should be enough to allow QB Jamarcus Russell to make mistakes in Saints territory.



The Oakland Raiders defense is rested and had the San Diego Chargers on the ropes two weeks ago, as a meaningless Tomlinson TD caused the game to go over 44. I don't expect this to happen on Sunday.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total
double-dime bet214 ATL / 213 CHI Under 44.0 Bodog
Analysis: UNDER falcons ? The Bears offense got on track last week thanks to facing a pathetic Lions team that is simply dreadful on both sides of the ball. Things change quickly this week for the Bears as they now must deal with a Falcons team that has covered both their games at home and is off of a big road win at Green Bay. Indeed, the Falcons are starting to build some confidence and they know that to win again at home this week they?re going to have to shore up the defense after the Packers threw for over 300 yards against them last week. Like many teams, the intensity of the Falcons defense is different at home in comparison with on the road and they should display a strong effort this week against a Bears offense that is in a tough spot here. Chicago is off of a divisional road win and they have another divisional game on deck with Minnesota up next. In other words, don?t expect the most elaborate offensive schemes from the Bears here. They will be looking to ?save some? for their upcoming match-up with the Vikings. This will simply be a game (at Atlanta) where the Bears will hope to grind out a win. A steady diet of running the ball and playing solid defense is what Chicago has on tap for today. As for Atlanta, they have a bye on deck so they?ll be up for this game as they look to take a 4-2 record into their bye week. The Falcons are a very strong running team but they?re facing one of the strongest run defenses in the league. The Bears struggle against the pass but the Falcons weakness on offense is their aerial attack. As you can see, this match-up sets up well for the Bears defense to have success against the Falcons while, at the same time, the Bears offense can not be trusted here. RB Forte, as you would expect from a young running back, has shown signs of inconsistency. Forte only gained 36 yards against the Lions last week and the Bears only gained 256 yards in their win over the Eagles two weeks ago. Chicago only had 13 first downs in that game and too much weight shouldn?t be put into the Bears blowout of a weak Lions team last week. Also, Atlanta?s offense has struggled in their two games against stronger defenses (Carolina and Tampa Bay) and this turns into a grinding, low-scoring battle on Sunday!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

NSA

20* Bears

10* Eagles
10* Ravens
10* Vikings
10* Jags
10* Panthers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Bob Akmens NFL

8* Eagles

5* Packers

5* Jaguars

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Special K
GOY Jacksonville

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Billy Coleman's
5* Chic
3* Hst
3* Under Chic

3* Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Joyce Sterling

Miami +3
10 STAR Wrong Side Favored Game of the Week
Houston blew a 14 point lead last week vs Indy and Miami ( Which we cashed) beat San Diego.Chad Pennington is proving he is capable of spreading the field more effectively than he did in the past. Against the Patriots, he averaged 11.3 yards on his 17 completions. Against the Chargers, he averaged 7.9 yards on 22 completions.The improvement of Miami's defense has also been a big surprise.. Facing an outstanding San Diego offense, the Dolphins allowed 202 yards and 10 first downs in a 17-10 win last Sunday.Miami is a dog vs a winless Team ?Take the points Houston has many key injuries.


Tampa Bay -1
Coach Jon Gruden said Thursday that Garcia looked sharp in practice and made it pretty clear the 38-year-old quarterback will start Sunday against Carolina.Garcia's mobility, hampered by calf and ankle injuries, is back, Gruden said, and he looks like the player who led the Bucs to the NFC South title last seasonTB 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.


St. Louis +13.5
This 0-4 team should be rested and ready following a bye week.New defensive coordinator Jim Haslet is the spark needed here.This dog is Barking

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

ASA

5* balt
3* jax
3* car

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Seabass Bases

20* LAD

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

ATS Lock Club
6 units Jets -9.5
5 units Denver -3
4 units Dallas/Ariz uNDER 51

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-12-08

Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES