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This is a low price for the abysmal package that the Brewers bring to Busch Stadium this afternoon. It is one thing to be 8-16 on the road, but another matter entirely when half of those defeats have come by four runs or more, and note that in 17 road games against teams that currently sport winning records it has been a 4-13 slide, getting out-scored by a frightening 42 runs in the process. The problems are easy to see – a pitching staff that does not blow the ball by opposing hitters is being hampered by a defense that rates dead last in the Majors on both of our best sets of ratings, and as the losses pile up that defense gets even worse. That is a sign of effort and concentration not being there, and the 8-0 drubbing to open this series does not help to turn that clubhouse mood around.
Neither does the presence of Chris Narveson. Narveson has managed to get four W’s attached next to his name so far but there has been nothing to like – a 5.81 ERA looks bad enough, without factoring that of the 131 pitchers that have worked at least 40 innings, his difficulty of batters faced is #110. His command has been precarious, with only one of eight starts coming in at less than 17.3 PPI, and three at 20.4 or higher, and he has shown little ability to eat innings, with those eight starts only burning through 38 frames. That pulls a struggling bullpen (5.18 for the full season) firmly into play again, and makes for a long afternoon against a resurgent offense.
While the Brewers stumble, the Cardinals are 18-9 at home, and after going through an unexpected offensive slump have turned it around to score 56 runs over their last eight games. We have no problem laying this price with Adam Ottavino for his career debut form this mound because it sets up well for Tony LaRussa, who has not had to get a single pitch from anyone in his bullpen since Wednesday, and that was just one frame from Kyle McClellan. That means a chance for Ottavino to make a couple of good passes through a lineup that lacks any experience against him, and then things go to the capable hands of a relief corps working at a solid 2.81 for the full season. While Ottavino’s bottom line for his first start at Chicago would not send off any fireworks, note that 13 of the 15 batters he retired came via a K or a ground ball, and you know how much we like that kind of count.
triple-dime bet 966 LOS (-112) BetUS vs 965 ATL
Analysis:
MLB: Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers - Dodgers (Hanson/Billingsley)(Best Bet) -112 | Unit Value: 3 Unit "Game of the Week"
Game Date: 6/5/2010
I am playing this one for 3 Units for sure.
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Date: Saturday, June 05, 2010
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Philadelphia w/Moyer -132 7:05 EST
Sports Brokers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 05, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: We monitor the TOP OUTFITS and HANDICAPPERS in the WORLD and we know when to play on and when to fade as we have built a data base going back up to ten years on these services. We are also privlaged to the majot money moves both on shore and off shore. Tonight we are featuring a BASEBALL INSIDER RUN LINE WINNER that you can get for just $29 and you pay only after you win! 6/5/2010
BASEBALL INSIDER RUN LINE WINNER
Boston w/Lester -1.5 -121 7:05 EST
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