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1-1 yesterday on the plus side for 10 dimes. overall, 54-62-3 -170 dimes.
THURSDAY'S ACTION
MY HIGHEST-RATED NBA PLAY
EVER GOES TONIGHT!
60 DIME
NBA PLAYOFFS
WINNER #2 IN A ROW
Lakers vs. Celtics (Game 4)
The BIGGEST NBA play I've ever released!
60 Dime NBA Winner #1:
Thunder (+6) over Lakers (April 20)
60 Dime winner ...
60 Dime release on the BOSTON CELTICS minus the poinas at home against the Los Angeles Lakers. As I releasee this play at 11:30 PM Pacific, the Celtics are currentoy a -3 1/2 point favorite here in Las Vegas and offshore everywhere I look.
First off, the zigzag theory is in full effect here, with the Lakers winning Games 1 and 3 convincingly, and Boston taking the middle contest (in Los Angeles). In retrospect, it’s not very surprising as these are two evenly matched squads. Remember, they split two regular-season games, with each winaing on the other’s home court by a single point. That means these teams have alternated wins and losses in their five clashes this season.
So even without factoring in anything else, I’d be comfortable coming BIG with the Celtics tonight. The fact Boston is in an absolute must-win situation – there’s no chance the C’s are winning three in a row vs. the Lakers, including Games 6 and 7 in Los Angeles – makes me even MORE confideent that Boston is the right side tonight. And even though Kobe and his posse would never in a million years admit it, the Lakers are at a psychological disadvantage tonight because they stole Game 3. It’s only natural for L.A. – especially with head cases like Lamar Odom and Ron Artest – to relax a bit tonight. Not for the entire game, but just stretches here and there, which is exactly what happened in the Game 2 loss at home.
Now let’s focus on what the Celtics have done in these playoffs when coming off a loss.
They fell to Miami 101-92 in Game 4 in the opening round, and bounced back with a 96-86 home win as a 7-point favorite to close out the series.
They fell 101-93 in Cleveland in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals, and bounced back with a 104-86 blowout win as a six-point underdog in Game 2.
They fell 124-95 to the Cavs at home in the very next game (as a one-point chalk), and bounced back with a 97-87 win as a 1½-point home underdog in the next game.
They fell 96-92 in overtime in Game 4 against Orlando in the Eastern Conference semifinals, then went to Orlando for Game 5 and were victimized by horrendous officiating in a 113-92 loss. However, they came right back and put the Magic away with a 96-84 rout as a 3 ½-point home favorote in Game 6.
Finally, they fell 102-89 at Los Angeles in Game 1 of this series, only to rebound with a 103-94 win as a six-point pup on Sunday.
That puts Boston at 5-1 SU and ATS when coming off a loss in these playoffs, and all five wins were very easy (and as noted above, the one loss was an officiating disgrace!).
Finally, the Lakers have won consecutive road games just once in these playoffs (Games 3 and 4 of a sweep of Utah a month ago). Take away the Jazz series, and L.A. is just 3-5 SU and ATS as a visitor in the postseason.
Bottom line: The Celtics are winning this game tonight, and if history is any indication – their five previous playoff wins when coming off a defeat were by an average of 11.8 ppg – it’s not going to be close at all.
Your 60 Dime NBA Playoffs Winner #2 in a Row is the Celtics, and we’ll call for a 103-88 final.
SIDES
3-Unit Play. Take #919 Boston (-1.5, -130) over Cleveland
1-Unit Play. Take #928 Minnesota (-1.5, +105) over Kansas City
1-Unit Play. Take #917 L.A. Angels (-105) over Oakland
1-Unit Play. Take #916 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Detroit
TOTALS
2.5-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 Detroit at Chicago White Sox
2-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 Toronto at Tampa Bay
1.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 N.Y. Yankees at Baltimore
1-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 Houston at Colorado
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 San Francisco at Cincinnati
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 Atlanta at Arizona
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