6-13-10

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Re: 6-13-10

C SPORTS ADVISORS
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) - Jun 13, 2010 8:05 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 2.5/-105 Los Angeles Lakers Pick Title: free play

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Re: 6-13-10

SPORTS BOOK EDGE
5-1 This week
Sea.Mariners/SD Padres Over 6½

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Re: 6-13-10

GREG GRAY PICKS

5 UNIT NY Yankees -1.5
5 UNIT Detroit Tigers ml -198
5 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays -198
5 UNIT Milwaukee Brewers -134
5 UNIT Colorado Rockies -159
5 UNIT SF Giants ml -180

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Re: 6-13-10

KELSO

5 units Rays -1.5 run line +106
5 units Angels +120
5 units Cards -150
15 units Mets -135
25 units Detroit -1.5 run line +107

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Re: 6-13-10

ATS FINANCIAL

3 UNIT LA Lakers/Boston Celtics UNDER 187.5

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Re: 6-13-10

jeff benton sunday

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0-2 yesterday for a awful day of MINUS 50 dimes or $580 if you play a dollar a unit...overall, 56-65-3 MINUS 150 dimes.

Sunday's Winners ... 15 DIME release on the Boston Celtics over the L.A. Lakers in Game 5 of the NBA Finals. As I release this play at about 1 a.m. Eastern time, the Celtics are laying between 2 ½ and 3 points both here in Las Vegas and offshore. Obviously, I recommend getting that 2½ if at all poessible, and if you do, I advise that you protect yourself and by the half-point, taking the number down to -2.


10 DIME release on the Padres over the Mariners in interleague action. As I release this selection, San Diego is a modorate favorite of -120 to -130 both here in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to specify ONLY Clayton Richard as San Diego’s starting pitcher. If Richard does not start, this play is VOID!


Celtics

Two ways to look at this game: Either you play the Lakers because of the zigzag theory – these teams have alternated wins and losses in the first four games of this series and all six meetings this season – or you side with Boston because this game is immansely more important to the Celtics than it is to L.A.

Obviously, I’m going with the latter. And the reason can be summed up in two words: Andrew Bynum. The Lakers big man – who is playing on a bum knee – was a force in the first three games of this series (combined 40 points, 22 rebounds and eight blocked shots while playing 28, 39 and 29 minutes). However, Bynum reinjured his knee toward the tail end of Game 3 and was a total non-factor in L.A.’s 96-89 loss, producing just two points and three rebounds in 12 minutes.

Without Bynum on the floor, the Celtics had their way with the Lakers down low (Boston had a 54-34 advantage in points in the paint, plus a 41-34 rebounding edge). Without Bynum on the floor, Glen “Big Baby Davis” did his best Wes Unseld imperesonation with a 18 points and five rebounds, the majority of which came in the fourth quarter when the Celtics bench dominated the Lakers’ starters and outscored Los Angeles 36-27.

And that brings me to another point: Because guys like Big Baby, Rasheed Wallace, Tony Allen and Nate Robinson brought their collective “A” game in the fourth quarter on Thursday, the Celts were able to rest their core four (Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, Paul Pierce and Rajon Rondo). In the case of aging vets like Garnett, Allen and Pierce, the benefit of the extra minutes on the bench is obvious. But Rondo also is helped by the rest as he’s carried the load for Boston all spring long. That means all four guys should be extremely fresh and energized, especially after two full days off.

On the flip side, L.A.’s big guns – Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, Ron Artest and Lamar Odom – all played at least 39 minutes.

Add it all up, and you’ve got a fully rested Celtics team at home in what amounts to a must-win game against a Lakers squad that’s reeling after blowing Game 4. And even though Bynum says he’s going to play tonight, no way in hell will he be as effective as he was in Games 1 and 2 – and because of the way Bynum clogs up the lane, you could easily argue he’s THE most imporoant Lakers player in this series. Throw in the fact that the Celtics cannot lose this game – they’re NOT winning two in a row in L.A. – and Boston is the smart play here, especially in this reasonable spread range (the first four games have been decided by 13, 9, 7 and 7 points).


Padres

It’s time. It’s time to take the San Diego Padres seriously. At 37-25, they not only have the best record in the National League, they’ve got the third best record in all of baseball – only the Rays (40-22) and Yankees (39-23) are better.

Most importantly, when you look at the money standings, no team in baseball has been more profitable than the Friars, and it really isn’t even close. In fact, San Diego has generated 1,597 “units” of profit this season. The next best team (Toronto) is at 953 “units,” while the Nationals (787 “units”) are third on the list. Digest that for a second: San Diego has essentially brought home twice as much money as all but one team in baseball!

As for this matchup, well, where do I start? For San Diego to be a moderate favorite against the Mariners is a joke. Seattle is 23-39 on the season (8-22 on the road). The Padres are 37-25 overall (20-12 at home). And since losing the first game to Seattle this season, San Diego has won four in a row over the Mariners.

Sure, the Mariners are sending Felix Hernandez to the mound today, but so what? The Padres still have the superior starting pitcher in Clayton Richard.

Yes, you read that last sentence right. Clayton Richard (4-23, 2.72 ERA) has been better – MUCH better – than Felix Hernandez (3-5, 3.77 ERA). Proving that point, Richard has held 11 of 12 opponents to three earned runs or fewer; he’s given up exactly one run in four of his last five starts; and the only time this season he allowed more than three runs he gave up a whopping four spot.

Compare that to King Felix, who’s coming off an ugly start in Texas (seven runs allowed in six innings), and Seattle lost that contest 7-1. Hardly surprising, considering the Mariners are 1-8 in Hernandez’s last nine starts overall, including 0-5 on the road! The cumulative score in those eight losses with Hernandez on the bump: Opponents 49, Seattle 17. Included there is an 8-1 home loss to San Diego back on May 23!

Bottom line, guys: Whether or not the general public chooses to believe it, the Padres are for real – and without question they’re infinitely better than the Mariners. And to get San Diego on its home field with a hotter pitcher against a piss-poor road team like the Mariners at such a dirt cheap price is just too good to pass up.

Oh, one more thing: The Mariners have lost 50 of their last 67 games – yep, that’s 17-50 – as a road underdog

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Re: 6-13-10

SPORTBOOK GURU

MLB
3 units Chicago Cubs -142
2 units Cleveland/Washington Over 8
2 units Boston/Philadelphia Over 9.5
2 units NY Yankees/Houston Under 9
2 units LA Dodgers/LA Angels Under

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Re: 6-13-10

Bob Balfe

Boston Red Sox -125

Until Philly can score runs in bunches, its a no-brainier to go against them behind a hot-hitting Red Sox team that has just crushed them in the past two nights. Cole Hamels should pitch decent but, if the Philles are unable to score, then there is no way they can manage to stay in this game on the road. Take the Red Sox.


Australia +650

There is a lot of talk of this being a weaker German team than in past years but I am not really buying that. They have a new goaltender going against a veteran in net for Australia. This line holds tremendous value if Australia can get a good aerial attack going. They have a very credible shot at winning this game. Lets take our chances here with a big money line win. Take Australia.

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Re: 6-13-10

Wunderdog

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Cleveland Indians

Don't look now but the Indians have won four straight including wins at +160 and +185. We were on them at +185 a few days ago and will back them again as a big dog here. It's not often we can say this, but we get extra value here by fading a rookie pitcher. This line is jacked due to the phenom Strasburg. Everyone wants a piece of him, so we get extra line value by going the other way. Strasburg's team is just 12-21 on the road this season, but they are a prohibitive favorite against a hot team here? Overall the Nats are 18-29 the past three seasons as a favorite and 7-24 the past two seasons after a game in which they scored under 2 runs. I like Cleveland at this line here.

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Re: 6-13-10

BILL MARZANO

Lakers at Celtics
Pick: Over 187.5

I really like the total in this basketball game and I think it will play Over the posted 187.5 points...both teams are very well rested and have been missing a lot of easy, wide open shots...call it good defense, call it what you will, tonight both teams are going to score lots of points...the oddsmakers have adjusted the total just low enough for us to go Over the total of 187.5 points. Over is the play

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Re: 6-13-10

Hammer The Book

ROTATION 951/952: 4-UNITS: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS @ ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (CARDINALS ML -128 @ 5dimes)

ROTATION 957/958: 3-UNITS: PITTSBURGH PIRATES @ DETROIT TIGERS (PIRATES ML +185 @ 5dimes & Bodog)

ROTATION 959/960: 5-UNITS: KANSAS CITY ROYALS @ CINCINNATI REDS (REDS ML +103 @ Diamond & Pinnancle)

ROTATION 961/962: 3-UNITS: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES @ BOSTON RED SOX (PHILLIE ML +103 @ Bet Online)

ROTATION 963/964: 4-UNITS: NEW YORK METS @ BALTIMORE ORIOLES (METS ML -130 @ 5dimes & Diamond)

ROTATION 965/966: 3-UNITS: FLORIDA MARLINS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (MARLINS ML +183 @ Bet Online & Pinnancle)

ROTATION 965/966: 3-UNITS: FLORIDA MARLINS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (UNDER 9-RUNS @ Bet Phoenix, Legends & Bodog)

ROTATION 967/968: 4-UNITS: ATLANTA BRAVES @ MINNESOTA TWINS (OVER 8 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 969/976: 4-UNITS: TEXAS RANGERS @ MILWAUKEE BREWERS (BREWERS ML -130 @ Diamond)

ROTATION 975/976: 3-UNITS: OAKLAND ATHLETICS @ SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (GIANTS RL -1 1/2 +126 @ Pinnancle)

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Re: 6-13-10

exec comp-tex

mlb 250-atl

nba 250-bost

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Re: 6-13-10

GoodFella
GoodFella | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/13/10 - 8:05 PM

bet 972 CHC (-145) Sportbet vs 971 CWS

Analysis:
Listed Pitchers (Lilly vs Floyd)

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Re: 6-13-10

DallasDaveSports MLB

Giving a Free Day to All!!!!!!!

NY Yankees(-1.5) -150 1:05 PM EST

Baltimore(+1.5) -130 1:35 PM EST

Milwaukee -140 2:10 PM EST

Colorado -160 3:10 PM EST

Arizona(+1.5) -122 4:10 PM EST

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Re: 6-13-10

Indian Cowboy

5-Unit Play. Take #977. Take Seattle Mariners +102 over San Diego Padres (Sunday @ 4:00pm est)

We have everything that we want in an edge in a ballgame for an underdog. The Mariners come off losing back to back games to the Padres in the first two contests between these two teams. The Mariners lost once in the bottom of the ninth a couple days back 3-4 and most recently 1-7. But, this team does have Felix on the mound today and he comes off one of his worst starts of the year giving up seven runs in six innings of work against the Rangers. To show you how well Felix has pitched this year, just consider that even after that performance, his era is still a respectable 3.77 as prior to that start, Felix had put together five straight quality starts. And, the last time he faced the Padres he ended up falling short as his team lost 1-8. Certainly, Felix has motivation to do well today to avenge that loss, bounce-back from a tough start at Texas and help his team to avoid being possibly swept by this team. Clayton is a high quality pitcher. Note that Clayton faced the Mariners earlier this year and ended up winning 2-1 by giving up seven hits in as many innings. With nearly 70% taking the Padres here, I think that is reason to be wary of the favorite here as well and I think that if there was a spot for the Mariners to pick up a ballgame, it very well could be here behind King Felix. The Padres are 2-5 when Clayton faces a team with a losing record, 2-6 when Clayton comes off a quality appearance and the Mariners are 8-1 in Hernandez's last 9 interleague starts.