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Re: 6-16-10
Greg Shaker | MLB Total Wed, 06/16/10 - 7:05 PM
triple-dime bet 911 CWS / 912 PIT Over 7.5 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Chicago White Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates - Over 7.5 (Danks/Duke)(Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 6/16/2010
Note: This line has drifted down from an opening of 8.5 and money is pouring in on the Under at a rate of about 75% off all bets at this writing. But we have a lot of things going for us tonight with the Weather Pattern at PNC the worst that it could be for lefthanded throwers. Part of the reason why we are seeing this number drop is the fact that the WhiteSox Hurler is coming off his best game of the year verses the Tigers at his homepark. But this guy has always been a Homer and his away starts have been much lesso‚r this year as in year's past. He is sporting a Huge WHIP in this situation including his last road effort at TB where he allowed 8 runs over 4 innings thrown. We also have to note that his K Numbers are Way down and his BB Numbers are Way up the last 4 times on the mound and that suggest some arm weariness. Zack Duke is in the same boat of late but much worse as he is having serious trouble getting anyone out, sporting 30 hits allowed over 61.1 Innings of work. Both of these starters do not have the ability to go deep into the game often and Both Pens are performing at Sub-Par over their last 10 games. It is no secret that the WhiteSox have trouble hitting Southpaws but I am not sure if I could not hit the Pirate Pitcher tonight. Pitt will be in their Best Hitting Posture tonight and this team has proven that they can score at this park. According to My MLB Totals Model, this low number will be obtained at just over 59% of the time and I personally think that is a low summation. So, I will play it harder than usual.
Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Wed, 06/16/10 - 8:10 PM
dime bet 925 HOU (-110) BetUS vs 926 KAN
Analysis:
MLB: Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals - Astros (Oswalt/Chen) -110 | Unit Value: 1
Game Date: 6/16/2010
Note: I am not going to spend much time telling you why I like this play. The facts are that Houston has been a horrible road team but they do have their best thrower on the hill tonight and they are in their very best hitting posture facing the lefty. That lefty is just not that spiffy aƒnd he also does not go deep into games like the Houston Starter does. That means we are likely to get a nice jumpstart for this one and that also means that we are likely to see the KC Bullpen sooner. That is key in this contest I think and let's face it, the Royals are just as poor a team as Houston. So with everything else Slick, we do have the advantage in the Pitching department tonight, early and mid-late and that is good enough for me. My Model has Houston winning this contest 58.3% of the time and I have to agree.
Greg Shaker | MLB Total Wed, 06/16/10 - 7:05 PM
triple-dime bet 911 CWS / 912 PIT Over 7.5 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Chicago White Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates - Over 7.5 (Danks/Duke)(Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 6/16/2010
Note: This line has drifted down from an opening of 8.5 and money is pouring in on the Under at a rate of about 75% off all bets at this writing. But we have a lot of things going for us tonight with the Weather Pattern at PNC the worst that it could be for lefthanded throwers. Part of the reason why we are seeing this number drop is the fact that the WhiteSox Hurler is coming off his best game of the year verses the Tigers at his homepark. But this guy has always been a Homer and his away starts have been much lesso‚r this year as in year's past. He is sporting a Huge WHIP in this situation including his last road effort at TB where he allowed 8 runs over 4 innings thrown. We also have to note that his K Numbers are Way down and his BB Numbers are Way up the last 4 times on the mound and that suggest some arm weariness. Zack Duke is in the same boat of late but much worse as he is having serious trouble getting anyone out, sporting 30 hits allowed over 61.1 Innings of work. Both of these starters do not have the ability to go deep into the game often and Both Pens are performing at Sub-Par over their last 10 games. It is no secret that the WhiteSox have trouble hitting Southpaws but I am not sure if I could not hit the Pirate Pitcher tonight. Pitt will be in their Best Hitting Posture tonight and this team has proven that they can score at this park. According to My MLB Totals Model, this low number will be obtained at just over 59% of the time and I personally think that is a low summation. So, I will play it harder than usual.
Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Wed, 06/16/10 - 8:10 PM
dime bet 925 HOU (-110) BetUS vs 926 KAN
Analysis:
MLB: Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals - Astros (Oswalt/Chen) -110 | Unit Value: 1
Game Date: 6/16/2010
Note: I am not going to spend much time telling you why I like this play. The facts are that Houston has been a horrible road team but they do have their best thrower on the hill tonight and they are in their very best hitting posture facing the lefty. That lefty is just not that spiffy aƒnd he also does not go deep into games like the Houston Starter does. That means we are likely to get a nice jumpstart for this one and that also means that we are likely to see the KC Bullpen sooner. That is key in this contest I think and let's face it, the Royals are just as poor a team as Houston. So with everything else Slick, we do have the advantage in the Pitching department tonight, early and mid-late and that is good enough for me. My Model has Houston winning this contest 58.3% of the time and I have to agree.
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