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INDIAN COWBOY WNBA
5-Unit Play. Take #652. Take Under 146 Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever (Thursday @ 7:00pm est)
Many believe that this will be a high scoring ballgame given that nearly 75% of the public is on the over, but I believe this will have a strong defensive element to it. Bear in mind that these two teams are primarily defensive ballclubs given the way they are coached. Indiana has played 3 of 4 Unders at home with the exception coming to the Liberty. Seattle is the same team that is ranked 2nd in the league in overall defense, 2nd in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage at a low rate and first in the league in defensive rebounding. Not to be out done, Indiana is first in the league in defense, first in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage to a low bar and fourth in the league in rebounding. These two teams are aware that they are two of the better teams in the league and have been for quite some time. This is why this game was set early in the season to be featured on a Thursday night as the only game on tap. This explains why the line has also come down despite the majority of the public being on the over. The Under is 3-1-1 for the Storm in their last five ballgames overall and the Under is 7-1 in the Fever's last eight ballgames at home.
With Perkins out and Boston on the road, I have no other way to look in this one. The games Boston won, they dominated the paint and the boards. They lost a KEY element and player in Perkins, and it is a BIG loss for them. Gasol for the Lakers played great defense in the last game, Wallace was 0-7 from the floor and he made critical boards and points when needed. Can Boston overcome a 20 point loss in 48 hours and take this game? LA is the BEST TEAM in the NBA, and have been all season. When they bring their A game, they can beat anyone by double digits at home, I do not see them losing this game at home and the probability of them covering a rather large number is higher than therm not, I will take the home team to pull away late on their homecourt win a title by 10 tonight. Play 1 Unit on LA Lakers.
I like the LA Lakers in this game vs the Boston Celtics...we all know what is at stake in this game and this game will not disappoint...Boston suffered a huge blow with the injury to Perkins but do have quality backups...home court is going to play a huge role in this game as it always does in game 7's...I like the Lakers to pull away late and Kobe cementing his legacy...Lakers are the play
Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders.com has a Thursday winner on the Phillies.
Call me stubborn and a sucker for backing these Phillies because they do stink right now, even with the win yesterday, but I am going to do just that. This team just has to start hitting at some point and at this takeback, even in the Bronx against the Big Bad Yankees, I can't help but make at least a small play on them. Granted Utley and Howard and the rest of Charlie Manual's boys are awful for whatever reason but it's not like they don't have the potential to turn things around. For Gosh sake this team has played in back-to-back World Series, right? I understand they are colder than ice but I like Kyle Kendrick and this price is just too much, red hot or ice cold.
Andy Pettitte has been great in most of his starts and is pitching like a young inspired kid. I have no qualms at all with the lefty and things will be far from easy for the visitors. But Philadelphia still has too many players that have to turn things around in the near future.
Kendrick certainly has a tall task against Joe Girardi's Yankees as the Bombers probably are the best team in the game but I can't help myself at this price and in a comp type play will take my chances on the Phillies and hope they can fight a little bit in an rare recent win.
indian cowboy 6/17/2010 with write ups
4-Unit Play. Take #956. Take Minnesota Twins +100 over Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 1:10pm est)
Many believe that Ubaldo is an unstoppable train and although that has been true more or less, I think he gets halted a bit today in Minnesota. Ubadlo is 12-1 with a 1.16 era but when he recently faced a decent American League lineup, he struggled a tad giving up three earned runs in a rain out ballgame where his team ended up getting the win after seven innings. I look for the Twins to take a page out of the Bluejays lineup and to likely to well at home today. Francisco Liriano has been lights out of late and I believe he will likely be up for the challenge. It does make me a bit uneasy that the Rockies will look to avoid the sweep against Liriano, but given the way Francisco pitched against the Braves yielding just one run while striking out 11 batters, that speaks volumes. In fact, in his start prior to that he struck out 10 at Oakland. I look for the Twins to have that edge today with Liriano and to have a small chip on their shoulder to try to be one of the few teams to be able to hit Ubaldo. I believe Liriano will be up for the challenge today and I can see the Twins squeaking this game out. The Rockies have bats have been silenced in Minnesota thus far against Minnesota pitching and I don't think it will get any easier with Liriano. The Rockies are 1-5 in their last six road games while the Twins are 8-1 in Liriano's last 9 ballgames against the National League.
5-Unit Play. Take #652. Take Under 146 Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever (Thursday @ 7:00pm est)
Many believe that this will be a high scoring ballgame given that nearly 75% of the public is on the over, but I believe this will have a strong defensive element to it. Bear in mind that these two teams are primarily defensive ballclubs given the way they are coached. Indiana has played 3 o 4 Unders at home with the exception coming to the Liberty. Seattle is the same team that is ranked 2nd in the league in overall defense, 2nd in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage at a low rate and first in the league in defensive rebounding. Not to be out done, Indiana is first in the league in defense, first in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage to a low bar and fourth in the league in rebounding. These two teams are aware that they are two of the better teams in the league and have been for quite some time. This is why this game was set early in the season to be featured on a Thursday night as the only game on tap. This explains why the line has also come down despite the majority of the public being on the over. The Under is 3-1-1 for the Storm in their last five ballgames overall and the Under is 7-1 in the Fever's last eight ballgames at home.
4-Unit Play. Take #714. Take Los Angeles Lakers -7 over Boston Celtics (Thursday @ 9:00pm est)
I am a dog player by nature, but I will be on the Lakers tonight at Staples. I understand that Doc Rivers will have his boys ready for this game, but keep in mind that the lines are indicative of some things. For starters, 60% of the public are on the Celtics and the line continues to rise. I think the best thing that could have happened to the Lakers was to lose two of three in Boston and in particular, to lose back to back games in Boston. All that has done is to get this team fired up for these two contests at home. Although I can see the Celtics at times being held in check by the Lakers, I cannot see the Lakers being held in check today as much. Bear in mind that Bynum will play and that Kendrick Perkins will not play which does put a damper on this team. Also, the seven points although might seem significant, truly isn't in my opinion in the end especially with late free throws as both of these teams will look to extend the series. It seems Kobe will indeed get his wish of another Championship Ring tonight. I look for the Celtics to cover the first half of the ballgame but, then I look for the Lakers to have a big third quarter and to hold steady to close out the game for the s.u. and ats win.
On Thursday the MLB play is on the Chicago WhiteSox. Game 959 at 7:05 eastern. Chicago fits a nice system here tonight that plays on certain road favorites off a road favored win by 5 or more runs,if they left 5 or more men on base and they are taking on an opponent off a 5 or more run home dog loss that scored 2 or less runs and left 4 or less men on base. These road favorites cash 84% of the time over the past few years. The Pirates are on a long losing streak and have been playing lousy fundamental baseball, as evidence by all their errors last night. Chicago will look to get their first road sweep tonight. For the MLB play take the Chicago Whitesox to deal the struggling Pirates another loss. BOL GC
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