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Cincinnati has dropped 6 of 9 vs. the AL this year and are just 2-5 on the road against left-handed starters. Oakland is 16-9 as a favorite on the year with their pitchers having a 2.90 ERA at home. The Reds are having some issues scoring, as they have not totaled 4 runs scored in 6 of their past 7 games.
dime bet 951 KAN (+130) Bodog vs 952 WAS
Analysis: I honestly never thought I'd see the day again that I would trust a Royals game in which Bruce Chen was the starter. However, I do follow this club very closely and I like the spot here against Hernandez and the Nationals. The Royals are such a tough team to really get a handle on, in my view they are closer than most suspect. Ned Yost, to his credit, has this team playing hard every night and playing sound fundamental baseball. Most years about this time when the season is a lost cause the Royals would nose dive into a june swoon and start playing downright sloppy ball. Tonight they catch a Nationals club that is mired in a 7 game skid themselves and simply not hitting the ball as they are batting a lousy .190 during this recent losing stretch. Not much history between these two as the last time they squared off was in 2004. I think there is some honest value here guys with this Royals club at this price.
Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Mon, 06/21/10 - 10:05 PM
double-dime bet 956 OAK (-125) Bodog vs 955 CIN
Analysis:
Play on Oakland at 10:05 EST – the Reds had been playing pretty good baseball, but they’ve hit the skids winning once in their last seven games. Cincinnati had been hitting the heck out of the ball, but their bats have gone silent of late. In those last seven games they’re hitting .204 as a team and scoring only 1.9 runs per game. Oakland is back home after a very long 9-game road trip that saw them win only twice. Tonight the pitching matchup has Leake for the Reds while the A’s counter with Gonzalez. The Red’s righty has been shaky in his last two outings allowing 20 hits and 10 earned runs in only 10 1/3 innings. Gonzalez hasn’t been that great either allowing 10 runs in his last 10 1/3 innings pitched. However, Gonzalez’s last two outings were on the road and he’s pitching back at home tonight. In his six home starts this season the A’s lefty has a 4-2 team start record with a 2.90 ERA. In his last two starts here he’s gone 15 innings and allowed only two earned runs. We think Leake is going to get into trouble tonight, and will have to turn things over to a beat up Reds bull pen that has a lofty 4.72 ERA. Meanwhile, the A’s bullpen has been tough at home with a 2.98 ERA and 89% save percentage. Look for Gonzalez to keep the Reds bats silent again tonight. Good Luck. Play on Oakland.
Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Mon, 06/21/10 - 10:05 PM
double-dime bet 956 OAK (-120) BetUS vs 955 CIN
Analysis: My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Oak A's at 10:05 ET.
Rookie Mike Leake didn't lose his first game this season until his 13th start. He allowed three ERs or less in 10 of his first 11 but then needed to get bailed out by his teammates in his 12th start, when he allowed 11 hits and five ERs in just 4.1 innings vs the Giants (Reds won 7-6, with a three-run 8th). In start No. 13, Leake was not as fortunate. He again allowed five ERs (nine hits in six innings) but got his first loss in the majors, as the Dodgers beat the Reds 6-2 last Wednesday. He takes the mound tonight in Oakland with his team struggling. The Red have lost SIX of their last seven, after getting swept in a three-game series this weekend in Seattle. Lee, Hernandez and Rowland-Smith (are you kidding me?) held the Reds to just one run and a measly 14 hits in the series. Cincinnati has now scored a total of just 13 runs over its last seven games (1.86 per game) while batting .204 as a team. The A's come in losers of SEVEN of their last nine games but all games in their current slide have come on the road, where they are just 13-24. The A's have been solid at home all season, going 21-13 while holding opponents to just 3.21 RPG. Tonight's starter, lefty Gio Gonzalez, has mirrored his team's performances this year, His road ERA is 5.44 bu€t he's 4-2 in six home starts, posting a 2.90 ERA. The A's are 13-7 as a home favorite this year and Gonzalez should be just fine against those struggling Cincinnati bats plus the A's should feast on Leake, who has allowed 20 hits and 10 ERs over just 10.1 innings of his last two starts.
INSIDER ANGLES
MONDAY MLB: NY YANKEES vs. ARIZONA D'BACKS
This matchup between the New York Yankees and the Arizona Diamondbacks seems like a mismatch, and while that fact is reflected in the heavy Money Line attached to the New Yorkers here, we have no qualms about laying the 1.5 on the Run Line at what seems like a cheap price.
The Yankees now have the best record in the Major Leagues at 43-26 after taking two out of three from the Mets this weekend, and they are one of only two teams with a winning percentage over .600, with the division rival Tampa Bay Rays being the other. Meanwhile, the D-Backs are in last place in the National League West at 27-43, which is the third worst record in the NL.
This line may not be as high as usual due to the recent struggles of Yankee starter A.J. Burnet, who is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in his last three starts. Still, he is at an advantage here facing a struggling National League team, especially playing in an NL park where the pitcher has to hit. Besides, Burnett is much better than his last three starts, in fact having some of the best stuff in the league when he is on, and this is a good lineup to get well against.
The Diamondbacks, meanwhile, are turning to veteran Rodrigo Lopez, who continues to turn up on Major League rosters despite a lifetime of mediocrity. This year has been no different, as Lopez is 2-6 with a 4.70 ERA, and he has just two Quality Starts in his last nine outings. Worst of all, Lopez does not usually work deep into ballgames, and that is bad news since the Arizona bullpen is dead last in the majors with a 7.14 ERA.
The Yankees are the better team here in virtually every category, so we will gladly play the Run Line.
NYY at ARI
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) after 3 straight games where they committed no errors, with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game
99-82 since 1997. ( 54.7% | 50.3 units )
3-5 this year. ( 37.5% | -0.8 units )
Situational Power Trends
CIN at OAK
OAKLAND is 23-8 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in Home games after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.5)
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