6-24-10

**Mr. IWS** · 06-24-2010, 03:53 PM

Re: 6-24-10

Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Thu, 06/24/10 - 7:05 PM

double-dime bet 916 TOR (-130) Bookmaker.com vs 915 STL
Analysis: My 10* IL Underdog of the Month is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:05 ET.
The 6' 7" Adam Wainwright was converted to a starter for the 2007 season (helped team win World Series in 2006 as a middle-reliever) and went 14-12 (3.70 ERA). Despite suffering a finger injury in June that caused him to miss 2½ months of the 2008 season, he finished 11-3 with a 3.20 ERA in 20 starts and then was BRILLIANT in 2009, going 19-8 with a 2.63 ERA. Wainwright became only the second pitcher (Trevor Hoffman being the first) ever to get the most first place votes in the NL's Cy Young award voting last year and NOT win the award (finished third behind teammate Carpenter and winner, Lincecum). He's 10-4 with a 2.23 ERA in 15 starts this season but one should note that he's had trouble wi€nning away from home, He's a perfect 7-0 in his home starts (1.67 ERA) but despite an excellent 2.78 ERA on the road, he's just 3-4 away from StL (team is 3-5). The Cards have taken the first two games of this series from the Jays (9-4 and 1-0) and now go for the sweep. However, while I respect Wainwright, one can't ignore the fact that he's been vulnerable away from home. Also, Brandon Morrow, has really been a tough opponent as of late. He made just 15 starts (131 appearances) with the Mariners the previous three years but his move to Toronto has been a good one and all of his appearances (14) this year have been a starter. He's struggled (to say the least) on the road (0-4 with a 7.09 ERA in seven road starts / team is 2-5) but he's 4-1 with a 3.35 ERA in seven starts at Rogers Centre / team is 5-2). Morrow comes in with lots of confidence, as in his last four starts (three at home and one on the road), he's allowed just 17 hits and five ERs over 26 innings (1.73 ERA). Take the price!

Good luck...Larry

6-24-10

6-24-10

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