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Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders. It is on the White Sox -122 at home to the Chicago Cubs.
I'm going back to this well for a second straight day. Carlos Silva has had a very successful season and is better than Freddy Garcia but Lou Pinella is a joke and his team is a total joke. How the manager is still around is beyond me and how he hasn't gone bonkers and embarassed himself is almost mind boggling.
The Cubs are just horrific. This team is beyond underachieving. It's actually getting to the point where they're not really even good. I thought they were underachieving for the bulk of this season but after seeing the terrible play over and over and over again I just think that this team is bad, flat out bad. Lee and Soriano no longer scare many, Ramirez is banged up and trying to come back from the wrist injury and Fukudome and Soto have pretty much lost whatever they used to have.
It's almost as if the North Siders have become a disease as they are just dreadful game in and game out.
Meanwhile on the exact opposite extreme is the White Sox who have won 10 in a row and have done so in great fashion. Ozzie's boys have finally started to play some ball after the rough first few months and it all started a few weeks back at Wrigley Field when they took two of the three games.
Nothing seems to be changing at all here as these two teams are like ships going in opposite directions. One is heading for the Hurricane and the other is sailing as smooth as a ship could sail.
The ChiSox will come back down to Earth at some point as they are not really much better than average but right now Konerko, Quentin, Pierzynski and the Sox are confident and just rolling. How this price is as cheap as it is is beyond me and does seem a little too easy which is a tad scary. But if you think I am going to completely avoid this game than you're crazy.
Saturday's Lineup
100 Dime play on Tampa Bay - 1 1/2 Runs with Price over Arizona and Kennedy. Both starters must go or this play is automatically voided. As I released this pick at 8:30 Eastern, Tampa Bay is -105 on the Run Line in Vegas and offshore.
One and only play of the day on the Tampa Bay Rays to come back in a BIG way after getting no-hit by Edwin Jackson and the Diamondbacks last night. This couldn't set up for me any nicer. I was already eyeing this game as a big play before the no-hitter... but now I'm jumping all over it. Arizona flat out stinks on the road, they are one of the worst road teams in baseball, and if not for a masterpiece from Jackson last night they would have been beaten soundly. Only a solo home run from Adam LaRoche was the total scoring in last night's game.
The Diamondbacks just don't score a lot of runs on the road, as evidencad by last night's 1-0 game, scoring just 22 runs in their last 6-game road trip. In those six games, Arizona lost five of them and every single one was at least a two-run loss. Today will be no different.
Arizona is just 11-27 in road games this year and, even worse they're 6-15 in day games. Tampa, on the other hand, enjoys playing under the sun as they've won 12 of 20 in the daylight. This game sets up so nicely it's honestly scary. Tampa was "no-hit" last night, they clearly have a better offense than Arizona, they definitely have the pitching advantage today, and they get a team that strugglaes against lefties and can't win a road game to save their lives. Yeah, I'd say this one sets up nicely in our favor.
On one hand you have David Price... and absolute stud in the making that has dominated opponents all season --- but especially at home. He's 10-3 with a 2.45 ERA for the year and is 2-1 with a 3.01 ERA over his last three starts. At home he's even better, sporting a 4-1 record (12-4 for his career) in 6 starts with a 1.94 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP, not to mention the fact batters are hitting just .181 against him. Price loves pitching on the artificial surface as well, possessing a 5-1 record and a 1.63 ERA on the fake stuff. During the day, Price has lost just once in six starts and owns a 2.52 ERA. His WHIP and BAA are both better in day games than night games.
He's 3-1 in the month of June (so far) with an ERA of 2.11... his best month thus far. Price will be pitching against Arizona for the first time in his career, but considering they hit below .250 against southpaws, I'm quite certain he'll have no trouble setting them down in order today. If his fastball continues to top 95 and he has solid control of his offspeed stuff, the Diamondbacks are in for a long afternoon.
The D-backs counter with Ian Kennedy who, although at times has had good stuff, struggles on the road and struggles in the sunshine. He's 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA away from Phoenix and the Diamondbacks have lost his last five road starts, includtng a 6-3 loss at Boston and a 3-1 loss at Detroit in his last two (9 ERs in 12 2/3 innings). His last road win was a 1-0 triumph over Houston back on May 4th... nearly two months ago. During day games Kennedy struggles as well, winning just once in 6 tries with a 4.14 ERA.
While with the Yankees last year, Kennedy saw the Rays three times... he was 1-2 with a 6.65 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in 3 starts overall and 0-1 in two starts with a 6.65 ERA at Tropicana Field. Until last night, Arizona hadn't won in Tampa Bay either... getting swept in Interleague play back in 2006.
Arizona is 2-8 in their last 10 Interleague road games, 1-7 in their last 8 on field turf, 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a lefty, 6-16 in their last 22 Interleague games, 19-48 in their last 67 road games, and 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Tampa, meanwhile, has won 24 of their last 33 Saturday games, 21 of their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, 20 of their last 29 as a home favorite of -200 or greater, 6 of their last 7 David Price starts when the opponent scores two or less the previous game, 14 of his last 18 starts overall, and 8 of his last 10 starts with the total set between 7 and 8 1/2.
It's right here for the taking boys, and I'm all over it. I like the Rays on the run line to absolutely dispose of the Diamondbacks in a major way today.
Picktherightbet had another winner last night with J.W. Leonard's play on Atlanta. Overall Picktherightbet had a perfect 4-0 night on paid plays. Hope everyone is enjoying this great run as much as us and our clients are. This month has been great hitting at over 70% and not having back to back losing days in a month. Today's selection comes from Steven Mitchell with his Play Of The Day.
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