6-29-10

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

Ben lee won on Monday with the Cardnials -$180/Diamondbacks.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Braves -$180/Nationals.

"Mr Chalk" is 49-37 -$880 for the 2010 MLB season.

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

EasyBaseballBetting

Went 2-1 yesterday, hitting Tigers at +148 and the Royals at +120 and now have 5 plays on tap.

Here are two of those picks, the other three can be purchased below.

Diamondbacks (+260) over Cardinals - We are going to take a little chance here with Dontrelle Willis. The +260 of the D'backs is just too big to pass up. First, the Cardinals are impressive in games 1s going 18-7, +7.6 units. The rest of the series, they are mediocre at best = 22-26, -15 units. So what we basically have here is a below 500 team that is super mondo favorites. They hit lefties a bit better than they do righties but after a win, they are -12 units whereas off a loss are +5 units. So something about this team causes them to lack the motivation to come back and win a second game in a row. This is going to be more important a game for Willis than it is for the Cardinals. With that said, +260 is pure value.

Pirates (+215) over Cubs - These Pirates are not a very good team on the season BUT a lot of their bad record has come from non-divisional rivalry games 8-19, -3.5 units and interleague games 2-13, -11 units. This is a total of 10-32, -14.5 units. In divisional rivalry games, these Pirates are 16-18, +6 units. They are a totally different team when playing rivals. This makes them super value as a +215 dog. Our program always tends to look for these dichotomies. A team that is undervalued perhaps because of a poor record but they have either a super strong home record, record vs lefties, divisional rivalry record, etc that justifies their odds to be much better than it should be. And then by betting those teams, you make money in the long run.
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[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Tuesday Baseball 100* Play Chicago Cubs (-230) over Pittsburgh

Game starts at 8:10 PM EST

Pittsburgh has lost 6 of the last 7 games and they have also lost 31 of the last 41 road games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Pittsburgh has lost 18 of the last 20 road games coming off an UNDER the total and they have also lost 28 of the last 35 road games when playing in the month of June.

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50* Play Atlanta (-200) over WashingtonGame starts at 7:00 PM EST Washington has lost 13 of the last 14 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and they have also lost 23 of the last 30 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Washington has lost 25 of the last 31 games after getting shut-out and pitcher, Craig Stammen is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of 8.13.

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Tuesday World Cup Soccer 50* Play Portugal (+.5 Goals) over Spain

***Extra Over-Time and Penalty Kicks do not count in UNDER***
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[golden contender]

Re: 6-29-10-GC MLB Play

On Tuesday the free MLB Totals play is on the over in the Oakland at Baltimore game. Rotation numbers 969/970 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system. What we want to do is play the over for certain road favorites if both teams are coming off 1 run home wins. These games have played over 78% of the time. Oakland has played over in 5 of 7 games with a day off. The Orioles fresh off a rare sweep have gone over the total 8 of 10 times as a home dog in this range and 14 of 22 times off a win. They have really hit the ball hard over the past week. Baltimore is averaging 6 runs per game and hitting .309 over their past 7 games. In the pitching matchup we have Lefty Dallas Braden making the start for Oakland. Braden has a 5.03 road era and Baltimore right hander Matsuz has a 4.77 era at home. Oakland also has a poor 5.29 road bullpen era this year. With the total sitting at 8.5 we will go over the total tonight. On Tuesday I have the AL Game of the Month backed with a Rare MLB Power system. Best of all is the game qualifies in the 100% Subset of the system. I also have a Big MLB totals system that averages 11 runs per game and is very similar to last nights winning system on the over in the Tigers and Twins game. For the free play consider going over the total in the Oakland at Baltimore game. BOL GC

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

ROBERT FERRINGO

SIDES
2.5-Unit Play. Take #976 Minnesota (-135) over Detroit (8 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. Take #956 Atlanta (-1.5, -105) over Washington (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #953 Philadelphia (+115) over Cincinnati (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #969 Oakland (-110) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #971 Toronto (-110) over Cleveland (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #977 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Kansas City (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #968 N.Y. Yankees (-150) over Seattle (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #958 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +100) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m.)

TOTALS
7-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 N.Y. Mets at Florida (7 p.m.)
Note: This is my Divisional Total of the Year.

3.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Washington at Atlanta (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Oakland at Baltimore (7 p.m.)

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

INDIAN COWBOY Indiana Fever + 2.5
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[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

ROBERT FERRINGO

SIDES
2.5-Unit Play. Take #976 Minnesota (-135) over Detroit (8 p.m.)

Man, did the Twins hand that game over last night. They had base runners all over the place, but three double plays undercut the offense and they gave one away to the Tigers. The Twins fell to second place in their division so I expect them to come back firing tonight. Tough to bet against Army Galarraga right now but even he is starting to slow down and has been just OK in his last two starts. And he is just 1-5 with a 5.48 ERA in his career against the Twins. His fastball runs over the heart of the plate against left-handed hitters, moving right toward the barrel. Thats why he has a lot of trouble with Morneau and Mauer. Nick Blackburns numbers have been horrific, but hes a different dude at home. Hes 4-0 with a 3.19 ERA at home and already had a complete game win over the Tigers this year in Minnesota. And when you factor in the home/road splits of these two teams both this year and in this series and this is a solid number on the Twins.

2-Unit Play. Take #956 Atlanta (-1.5, -105) over Washington (7 p.m.)

I think this is a big-time letdown game for the Nationals after the Braves beat their ace last night. Washington is coming back to earth a bit and if you go back and look they are just 1-3 the day after Strasburg pitches with three of the four games going over. The Nationals are just 8-20 in their last 28 and still struggle on the road. And now that they are going with Craig Stammen you know they are in trouble. The Braves are 22-4 in their last 26 home games and they have been awesome over the last two months. They lost a series earlier in the year against the Nationals and now have revenge on the brain.

1-Unit Play. Take #953 Philadelphia (+115) over Cincinnati (7 p.m.)

Theres no doubt that the Reds are a more solid team at the moment, but I still think that a sweep of the Phillies is pretty unlikely so Ill go right back to Philly tonight. The Reds had a homer off the foul pole, an unearned run, some crazy DPs and questionable calls, an over-the-shoulder catch and basically just played a perfect game last night. Good for them. They also had a nice pitching mismatch that they took advantage of. But Im hunting for a letdown and for some of that good fortune to even out. Joe Blanton is definitely a mess, especially on the road. But I think he can outduel Mike Leake, whose numbers are inflated because he hasnt faced many (if any) good lineups. Hes given up nine runs in his last three outings (16 innings) so maybe teams are starting to catch up to the rookie. The Phillies are 4-1 after a loss so they are getting their fight back. And they are 43-21 against the N.L. Central and 9-4 in the last 13 against the Reds.

1-Unit Play. Take #969 Oakland (-110) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)

Is there ever a bad reason to bet against Baltimore? They are primed for a letdown after a weekend sweep of their in-state rivals. And even though Dallas Braden has gone back to being the average pitcher that he is (I know he threw a no-no, but the guys career numbers scream mediocre) but the reality is that the As have just owned the Orioles over the last few years. Oakland is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Baltimore and 55-19 in the last 74 meetings overall. Of course, that all clearly means that the Os will win about 10-2 tonight, but it doesnt mean that this isnt a strong number and a good spot. The Os are also just 12-40 in Game 1 of a series and 14-39 against a left-handed starter.

1-Unit Play. Take #971 Toronto (-110) over Cleveland (7 p.m.)

Brandon Morrow worries me a bit coming off a great outing. And even though hes really not that good I dont like going against Fausto Carmona. But that, this one is a no-brainer. Cleveland still stinks. And they had to revert to a suicide squeeze last night just to inch across a run and get a win. Maybe a savvy play, but to me it reeks of desperation. The Jays didnt do anything at the plate last night but I think that they will bounce back tonight. This same matchup occurred a couple months ago and the Jays got the better end because their bullpen is better. I think that will be the case here as well. Jays do enough to get a W.

1-Unit Play. Take #977 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Kansas City (8 p.m.)

Another game, another bounce back. The White Sox had a load of chances last night in Kansas City and couldnt get it done. But they have still been sharp lately so Ill go back to them. Brian Bannisters numbers in his career against the White Sox are horrific. He has an ERA near 8.00 and the current Sox players hit about .330 against him. So Ill see if we cant get some of that Sox magic back. They have dominated this series recently and I definitely think that they can equalize today.

1-Unit Play. Take #968 N.Y. Yankees (-150) over Seattle (7 p.m.)

Seattle sucks. I dont care who is pitching. The Yankees are one of the best teams in the Majors against lefties and if you look at the current Yankees they hit .325 against Lee for his career. He also sports a 5.02 career ERA against the Yankees in nine career starts. The Yankees win about 75 percent of all of their home games, and have done that for years. I like Phil Hughes and his stuff and I think he has a strong bounce back effort. The Yankees are 22-8 at home against the Ms and they are 15-6 in the last 21 overall. Again, nothing but 75 percent trends on the much, much better team.

0.5-Unit Play. Take #958 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +100) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m.)
The Cubs suck. But I dont think that there is any doubt that the Pirates suck worse. And even though the Pirates are the only team that the Cubs cant beat, Im still going to back Ted Lilly. Hes had Pittsburghs number in his career and with the exception of one outing against the Angels he has been brilliant over the last two months.

TOTALS
7-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 N.Y. Mets at Florida (7 p.m.)
Note: This is my Divisional Total of the Year.

3.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Washington at Atlanta (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Oakland at Baltimore (7 p.m.)

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Seattle v. NY 7:05pm
PICK: UNDER 7 Game ev

Toronto v. Cleveland 7:10pm
PICK: Indians ML +105 Game

Tampa Bay v. Boston 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game +105 Best bet of the day #1

Detroit v. Minnesota 8:10pm
PICK: Tigers ML +132 Game

LA v. San Fran 10:15pm
PICK: Giants RL (-1.5) +160 Game of the week
PICK: OVERT 7.5 Game ev

2* 3 TEAM PARLAY
Orioles ML Game ev
OVER 8.5 Game ev
Royals ML +120 Game

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

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DIMEWINS:
TUE 6/29/10

Player 1
7.50* OVER WAS/ATL 9 EV

Player 2
7.50* LA ANGELS -120

Player 3
6.00* MILWAUKEE-1' -115

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

TOMMY GUNN
PREMIUM PLAYS
6/29/10

3* Reds ML -134
2* A's ML -110
2* Blue Jays ML -112

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

Indian Cowboy:
4-Unit Play. Take #964. Take Under 7.0 between Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres (Tuesday @ 10:05pm est).

There were 16 runs scored between these two teams last night. I don't expect that many runs to take place tonight with Hammel and LeBlanc on the mound. Hammel and LeBlanc both come off rough interleague starts where they were both hit for non-quality starts. Hammel gave up four runs in as many innings against the Red Sox which is a far cry from his four straight quality starts in which he had given up two runs in 29 innings. I look for Hammel to get back on the saddle against a fellow national league opponent today in the Padres. Wade has faced the Rockies earlier this year and yielded two runs on six innings. So, he does have some experience facing this lineup and note that he too comes off a non-quality start. He faced the Rays and gave up four runs and 11 hits in five innings of work. Prior to that he had given up two runs in 19 innings. The Under is 10-1 when the Rockies face a left hander of late and the Under is 4-1-1 in LeBlanc's last six starts when the total is set at this range.

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

DOCTOR SPORTS
current run 9-0, 13-1 last 14

TOP PLAY
MINNESOTA -141 over Detroit
blackburn -vs Galarraga
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[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

MATT FARGO

LA Dodgers at SF Giants
Pick: Dodgers +136

The Dodgers gained a big win last night against San Francisco top leapfrog the Giants and take over second place in the National League West. Los Angeles could not lose for a while but it is 3-8 over its last 11 games and desperately needs a run. The good news is that San Francisco is in a position to oblige. The loss last night was the third straight for the Giants and they are just 3-7 in their last 10 games so the runs are very similar. San Francisco sends a top quality pitcher to the hill while the Dodgers send a rookie thus we get a larger than normal moneyline and one that can be taken advantage of. Matt Cain is that top quality pitcher for San Francisco and after seven straight quality outings, he was hammered last time out by giving up seven runs in 2.2 innings against the Astros. He is in a spot to bounce back but he has not fared well against the Dodgers, going 0-7 in 13 career starts. The Giants are not scoring runs either as he has a 2.72 ERA on the season but they are just 7-8 as they are averaging just 3.67 rpg in those 15 starts. John Ely is back on track after three rough starts. He tossed a quality start last time out which is what we are used to seeing as he accomplished that in each of his first six starts on the season. This is his first ever start against San Francisco, a big edge. 8* Los Angeles Dodgers

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

TOTALS 4 U

TOP PLAY
Boston Red Sox UNDER

REGULAR PLAYS
Colorado Rockies OVER
Atlanta Braves OVER
SF Giants OVER
Baltimore Orioles UNDER

[spook]

Re: 6-29-10

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Play Chicago Cubs (-230) over Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh has lost 6 of the last 7 games and they have also lost 31 of the last 41 road games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Pittsburgh has lost 18 of the last 20 road games coming off an UNDER the total and they have also lost 28 of the last 35 road games when playing in the month of June.


50* Play Atlanta (-200) over Washington

Washington has lost 13 of the last 14 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and they have also lost 23 of the last 30 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Washington has lost 25 of the last 31 games after getting shut-out and pitcher, Craig Stammen is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of 8.13.


50* Play Portugal (+.5 Goals) over Spain