6-30-10

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Re: 6-30-10

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MIKE HOOK

Mike Hook | MLB ML - Wednesday, Jun 30 2010 8:10PM
ML 928 KAN (-115) SportBet vs 927 CWS single-dime bet


Analysis: The Kansas City Royals -115 is the 1 Unit Buried Treasure for Wednesday, June 30th!

I can't ignore the value on the Royals tonight. I think we have one of the very best pitchers in the game pitching at home against a pitcher facing a unique scenario.

Jake Peavy has already beaten the Royals twice this year. I've always like fading a pitcher going for his 3rd consecutive win in 1 season against a team. No doubt Jake Peavy has been dominant when facing the Royals this year, AND he's in good form currently. These last 2 statements are why this line is low to begin with. However, as great as Chicago has been of late, one must realize they came out as the listed UNDERDOG to the "lowly" Kansas City Royals.

Taking a step back and looking at the big picture makes me believe that the oddsmakers have set a strong line favoring the Royals. After capping this game, I completely agree. Say what you want about the White Sox and their recent form, but tonight I think we have the better overall offense and the better starting pitcher. To get this small line with Zack on the mound is VALUE.

The Royals -115 is the 1 Unit Buried Treasure for tonight!

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Re: 6-30-10

CAPPERS ACCESS
Twins(RL)
Royals

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Re: 6-30-10

GAMBLERS DATA
Toronto -135

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Re: 6-30-10

Goodfella

Royals

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Re: 6-30-10

Greg Shaker | MLB 06/30/10

SEA / NYY OVER 8

BOS (-105)

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Re: 6-30-10

Free Silver Key Pick for Wednesday ML Baseball

BOSTON MATSUZAKA -R -110 over Tampa Bay (7:10 et)

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JACK BURNET

Your complimentary play for today will be :

White Sox w/ Peavy -110

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Re: 6-30-10

POINTSPREAD LIGHTNING

Wednesdays free play is the Mets.

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YOURPROLOCKS
40 DIME UNDER 8 Yankees/Mariners (-120)
20 DIME Washington Nationals +1.5 (-130)

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Greg Shaker | MLB 06/30/10
3* Seattle/ NY Yankees OVER 8

2* Boston Red Sox(-105)

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Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends

*200 Boston Red Sox +100
*200 Kansas City Royals -118
*200 Los Angeles Angels -115

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Re: 6-30-10

The Duke's Sports

Boston (-105) for 2 Units **

The Rays are in a downtrend --3-0-- and likely to keep falling here; after all, Garza has struggled in his last three road starts and that doesn't bode well vs a BoSox lineup that is rallying despite a series of injuries to key players. Moreover, TB is a money burning 4-17 on the road with Garza when the total' is set at 9 to 10'; on the other hand, the BoSox are 19-7 with the same 'total" at home with Matsuzaka. And hard to fade Matsuzaka at home when the BoSox are 42-17 at home when he starts.

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Re: 6-30-10

King Creole

2* Mariners / Yankees Over 7.5

In Game Two, we'll be looking for a 'higher-than-anticipated' scoring outcome as the Mariners take on the Yankees in Game Two of their series. And with ANGEL HERNANDEZ behind the dish, we're riding a "Man in Blue' that's gone 11-3-2 O/U so far in the 2010 season (10.3 total runs per game). Better still.... Hernandez has gone a PERFECT 7-0-2 O/U in his last 9 games since early May (11.3 RPG). That falls right into line with last year's results, when he went 30-19 O/U overall. And his numbers in American League parks (14-7 O/U) are even stronger. He's also gone 3-1-1 O/U in Mariner games the last 2 years and 3-0-1 O/U in Yankee games. He's already worked one Felix Hernandez start THIS year... and there were 14 runs scored in that game.

With yesterday's Game One going 'OVER the Total'... the series has now gone 7-1 O/U in the last 8 games played in the Big Apple.

For Mariner starter Felix Hernandez, his pitch counts have been alarmingly HIGH as of late. He's gone 105 or MORE pitches in EACH of his last nine starts. And his last three starts have seen 117... 116... and 128 pitches. One has to wonder what's left in the tank... especially against a very disciplined hitting team like the Yankees... who draw a lot of walks and extra baserunners. Not to mention, Hernandez has a career ERA of over 5.00 against the Bronx Bombers in the last 4 seasons.

His counterpart (Javier Vazquez) has an ERA of 5.00 vs the Mariners in the last 3 seasons.... and has gone 4-0 O/U in his last 4 starts when the OU line is 7 to 8.5 runs

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Re: 6-30-10

Dave Cokin Write ups

Matchup: Oakland at Baltimore
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) SHEETS, B vs. (R) MILWOOD, K

Play: Baltimore (ML +111)

The Orioles saw their longest winning streak of the entire season come to a close with the Tuesday loss to the A's. But I'm going to give Baltimore a good chance to right back in the win column tonight. Ben Sheets has been a virtual auto-fade on the road, where he's saddled with an ugly 0-5, 6.95 ledger. On the flip side, Kevin Millwood finally has a little wind in his sails after nailing back to back wins. Oakland is a weak road entry and even though the A's are on their own four-game run right now, I don't see that streak getting extended here. Millwood and the Orioles look like the right side to me and since they're catching plus money at home for this contest, I'll back the Birds to notch the victory.

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Matchup: Texas at L.A. Angels
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BELTRE, Omar vs. (L) KAZMIR, S

Play: Texas (ML +115)

Another debut here as Omar Beltre tosses for Texas. Don't be misled by Beltre's 0-5 ledger at Oklahoma City He's pitched a whole lot better than that and has been the victim of some lousy luck. Beltre does not figure to go deep in this game, but I like his chances of stifling the Halos for about five innings, and I'll rely on the Texas bullpen from there. You never know which Scott Kazmir will show up, but I tend to believe the daunting Rangers offense can do some damage here. I'll go for the underdog odds and play the Rangers.

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THE ANSWER

1* Braves -1.5 +115
1* Mets -120
1* Oakland / Baltimore UNDER 9 -115