7-2-10

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Re: 7-2-10

Potsys Picks

NY METS -116
ARIZONA 100
SAN DIEGO -152
CHICAGO WHITE SOX 160

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Re: 7-2-10

FreePicksUSA

BEST BET

SEATTLE 135

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Re: 7-2-10

Lance's Lock


Pick: The Diamondbacks +105

Overall: 979-875-35

Current streak: 1 loss

[BKK]

Re: 7-2-10

GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/02/10 - 9:40 PM

double-dime bet 913 LOS (-115) BetUS vs 914 ARI
Analysis:
BOTH Kuroda and Jackson MUST START

MLB GOW (2*) Double Star Play

is every PREGAME Capper on Dodgers? do u think they call each other up?

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Re: 7-2-10

Mike Hook | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/02/10 - 7:05 PM

triple-dime bet 922 CLE (+108) Sportbet vs 921 OAK
Analysis: The Cleveland Indians +108 is our PINATA TRIPLE STAR Play of the Day for Friday, July 2nd!

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Re: 7-2-10

GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/02/10 - 9:40 PM

double-dime bet 913 LOS (-115) BetUS vs 914 ARI
Analysis:
BOTH Kuroda and Jackson MUST START

MLB GOW (2*) Double Star Play

is every PREGAME Capper on Dodgers? do u think they call each other up?

seem's that way my man!!
i hope they are right i placed a 5 unit bet on the Los

[spook]

Re: 7-2-10

this guy has been hot!!

T Covers day after a sweep 7/2
Mets
Phillies/Pirates under 8.5
passing afl

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Re: 7-2-10

ALL COMPS


JR O'Donnell ( RED ZONE )

DET (-155) vs SEA

Jr. has hit 5 in row free and # 6 goes to the Mighty Nasty Tigers @ home as Vegas has some huge respect for the boys from Comerica park! Owners a smooth 25-11 home park and they are -155 for a reason, they win!! We have owned the bases the last few weeks and tonight's home cooker has JR W written all over it! Seattle M's is going with the broom Fister and he has been on the shelf for a month with a banged up shoulder He was lit up by the Brewers last game. Lets play the Tigers -155 tonight.




Hollywood Sports

Orioles at Red Sox
Prediction: Over

The Orioles send out Bradley Bergesen who is 3-4 with a baudy 6.83 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. Bergesen should really struggle in Fenway Park as he sports an 8.64 ERA, 2.28 WHIP and an opponent's batting average of .380 when on the road. The Red Sox counter with Tim Wakefield who has seen his own set of problems this season given his 2-5 record, 5.21 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. The knuckle-baller has not found sanctuary at home this season given his 6.51 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and .279 opponent's batting average in Fenway. While a Total of 10.5 is high, it has been set there for a reason.

On a deeper level, both of these pitchers share a troubling sabermetric statistic that strongly suggests that they both will experience hard times in the future. Isolated Power (ISO) is a metric number determined by slugging percentage minus batting average. This metric identifies the net percentage of hits that are going for extra-bases. Just as slugging percentage privileges homeruns over triples and triples over doubles, this metric maintains that weighted-value system. The MLB ISO average is in the .145-.155 range. For pitchers, low ISOs are good and high ISOs are bad. Bergesen and Wakefield have high ISO's of .204 and .192 respectively which indicates they both have been giving up a disproportionate amount of extra-base hits. The importance for sabermetric statistics like this is that it exposes a deeper picture regarding the expected future performances of starting pitchers. Most bettors evaluate pitchers based on a starter's Won-Loss record and ERA. By analyzing statistics like ISO, we get a better sense of why a pitcher has a certain W-L record or ERA which produces a more sophisticated perspective when now evaluating a pitcher's future.




Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on San Francisco Giants -105

I know the Giants are struggling, but they are more than worth a shot at this price w/ the better starter on the hill. The reigning two-time NL Cy Young Award winner is 8-3 with an ERA of 3.13 on the season. It is also nice to know that Lincecum has been at his best on the road in 2010. The Freak is 3-0 (6-1 on the money line) in 7 road outings with an ERA of only 2.54. It is also worth noting that the Giants are 9-2 in Lincecum's last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Rockies hand the ball to Chacin and they are just 1-5 in his last 6 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts when pitching on 4 day's rest. Take the Giants tonight.




Jack Jones

Cleveland Indians +107

The Cleveland Indians are playing very well right now, and should not be an underdog to the Oakland A's at home. Cleveland just capped off their 5th straight victory after sweeping the Blue Jays with a 6-1 victory Thursday. Now, the Indians send one of their best starters to the mound in Mitch Talbot, who is 8-6 with a 3.88 ERA this season. The Indians have gone 9-6 in his 15 starts. In fact, the Indians are 9-4 in Talbot's 13 starts as an underdog of +100 or higher.
A's starter Gio Gonzalez has been two different starters home and away. At home, he has been dominant, but on the road it's another story. Gonzalez is 2-3 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.674 WHIP in 8 road starts this season. He also hasn't fared well at night, going 2-5 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in 11 night starts this year. Oakland is 15-25 on the road this season, scoring a miniscule 3.9 RPG. The Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 home games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Finally, Cleveland has won 6 of their last 7 home meetings with Oakland. Roll with the Indians Friday.




Wunderdog

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Cincinnati Reds +1½
It has become quite apparent that this is a Cubs team on the slide. The Cubs finished atop the NL Central as recently as 2008, with a home-dominating mark of 57-24, compiling 97 wins. Last year they barely finished over .500 with an 83-78 mark, and the home factor was diminished by 11 games. This season the Cubs are 11 under .500 and will be scraping to get to 70 wins, and the dominance at home is gone as they are below .500 at Wrigley. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has done a reversal with young talent coming of age to lead the NL Central, and have a winning mark on the road. The road tally shows they would be 8-1 in their last nine road games at +1.5, so I like them here on the runline.





Nelly

Milwaukee + over St. Louis

The Brewers are 3-1 in the last four starts from Chris Narveson and his last outings was the best of his career, going eight scoreless innings while allowing just four hits. Narveson allowed just five hits in six innings earlier this season in St. Louis and his numbers at home and on the road are quite similar. The Cardinals are not a good hitting team against left-handed pitching including owning just a .236 batting average at home. Two key bats are still out of the lineup for the Cardinals and St. Louis has been losing ground in the NL Central. St. Louis is just 10-13 in the last 23 games and the strong home record has been diminished. Jamie Garcia appears to be wearing down after an amazing start to his rookie season. Garcia lasted just two innings in his last start and over his last six starts he has allowed 17 runs even though his season ERA is just 2.27. The Cardinals are just 7-8 when Garcia starts including only 2-4 at home and St. Louis is greatly overvalued here. Milwaukee is 8-3 in the last eleven games and the Brewers are heating up on offense, scoring five or more runs in eight of the last twelve games for an average of over 5 runs per game. The Brewers have a better record on the road than at home and Milwaukee is batting .271 in the last ten games compared to just .247 for St. Louis. Milwaukee is also 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams in St. Louis and 15-5 in the last 20. Look for another surprise from the Brewers at a great price.


JEFF BENTON

I’ve got nothing bad to say about Padres rookie right-hander Mat Latos, who has been ridiculously good over the past two months, going 7-2 with a 1.89 ERA in his last 11 starts. And that includes a dominating 7-0 win in Houston on May 7 when he allowed just two hits and no walks with nine strikeouts in eight innings. That began a 10-game stretch in which the Padres are 8-2 with Latos on the hill.
That said, it’s real difficult to pass up Roy Oswalt at this huge underdog price. Granted, Oswalt is coming off by far his worst start of the season (allowing eight runs in 4 2/3 innings of Sunday’s 10-1 loss at Texas). But prior to that, he had produced three straight identical gems (two runs allowed in seven innings) with a 21-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Also, before Sunday, Oswalt had been 4-1 with a 1.50 ERA in his first five road starts.More importantly you cannot ignore Oswalt’s career numbers against the Padres. In 16 games (14 starts), he’s 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA and a .230 batting average-against. The Astros have won 12 of his 14 starts against the Padres, going 5-1 in his last six starts in San Diego. Additionally, Houston is playing decent ball, having won three of four (all on the road) and six of nine. The Astros are also 44-19 the last 63 times Oswalt has pitched against the N.L. West, and they’ve won his last four starts on Friday. And after last night’s 6-3 10-inning win as a +190 underdog, Houston is now 10-3 in its last 13 games overall versus the Padres (4-1 in San Diego).

(based on a 1? to a 10? Rating)

3? HOUSTON ASTROS



CHUCK O' BREIN

First off, this is a tough spot for Oakland, which is fresh off a three-game series at Baltimore and has now played 12 of its last 18 games on the road. If the A’s come out a little sluggish today, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised.Speaking of the road, the A’s are just 15-25 on the highway this year, and their starting pitcher tonight – lefty Gio Gonzalez – hasn’t much enjoyed working on foreign mounds. He’s 2-3 with a 5.44 ERA in eight road starts (Oakland is 3-5), compared with 4-2 and a 2.36 ERA in eight home games.The Indians stretched their winning streak to five in a row with yesterday afternoon’s 6-1 victory over Toronto (capping a four-game sweep of the Jays), and they’ve surrendered just 10 runs in those five wins. Right-hander Mitch Talbot got the winning streak started with a 5-3 win at Cincinnati on Sunday, and he gave up just one run and three hits in seven innings.
Talbot has now held five of his last seven opponents to two earned runs or fewer, and he gave up three earned in one of the other starts. If not for an 8-4 stinker against the Mets on June 16, Talbot’s ERA over the past five weeks would be 2.58. As it is, the Tribe are 9-6 when Talbot pitches this season, including 6-6-3 in night games. The A’s are just a .500 team behind Gonzalez at 8-8, including 3-8 in night games.Home-field advantage has meant something when these teams get together, with the host taking 12 of the last 14 series clashes. That includes the Indians’ 6-1 record the last seven times the A’s have come to Ohio.

3? CLEVELAND INDIANS (on a 1? to 5? scale)




CHRIS JORDAN

San Francisco at COLORADO (-105)

Playing the Over in the National League West clash tonight, as I believe we're in store for a high scoring affair at Coors Field this evening.
Let's start with Timmy Lincecum, who, I admit, can be dominating when he's on top of his game, but the Giants are 10-5 Over when he toes the slab. And after being tagged for four earned runs in three innings last time out, I wonder how his confidence level is right now.
His season ERA is 3.13, which is a big high for him, while his ERA against the Rockies his last five against them is 3.65. He is 5-4 with a 3.62 ERA in 12 lifetime starts against the Rockies, and allowed four runs and walked five in 5-2/3 innings of a 4-0 loss on May 31.
On the flipside, rookie Jhoulys Chacin is up for the Rockies after allowing five runs - two earned - in six innings of a 10-3 loss to the Angels this past Sunday. The right-hander has a rather-high 4.97 ERA at home this season
The numbers reveal an easy over as well.
With the Giants, the over is on runs of 4-1 on the road, 9-4 off a loss, 13-6 against righties, 5-1 when Lincecum takes on NL West, 12-4 when he's the favorite and 12-5 overall.For the Rockies, the over is on streaks of 4-0 versus the National League West, 5-1 against right-handers, 4-1 when Chacin is pitching on four days rest, 4-1 after a win and 5-0 overall.

Look for this one to soar.




Freddy Wills

Florida Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Florida Marlins
-115 at JAMAICA > 6h.
Marlins -115 (1.5 Dime free play)
Josh Johnson has been great this year but so have the Braves at home. I think this is a pitching match up and Johnson has a 2.52 ERA in his last 4 starts @ Atlanta. Johnson and the Marlins are 43-20 in Josh Johnson Last 63 starts.





The Sports Consensus MLB Arizona under 9.5

National Sports Service MLB Mets -120

Pointspread Experts MLB Rays -115

Elite Sports Picks MLB Florida -125

Doc's Picks MLB Mets -120

Insider Sports Report MLB Arizona under 9.5

Profit On Sports MLB St. Louis under 8.5

Discount Sports Picks MLB Pirates under 9

Primetime Sports Picks MLB Cubs -130

You Pick'Em MLB Giants -130

Gerry "BIG CAT" Andino Pick: Atlanta +110

NSA Giants @ Rockies Pick: UNDER 8

TheSuperNFL MLB Florida Marlins (-130)


Mike Wynn
Free Play: Oakland w/Gonzalez -120 Over Cleveland


Razor Sharp
FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: Take SAN DIEGO (Latos) -160 over Houston



Totals4U
Friday's free selection: Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox over 10 1/2 runs

Jeff Allen Sports
MLB: Over 9.5 Baltimore (Bregesen) at BoSox (Wakefield) 7:05 EST PM EST


Dave Cokin
Friday's free play is the Colorado Rockies!

Big Time
WHITE SOX / RANGERS OVER 9 1/2

#1 Sports
Friday's free selection: Los Angeles Angels - 160


Computer Sports
St Louis -175 over Milwaukee


Platinum Plays
MLB: Texas Rangers w/Lewis -170 Over Wsox


Easy Money Sports
ARIZONA w/Jackson +105



Golden Dragon Sports
Free Play: Colorado Cook -145

Hawkeye Sports
TAKE: free winner with Washington & Mets over 8½ runs

Huddle Up Sports
Tampa Bay Price -115


Arthur Ralph Sports
LA Angels -160

Dr. Vegas
Philly -160 over Pittsburgh

TV Hotline
San Diego -160 over Houston

Teyas Sports
W.SOX UNDER 9 1/2 (LISTED PITCHERS)


The Vegas Steam Line
Free Winner for Friday: Take DETROIT (Scherzer) -145 over Seattle

High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Friday: Boston Red Sox - 230

Dennis Macklin
MLB: Phils (Moyer) -151 over Pittsburg (Ohlendorf)

Kenny Towers
Un 9.5 LAD/AZ

John Anthony Sports
MLB: Over 9.5 KANSAS CITY (Davies) at Anaheim (Saunders) 10:00 PM EST

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Re: 7-2-10

DOCTOR SPORTS

0-2 last 2
and lost back to back games for the first time since june 4-5

TOP PLAY
ST LOUIS split
money line and run line
__________________

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Re: 7-2-10

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
3* MLB* New York Mets, (Niese) -120 over Washington (Atilano)
3* MLB* Tampa Bay Devil Rays , (Price) -115 over Minnesota (Baker)
5* MLB* Los Angeles Dodgers, Under 9.5 (Kuroda)/Arizona (Jackson)

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Re: 7-2-10

VEGAS EXPERTS

TIP OF THE DAY

Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
Friday, July 2nd, 8:10 ET


The Rangers and White Sox meet at Friday night when Colby Lewis matches serves with Freddy Garcia at the Ballpark in Arlington. Lewis takes the mound looking to avenge a 4-3 loss he suffered in Chicago against Garcia and the Pale Hose a month ago knowing he is 3-1 in his last four team starts with five walks and 28 strikeouts in those games. With Garcia just 3-7 in his last 10 games in this series, look for the Rangers to improve to 5-2 all-time at home behind Lewis here this evening. We recommend a play on Texas.

Play on: Texas Rangers

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Re: 7-2-10

ROBERT FERRINGO

SIDES
2-Unit Play. Take #921 Oakland (-115) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
2-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-1.5, +105) over Milwaukee (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #924 Boston (-1.5, -115) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Detroit (-155) over Seattle (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)

TOTALS
4-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 Milwaukee at St. Louis (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
3-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 San Francisco at Colorado (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
2-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 8.0 Tampa Bay at Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 10.5 Baltimore at Boston (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)

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Re: 7-2-10

FREE PICKS USA

BEST BET Seattle Mariners +135

[BKK]

Re: 7-2-10

Submitted by Teddy Covers
Friday MLB Betting Free Play: Tampa Bay at Minnesota

Tampa Bay (Price) -115 at Minnesota (Baker)
Recommendation: Tampa Bay



The Twins pulled off a series victory in their crucial AL Central showdown against the Tigers earlier this week, but their wins against quality foes have been few and far between of late. The Twins are four games under .500 against the AL East, at that includes series against both the Orioles and Blue Jays. Minnesota is a solid bet against weaker foes, but this is not a team that I’m comfortable supporting when they step up in class. Tampa Bay snapped out of a 5-12 funk with a big win at Fenway Park on Wednesday, as their slumping offense broke through with a nine run outburst. Last night, the Rays showed even more resiliency, rallying late to earn a 5-4 extra inning win over Minnesota. Manager Joe Maddon summed it up: “We’re keeping our head above water. We’re not going away.

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Re: 7-2-10

Tout Tally

PHILLY - 8
PITT - 7

OVER - 1
UNDER - 5

METS - 12
WASH - 3

OVER -3
UNDER -1

FLOR - 4
ATL - 6

OVER -1
UNDER -4

SF - 6
COL - 4

MILW - 1
STL - 8

LAD - 17
ARIZ - 7

OVER -1
UNDER - 6

SEATTLE - 6
DET -11

OAK - 5
CLEVE - 7

BALTY -1
BOST - 5

OVER - 7
UNDER -1

WSOX - 4
TEX - 4
OVER - 5
UNDER - 3

TB - 8
MIN - 7

KC - 1
LAA - 12

OVER - 4
UNDER -2