7-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-3-10

Bob Balfe

Germany +230
Germany/Argentina over 2.5
Spain -250


Cincinnati Reds -119

[jcubs55]

Re: 7-3-10

Paul the Octupus Sports Advisor

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PAUL THE OCTOPUS SPORTS ADVISOR

Capper: Paul the Octopus

*******************************
[9002] Germany

Today's selection

Pick Germany over Argentina in World Cup

----------------------------------------
Very solid and reliable capper

Current record: 100% 5-0(World Cup).

Just so people know, it should be said that this actually is an octopus... the people at the aquarium put two glasses with team flags/symbols near it and it swims towards one of them. With that being said, looks like it's gonna be improving to 6-0!

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

Sports Investment Group

Todays Plays - 1 MLB Play...looks a lot like yesterday


Toronto / NYY UNDER 8.5

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

JR ODonnell | MLB RunLine Sat, 07/03/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 976 BOS -1.5 (-145) Bookmaker.com vs 975 BAL
Analysis:
BOSTON RED SOX - 1.5 RUNS TONIGHT AS THE JON LESTER SHOW - 1.5 RUNS VS THE POOR POOR O'S TONIGHT, 5-1 THE LAST 6 AND JR GOES TO A ROCK SOLID WINNER TODAY
Let's break this down:
The Red sox were limited last night to 3 ru~ns and tonight they crush a poor Baltimore O's team that will not be able to handle Jon Lester and his remarkable win streak vs. the @24-55 O's. Lester is 9-3, 2.86 ERA and a smooth 11-0 with a 2.06 ERA in the last 14 battles with the O's. The Lester show will be the "Winning" show tonight as the Red sox just keep winning at Fenway. The O's counter with Guthrie who is 3-9 so far and the Sox have the swagger to take out the O's tonight at home. JR is playing the RED SOX - 1.5 RUNS -145
b well all

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

write-up

King Creole | MLB Total Sat, 07/03/10 - 1:05 PM

double-dime bet 967 TOR / 968 NYY Under 8.5 Sportbet
Analysis:
1:05pm ET / Toronto Blue Jays with Romero @ New York Yankees with Pettitte
2** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL

2 Starters in great current form.... a low-scoring series history... two teams that are offensively-challenged versus southpaw pitchers... and a home plate Umpire on a great 'Under' run. Add 'em all together and you have the ingredients for a 4* Best Bet.

This 'Lefty vs Lefty' pitching matchup has LOW SCORE written all over it. The Jays are hitting only .205 vs lefties on the year... and only .201 on the road. In fact, they average TWO full runs per game less against southpaws than they do against righties (3.0 RPG versus 4.9 RPG). It's not much better for the Pin-Stripers. New York is averaging ONE full run per game less on offense against southpaws (4.4 RPG vs 5.6 RPG) than against righties. In their last ten games, the Yankees are hitting only .203 as a team against lefties....

With yesterday's Game One of this series going UNDER (6-1 in extra innings), that puts the New York / Toronto series at a PERFECT 0-4 O/U so far in the 2010 season (only 6.2 runs per game).

BLUE JAYS: 1-5 O/U vs fellow AL East opponents... 3-8-1 O/U on the road vs southpaws... and a PERFECT 0-5 O/U in their last 5 SATURDAY games.

YANKEES: 1-7 O/U in their last 8 home games... 1-5-1 O/U vs fellow AL East opponents... 1-6 O/U vs opponents with a < .500 road record.

Lefty RICKY ROMERO is on a roll. 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts... including two games in which he allowed ZERO earned runs. He started against the Yankees June 5th at home... and won by a final score of 3-2 (OU Line was 8.5). In that game, he went 8 innings... allowed only 5 hits... and 2 earned runs. We also note that he's a MUCH better pitcher in DAY games (only 1.43 ERA)... than NIGHT games (4.30 ERA). Romero is 1-5 O/U on Saturdays... 1-6-1 O/U in last 8 road starts... 1-3-1 O/U in Game Two of a series.

ANDY PETTITTE comes in with a home ERA of only 2.81 on the season. He's allowed 2 or LESS earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts (2.75 ERA). He also happened to be on the receiving end of that June 5th game (3-2 loss = easy Under). He also looked sharp in that one (7.6 IP / 2 ERA / 10-3 K-BB ratio). And just like his counterpart, he's a MUCH better pitcher in DAY starts (1.87 ERA) than he is at NIGHT (3.69). Pettitte: 1-5 O/U on 5 days rest... 1-4 O/U on Saturdays...

Sealing the deal is the 'Man in Blue'. DAN IASSOGNA gets he call behind the dish. He comes in with a 5-11 O/U record on the year... and only 7.6 combined runs per game. But he's done even BETTER as of late. Iassogna has gone 2-9 O/U in his last 11 games since early May.... with an average of only 5.9 RPG. His strikeout-to-walk ratio has also been extremely high as of late... which is what we look for in a potential 'UNDER'. K/BB ratio in that 2-month span is 2.71 to 1 (141 K's to only 52 BB's)...

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

Stan Sharp | MLB Total Sat, 07/03/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 979 KAN / 980 ANA Over 9 BetUS
Analysis: Stan is Betting KANSAS CITY/LA ANGELS OVER today. Stan notes that because of the Angels back to back 2-1 games we are getting great line value here on this total. Vega‚s has adjusted this total to 9 because of the back to back low scores but these two pitchers warrant a much higher number. Stan also notes that following 2 or straight Unders this season the Angels are 11-2 to the Over in the next game. TAKE KANSAS CITY/LA ANGELS OVER as STAN'S RARE TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/03/10 - 1:05 PM

double-dime bet 967 TOR (+165) Sportbet vs 968 NYY
Analysis:
Romero has a 0.86ERA over his last 3 starts and a 1.88ERA over his last 6. On June 5th, he held the Yanks to 2ER on just 5H over 8IP. The Yankees single best hitter this year by any measure, Robinson Cano, is 1-for-11 v Romero lifetime. Pettitte has a 6.58ERA in 9 career starts v Tor at home. Sabermetric analysis absolutely loves Romero. He has a 3.19FIP (11th best in MLB) and 3.42 xFIP (8th best in MLB). Pettitte has a 3.75FIP and 4.03 xFIP. That FIP number juxtaposed against his 2.72ERA on the season makes for a 1.03 E-F fi”gure that represents the 12th widest discrepancy to the negative side in all of baseball. Again, that is the type of divide that translates to an embedded value that we live to identify and exploit when it comes to MLB betting lines. And as that is our mission and duty, we shall do just that for our 3* Game of the Week. What an absolute Yankees-loving public-driven inflated line this is. Fade away.

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

Larry Ness | MLB Total Sat, 07/03/10 - 4:10 PM

double-dime bet 957 NYM / 958 WAS Over 7 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: My 9* Daytime Dominator is on the NYM/was Over at 4:10 ET.
RA Dickey is in his eighth big league season. He entered this season 22-28 with a 5.43 ERA in 144 appearances (48 starts), having allowed 519 hits in 442.2 innings. Those are not exactly impressive numbers. Dickey made his NY Met debut on May 19 of this year, allowing five hits and two ERs (six innings) in a 5-3 loss to these Nationals in which he received a no decision. However, the knuckleballer then won SIX consecutive starts, posting a 2.23 ERA, How is that? Well, the Marlins put an end to his winning streak this past Monday, as Dickey allowed five hits and five ERs in five innings of a 10-3 loss. It was his first loss of the season but SURELY won't be his last! In fact, look for Dickey to return to his past form. The Nats will like getting a second shot at him and with Stephen Strasburg on the mou~nd, they will really WANT to get the young phenom some runs. Everyone knows about Strasburg and after a 2-0 start, his teammates have provided him with one total run of support over his last three outings! “I feel for him. I feel for our whole ballclub,” manager Jim Riggleman told the team’s official website. Expect Dickey to be "just what the doctor ordered" for Washington's struggling bats. Now I don't expect the Mets to clobber Strasburg but let's remember, this is just his SIXTH big league start and he has allowed 15 hits over his last 12.1 innings (two starts) and the Braves did reach him for four runs (three earned ) in his last outing. This total is so low that the Nats could make it go over by themselves but I'm counting on both teams helping this VERY low total to soar over.

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/03/10 - 8:05 PM

double-dime bet 977 CWS (+125) Bodog vs 978 TEX
Analysis:
Play on Chicago White Sox at 8:05 EST – the White Sox took the first game of the series last night and we think they’ll win again today. Texas has struggled against winning teams this season posting a 7-16 record versus teams above .500. Danks gets the start tonight for Chicago and he’s been consistent again this season with a 3.62 ERA and 1.206 WHIP. He was roughed up a bit by the Cubs in his last start, but the two previous were very~ strong pitching 15 innings and allowing only 5 earned runs in both Sox wins. The White Sox haven’t hit a home run in their previous two games, setting up a very good situation. Chicago is 10-2 after not hitting one out of the park in two straight games. Texas starts Hunter tonight who was injured to start the season, spent time in the minors, and has now made 5 starts. Over his numbers are good but if you look at them closely you’ll find that his last two starts were against the weak hitting Astros and Pirates, and prior to that had to leave the Florida game after 2 1/3 innings. This young guy will face a much better White Sox team tonight and we think he’ll have a rough time! Play on White Sox.

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

KIKI SPORTS

Saturday July 3rd

1 unit Atlanta -165
1 unit White Sox +125

WORLD CUP :
1 unit Paraguay +775
At that price, we gotta take a shot at them taking down Spain. Spain is the better rounded squad, but on any given day....
Pass on Germany/Argentina. Truly a matchup to watch unbiased (Go Germany), as talent abounds in this one from all areas !!

[Donkwin47]

Re: 7-3-10

Hey Spook, will we see any Budin or Demarco posted today? I believe Budin's game is early (he said afternoon card, but I have a feeling it's on the Reds- As a Cubs fan, I know how much we suck) and Demarco has a 20 Dime. Would love to see these. Thanks!

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

Hey Spook, will we see any Budin or Demarco posted today? I believe Budin's game is early (he said afternoon card, but I have a feeling it's on the Reds- As a Cubs fan, I know how much we suck) and Demarco has a 20 Dime. Would love to see these. Thanks!

i probably wait untill football starts for budin..i will let you guy's know if i
get it i will post it here....gl today my friend!!

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

Dave Cokin 7.3

Az D-Backs

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

NEWYORKSPORTSINVESTORS
Our complimentary selection for Saturday, July 3 is:
Atlanta Braves / Florida Marlins Over 8.5
Rated: a 3* Selection
(based on a 1? to a 10? Rating)

[spook]

Re: 7-3-10

MLB DUNKEL

Oakland at Cleveland
The A's look to take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 2-11 in Jake Westbrook's last 13 starts as a home favorite from -110 to -150. Oakland is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JULY 3

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.743; Cubs (Wells) 13.895
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); N/A

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at St. Louis (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 15.093; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.011
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under

Game 955-956: Florida at Atlanta (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 14.812; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.689
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Under

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Washington (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 14.082; Washington (Strasburg) 15.006
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-180); Under

Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.527; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.728
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Under

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 13.743; Colorado (Jimenez) 15.737
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-200); Over

Game 963-964: Houston at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.992; San Diego (Correia) 16.498
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-170); Under

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.948; Arizona (Lopez) 16.175
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Under

Game 967-968: Toronto at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.011; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 13.740
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+155); Under

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 16.518; Minnesota (Liriano) 14.850
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+130); Under

Game 971-972: Oakland at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mortensen) 15.397; Cleveland (Westbrook) 14.609
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Over

Game 973-974: Seattle at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.274; Detroit (Verlander) 16.474
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over

Game 975-976: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.900; Boston (Lester) 14.514
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-305); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+255); Under

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 17.062; Texas (Hunter) 16.149
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under

Game 979-980: Kansas City at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 16.896; LA Angels (Santana) 15.162
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+155); Under