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Hudson's been especially effective at home. He lost his first start at Turner Field on April 21, but is 5-0 with a 1.30 ERA in his last five outings.
His lone start against the Marlins (37-43) came May 27 in rain-soaked South Florida. He allowed two runs over four innings, but didn't come back after a 77-minute rain delay in Atlanta's 8-3 win.
Hudson is 8-2 with a 2.99 ERA in 16 career starts versus Florida.
Ricky Nolasco (7-6, 4.84) is 1-1 with a 3.95 ERA in five starts at Turner Field, but plenty of Atlanta's lineup has enjoyed facing him. Jones is a .464 (13 for 28) hitter with four homers against Nolasco, Brian McCann is batting .323 (10 for 31) with four homers and Escobar is hitting .417 (10 for 24). Take the Braves on their home turf in a close game
Seattle is really looking hard to trade the stud Cliff Lee as he is not the sharp side here on the 4th!! Seattle has been under achievers so far at 33-47 and the Cliff Lee show has been knocked around by these Tigers. The over all 5-9 mark and a rough rough 4.76 ERA lifetime against the Tigers, and 0-3 the last 3 starts! The Tigers are 12-1 at home!
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs
Hard to buck Ted Lilly at home in this one, the guy has been lights out in recent games. Cubbies are 36-15 in his last 51 home starts! Now thats a stat. A good pitcher on a roll at home always takes my attention away from other parts of the whole picture, but in this case it is warranted. You have to worry about the Cubs inconsistentcy at the plate as of late as well as their bullpen, but Lilly should go 7 or 8 innings today here. Chicago off a 3-1 win behind Randy Wells yesterday, a small lean to the home team in this rubber match.
I know St. Louis was crushed yesterday, and I know Gallardo is having a good season for the Brew Crew, but I have to take the Cards today with Wainwright on the hill. He is a perfect 8-0 with an ERA of only 1.49 at home this season. Plus, St. Louis has had Gallardo's number. He is 0-3 in his career when starting against St. Louis with an ERA of 6.59. The Cards have won 6 of their last 8 games following a loss and I'll back them in this bounce back spot today.
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(57-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.8%, +41 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games.
(58-35 since 1997.) (62.4%, +46.9 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Home teams (ST LOUIS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(33-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, +32 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games.
(55-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +37.5 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts.
(55-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +37.5 units. Rating = 4*)
lay On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season.
(97-25 since 1997.) (79.5%, +54.7 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season.
(48-8 since 1997.) (85.7%, +35.1 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), after 2 straight games with no home runs.
(63-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67%, +41.3 units. Rating = 4*)
On Sunday the Free MLB Play is on the Cincinnati Reds. Game 907 at 2:20 eastern. The Reds are 7-2 as a road dog in this range and are scoring nearly 6 runs per game over the past week. The Cubs have averaged just 2.3 rpg on .217 hitting the past week. Chicago is just 6-16 off a win this season. The Reds have young right hander Leake on the mound today and he has a solid 1.64 road era. In his last 2 starts vs the Cubs he has allowed 4 runs in 13+ innings. The Cubs counter with T. Lilly. Lilly is just 3-8 vs the Reds. Look for the Reds to rebound here tonight. On Sunday I have a Huge MLB Blowout system that wins by an average 7-2 score. We Cashed the big side play on Saturday and MLB is 20 games over .500 on the year. Jump on this big 4th of July Banger and end your week with the cash.. For the free play take the Reds. bol GC
Chicago Cubs Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#1 (Game#1) Atlanta -165 5:05 PM
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#2 (Game#1) Seattle -115 1:05 PM
Series Idle
Selection#3 (Game#1) NONE
Philadelphia Series Wins!
Series Idle
Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE
Series in Progress!
Selection #5 (Game#4) San Francisco +115 3:10 PM
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE
Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.
Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.
Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
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