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Dave Cokin
Matchup: San Diego at Washington
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) RICHARD, C vs. (R) HERNANDEZ, L
Play: Under (7.5 -103)
The Padres have been a big money winner if you've playing their road games Under the number and the same holds true for the Nationals at home. Look for more of the same tonight as Clayton Richard tangles with Livan Hernandez. Both pitchers have done a superb job of keeping the ball in the park. Richard has 8 quality starts in his last ten outings, and there have been seven or fewer runs scored in five of his six road starts. The amazing Hernandez continues to be one of the biggest surprises of the season. He's had all but one quality starts at home, with six of nine home efforts having seven or fewer total runs scored. Just the base numbers alone are strong indicators to a low scoring game, and it's not like either offense is crushing the ball. I'll look for a tight and tense clash between the Padres and Nationals with the Under standing out as the best option.
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) SABATHIA, C.C. vs. (R) CAHILL, T
Play: Oakland (ML +146)
You won't see my trying to beat CC Sabathia very often, and it's a daring move here as the massive lefty has won his last six starts. But Sabathia gets stiff competition tonight from blazing hot Trevor Cahill. The surging A's prospect has now permitted a meager 19 ER in his last 77 IP, and his curve is absolutely baffling most opposing hitters. I think the pitching here is a virtual wash, particularly given Sabathia's poor record in this ballpark. Beyond that, the A's have played .600 ball at home this season, so this become a real nice value with them sending their ace to the mound tonight. The game is a tossup, but that being the case, being able to get this kind of an underdog price makes this a very solid risk. Grab the A's to snare the upset.
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