7-7-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

[spook]

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-7-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular'

Ben Burns | MLB Total Wed, 07/07/10 - 10:05 PM

triple-dime bet 977 NYY / 978 OAK Under 8.5 Sportbet
Analysis: I'm playing on Oakland and New York to finish UNDER the total. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-7-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular'

Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Wed, 07/07/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 980 SEA (-145) BetUS vs 979 KAN
Analysis: My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Sea Mariners at 10:10 ET.
Seattle gets it right tonight in a big way!

Good luck...Larry

[spook]

Re: 7-7-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular'

Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Wed, 07/07/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 980 SEA (-145) BetUS vs 979 KAN
Analysis: My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Sea Mariners at 10:10 ET.
Break up the Royals? The perennial losers, who entered the 2010 season with a streak of six straight losing years (averaged a pathetic 64 wins per season in that stretch), have suddenly won FIVE of their last six and NINE of their last 12. That includes two wins in the first two games of this three-game series with the Mariners in Seattle, 6-4 (10 innings) on Monday and 3-2 last night. Will the Royals really sweep a three-game series in Seattle for the first time since 1995? Now way! On the hill for KC is journeyman Kyle Davies. He's 4-6 with a 5.64 ERA in 16 starts this year (team is 8-8). He's off a good outing in his most recent start (7.2 IP / 7 hits / 1 ER), a 2-1 win in Anaheim for KC in which Davies got a no decision. However, in his six previous starts he allowed at least four ERs in each outing, giving up 29 ERs in total over 30 innings for an 8.70 ERA! Doug Fister takes the mound for Seattle. After his May 31 start at home vs Minnesota (7.2 IP / 8 hits / 5 ERs), he was placed on the DL due to shoulder fatigue. He returned on June 26 and while the team has split his two starts, Fister has struggled (8.2 IP / 11 hits / 9 ERs / 9.35 ERA). The good news is that his shoulder is fine but as manager Don Wakamatsu told the Mariners’ official website, "He's just not quite feeling his release point. It's just getting him out there pitching again." Let's NOT forge~t that in Fister's first nine starts this season, he posted a 2.03 ERA. Let's also remember that BOTH of his starts since coming off the DL were on the road. Here in Safeco this season, he's allowed just 39 hits in 52.2 innings with a 2.39 ERA. Seattle gets it right tonight in a big way!

Good luck...Larry

[spook]

Re: 7-7-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular'

Ben Burns | MLB Total Wed, 07/07/10 - 10:05 PM

triple-dime bet 977 NYY / 978 OAK Under 8.5 Sportbet
Analysis: I'm playing on Oakland and New York to finish UNDER the total. The first two games of this series have both fallen below the total. The opening game finished with a score of 3-1. Yesterday's had a final of 6-1. Some will assume that all three games can't possibly stay below the total and will favor the 'over' in this evening's finale. However, the fact that the first two games were both 'unders' will have no affect on whether or not this one stays below the total. This is actually the highest O/U line of the series. Given the current form of Oakland's Gio Gonzalez, I feel that its generously high.

Regulars know that I've had some success with Gonzalez, partly as I picked up on the fact that he's been much better at home than he's been on the road. He's 3-3 with a 4.71 ERA on the road but 4-2 with a 2.36 ERA at home. In eight home starts, opposing hitters are batting a mere .168 against him. Lately, he's been fantastic, regardless of venue. Over his last three starts, he's allowed two runs (only one was earned) in 19 2/3 innings, giving up just 13 hits. That translates to a 0.46 ERA. It doesn't get much better than that. Not surprisingly, two of those three starts (the most recent two) stayed below the total. Last time out, he won 3-0. His previous start resulted in a 3-2 victory.

Burnett had admittedly really been struggling in June. However, he's proven to be a highly capable pitcher in the past and he began July with a gem. Facing Toronto, one of his former teams, he allowed just four hits through 6 2/3 shutout innings. Naturally, that game stayed below the total. Often, if a good pitcher had been struggling, a performance like that can be just what was needed to get things "back to normal." That said, I expect Burnett to build off that outing and for him to deliver another solid effort.

Note that Burnett has seen the UNDER go 2-0-1 in three career starts here at Oakland. Those games averaged just five combined runs, finishing with scores of 3-0, 3-1 and 6-2. Burnett allowed six earned runs in 20 2/3 innings, which translates to a 2.61 ERA.

It should also be noted that Burnett has now seen the UNDER go a profitable 9-1 his last 10 starts made in the month of July. A closer look reveals that he~ allowed three earned runs or less in ALL 10 of those starts and that he allowed two or less in nine of them. He also went six or more innings in nine of those 10 starts. In other words, he's pitched VERY well at this time of the year.

The Yankees bullpen has been excellent on the road. The A's bullpen has been equally as good at home. Note that the UNDER is now 10-4 the last 14 times that the Yankees played here.

Including the Game 1 result, the UNDER is also 14-6-1 the last 21 times that the A's played a home game with an O/U line of either eight or 8.5. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *10