7-7-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-7-10

BILL MARZANO

Matchup: L.A. Angels at Chi. White Sox
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) SAUNDERS, J vs. (R) GARCIA, F

Play: Chi. White Sox (-1.5 +170)

***Note - this is a purchased play however I have seen elsewhere where he has the play listed on the Chi Sox moneyline as opposed to the run-line. I know he is usually a run-line or an underdog player. Just want to address it if someone else come across it. And he is having a profitable season.***

I really like the Chicago White Sox in this game vs the Angels...the Angels have dropped four of their last five games overall and not playing really well...the White Sox are streaking behind F.Garcia...he has not suffered a loss since May 23 and has allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts...Garcia has dominated Los Angeles in the past, going 14-3 with a 2.53 ERA in 24 starts with a 1.06 WHIP...the White Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 home games...12-3 in their last 15 games following a win...11-1 in Garcias last 12 starts vs. American League West...6-0 in Garcias last 6 starts vs. Angels...I like the White Sox run line

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-7-10

Dave Cokin

Matchup: Cincinnati at N.Y. Mets
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) ARROYO, B vs. (L) NIESE, J

Play: Under (8.5 -109)

Consistency is not a word often associated with Bronson Arroyo. But the Reds righty has been doing mostly good work of late, and tonight he faces a team that he's generally fared very well against. Arroyo is a solid 6-2 against the Mets, with a decent ERA. Opposing pitcher Jon Niese has expanded his arsenal this year and the results have been very encouraging, especially at home where Niese is now 3-1. This game features a bevy of trends that indicate the Under, and that proposition should only be helped by the presence of Dan Iassogna behind the plate. The pitchers were in control here on Tuesday, and I like another low scoring tilt tonight. Go with the Under on the total between the Reds and Mets.




Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BURNETT, AJ vs. (L) GONZALEZ, G

Play: Oakland (ML +115) SOLID GOLD PLAY


The Yankees will be gunning for the series sweep tonight at Oakland, but Gio Gonzalez is hoping to have something to say about that. The talented young A's southpaw is still a little on the inconsistent side with his control, but he's got skills and as he settles in the good starts are now outweighing the not so good ones. That's been especially true at home for Gonzalez. Since getting pasted by the Yankees early in the campaign, Gonzalez has made seven home starts. In 49 IP of work, he's surrendered just 28 hits and nine earned runs, so he's absolutely dominating the opposition at this site right now. AJ Burnett is finally off a good start following a miserable stretch. But in viewing that game, Burnett was on the ropes early, and while he did settle in, I am still not sold that his out of whack mechanics are back in sync. I think Oakland has the edge on the hill tonight, and home dogs attempting to avoid getting swept in a three-game series are 16-14 this season, for a very healthy profit. The value here is with the A's at plus money.
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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-7-10

MR EAST

CINCINNATI REDS @ NY METS
3 UNITS: NY METS -1.5 +180

The New York Mets are the best team in major league baseball facing the runline in home night games. They have produced a 21-7 mark good for +18.2 units already this season. They have learned to make their new stadium into a true home field advantage. The Mets are also 7-0 behind Jonathon Niese in his last 7 home starts. The Mets got to Bronson Arroyo for 4 runs in 7 innings when he faced them earlier, and the Reds are just 7-16 when he faces a winning team. Reds are also just 6-13 in their last 19 on the road vs a lefthander. mets are 24-8 in their last 32 at home. I'll go with the Mets on the runline.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-7-10

randel the handle




WASHINGTON –1.02 over San Diego Pinnacle

This one is all about playing against Jon Garland and his declining numbers. Garland is 8-5 with a very respectable 3.24 ERA and those surface stats make him look pretty good when in fact, he’s not even close. Back on May 14, Garland’s ERA was 1.88, so it’s risen about 1½ runs since then. In three of his last four starts he faced the Astros, Jays and Orioles and that trio is at the bottom of the rankings in terms of runs scored and team BA. Against Houston, Garland lasted five innings and surrendered three runs but he was very fortunate, as he walked six and could have easily surrendered closer to eight runs. He surrendered four runs to both Baltimore and the Jays and overall against those three he went just 16 innings, allowed 17 hits and 11 earned runs. Garland’s record and ERA are seriously out of whack with his skills and his chances of getting whacked triple when he’s not pitching at Petco. J.D. Martin is 0-4 but has a respectable 3.38 ERA and deserves better. Martin has elite control and that alone makes him worthy of some strong consideration here. He’s walked just four batters in 34 frames while striking out 22. He’s pitched mainly on the road but in his lone start at JFK, he went six innings and allowed just one run against the White Sox. Anyway, this one is more about playing against Garland and we’ll continue to play against him until he’s not overvalued. Play: Washington –1.02 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).



Minnesota +1.00 over TORONTO Pinnacle

Marc Rzepczynski makes his season debut here. He has some very decent career numbers that includes a 3.67 ERA to go along with a BAA of .225. Thing is, he’s only made 11 starts in the majors and has only pitched 60 innings. Rzepczynski was a candidate to make the rotation out of spring training before breaking the middle finger on his left hand near the end of camp and he hasn’t been the same since. His minor league numbers this season are ugly and they include a BAA of .314 and an ERA of 6.66 in nine starts. In one stretch in late May, Rzepczynski allowed 31 hits in 10.2 innings covering just three starts. The Twins are more dangerous against lefties and it’s also worth noting that the Jays are in freefall mode. Kevin Slowey is a risk for sure. He’s coming off a gem against the Tigers but prior to that he was rocked for 20 hits and 17 earned runs in his last 12.1 innings. However, the Jays keep making lousy pitchers look good, they’re just 1-8 over its last nine and they’re a favorite with a guy pitching that’s been struggling in the minors. Play: Minnesota +1.00 (Risking 2 units).

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

Asian Executive

0-2 Arena
1-1 CFL
1-0 WNBA
-1.20 MLB

WNBA Inside Information Lock - Connecticut

Soccer Bet the Neighborhood Lock - Germany

Pre-All Star Break Underdog Lock of the Year - Milwaukee

Lock of a Lifetime - ATL Braves

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

INSIDER ANGLES

Veteran Brian Mohler has actually pitched well for the Houston Astros, and he should have his way with a pathetic Pittsburgh Pirates offense at Minute Maid Park on Wednesday night.

Moehler may be just 1-4 with a 5.20 ERA overall, but the fact is that he has allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts, and he allowed just four runs in the other outing. He recorded two Quality Starts in his last three outings vs. Pittsburgh last season, including a Complete Game where he allowed just one run and seven hits. Should Moehler be in need of relief here, he has the support of an improving Houston bullpen that has posted a 3.21 ERA the last 10 games.

The Pittsburgh offense has made worse pitchers than Mohler look like Cy Young this year, and we do not anticipate the Bucs suddenly getting well here. After all, the Pirates have scored the fewest runs in the Major Leagues at just 3.26 runs per game while batting only .237 as a team. Furthermore, Pittsburgh is hitting a pitiful .216 in the last 10 games,

Pirates starter Daniel McCutchen has basically been a gas can, going 1-3 with a hideous 8.87 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. Yes, he is coming off of probably the best Major League start of his career where he limited the Phillies to only one earned run and six hits in 5.1 innings, but keep in mind that came vs. a makeshift lineup that was missing both Chase Utley and Placido Polanco.

Finally, the Pirates just might be the worst road team in baseball, as they are 11-32 on the road this year and a disgusting 17-61 in their last 78 road games overall. This makes Pittsburgh virtually an auto-fade whenever you can get the home team at a fairly modest price like this.

MLB Wednesday Pick: Houston Astros -125

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

TheSportsCapper Baseball

Play Texas (-230) over Cleveland (TOP MLB PLAY)

Play Tampa Bay (-170) over Boston (BONUS MLB PLAY)

[spook]

Re: 7-7-10

Hot pitchers
-- Garland is 2-0, 4.08 in his last three starts.
-- Atlanta won Medlen's last seven starts (4-0, 3.74). Moyer is 3-1, 2.17 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 5-0, 2.43 in his last six starts. Arroyo is 3-1, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Narveson is 3-0, 2.25 in his last three home starts.
-- Moehler is 1-1, 3.24 in his last three starts.
-- Cook has a 2.66 RA in his last three home starts. Cardinals are 8-0 in JGarcia starts if they score 4+ runs, 0-8 if they don't.
-- EJackson is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- JJohnson is 5-2, 1.01 in his last ten starts.
-- Scherzer is 2-0, 0.87 in his last three starts.
-- Price has a 2.25 RA in his last two starts; Rays are 5-2 when he starts at home.
-- Talbot has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts.
-- Saunders is 1-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts. White Sox won FGarcia's last seven starts (5-0, 3.86).
-- A's won last three GGonzalez starts (1-0, 0.95).
-- Davies is 0-3, 7.44 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Washington is 0-6 in Martin starts (0-4, 5.45).
-- Lincecum is 0-2, 8.00 in his last couple starts.
-- McCutchen is 1-3, 9.67 in five starts this season.
-- Cubs are 0-6 on road with Dempster if they score less than 8 runs.
-- Kuroda is 1-2, 7.71 in his last three starts.
-- Slowey is 1-2, 9.33 in his last four starts. Rzepczynski is 4-3, 6.66 in nine AAA starts at Las Vegas; he has an MLB record of 2-4, 3.67 in 11 starts, all last season.
-- Bergesen is 0-3, 7.49 in his last six starts.
-- Wakefield is 1-2, 4.40 in his last four starts.
-- Lewis is 0-1, 6.55 in his last couple starts.
-- Burnett is 0-5, 8.80 in his last six starts.
-- Fister is 0-3, 5.75 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 11-3 in San Diego's last fourteen road games.
-- Eight of last eleven Giant road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Arizona home games stayed went over the total.
-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Atlanta games.
-- Six of last seven games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in Reds' last sixteen road games.
-- Over is 12-4-1 in Marlins' last seventeen road games.
-- Five of last six Minnesota road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Angel road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Cleveland road games went over the total.
-- Three of last four GGonzalez starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Kansas City road games stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Padres won five of their last seven road games.
-- Phillies won six of their last eight home games.
-- Reds won 11 of their last 15 games. Mets are 15-4 in their last 19 at home.
-- Giants won three of their last four games.
-- Houston won its last three home games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Rockies are 11-3 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won six of their last eight games.
-- Detroit won 14 of its last 16 home games.
-- White Sox won nine of their last ten home games.
-- Indians won seven of their last ten games. Rangers are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games.
-- Bronx won six of its last seven road games.
-- Royals won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals are 3-11 in second game of series if they won opener.
-- Braves lost four of their last five road games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games.
-- Pirates lost 16 of their last 18 road games.
-- Cardinals are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Arizona is 6-14 in its last 20 games.
-- Marlins lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Twins lost five of their last seven road games. Blue Jays lost eight of last nine games overall.
-- Red Sox lost their last three games, scoring seven runs.
-- Orioles lost 20 of their last 24 road games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.
-- Oakland lost three of its last four games.
-- Mariners lost five of their last six games.

Umpires
-- SD-Wsh-- Seven of last eight Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Atl-Phil-- Last four Barry games all went over the total.
-- Cin-NY-- Underdog is 4-4 (+$194) in last eight Iassogna games.
-- Pitt-Hst-- Six of last eight Nelson games stayed under the total.
-- SF-Mil-- Five of last six Knight games stayed under the total.
-- StL-Col-- Underdog is 5-2 (+$366) in last seven Darling games.
-- Chi-Az-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen Rapuano games.
-- Fla-LA-- Favorites won four of last five Culbreth games.
-- Minn-Tor-- Under is 11-2 in last thirteen Wolf games.
-- Balt-Det-- Visiting team won eight of last nine Hernandez games.
-- Bos-TB-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Tichenor games.
-- Clev-Tex-- Six of last eight Tschida games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Chi-- Home team won four of last five Cooper games.
-- NY-A's-- Last five Layne games stayed under the total.
-- KC-Sea-- Six of last eight Gorman games went over the total.

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

VEGAS EXPERTS
Florida Marlins at LA Dodgers
Tuesday, July 7th, 10:10 ET

Play on the Florida Marlins
The Dodgers host the Florida Marlins at 10:10 PM ET for the last game of their series in Los Angeles. Both teams are tied in this series going into the last game. Florida won the first game of the series by one run and then the Dodgers came back and took the win 7-3 last night. On the mound for the marlins, Johnson has been pitching excellent. He has a team start record of 10-7, a 1.64 ERA, and 0.818 WHIP in his last three starts. On the other side of the matchup, Kuroda is starting for the Dodgers. He has been having a rough patch in his last three starts, with a 7.71 ERA and 1.929 WHIP. Cash in on the Marlins tonight.

Play on: Florida Marlins

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

JACK JONES
Wednesday:
Padres/Nationals UNDER 8.5

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

MARC LAWRENCE
3 UNIT Oakland w/Gonzalez vs Burnett (Game 978)

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

BOB BALFE


Texas Rangers -1.5

The Ranges are awesome at home and the Indians are bad on the road. Texas is almost money in the bank when they are at their own ballpark. Both pitchers are pretty good, but after last night's game, it is easy clearly evident that the Texas bats are hot. Take the Rangers - 1.5.

[BKK]

Re: 7-7-10

JOHN MORRISON
VERSION 1.0
7/7 Pittsburgh
Houston

[spook]

Re: 7-7-10

BOB BALFE


Texas Rangers -1.5

The Ranges are awesome at home and the Indians are bad on the road. Texas is almost money in the bank when they are at their own ballpark. Both pitchers are pretty good, but after last night's game, it is easy clearly evident that the Texas bats are hot. Take the Rangers - 1.5.

awesome job my friend!!

[spook]

Re: 7-7-10

Sports Investment Group

Todays Plays - Today we have 1 MLB play

Texas -1.5 -115