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15 DIME Braves-Phillies contest UNDER the posted total. The total is a solid 9 both here in Vegas and offshore. All baseball over/under wagers require that both listed starting pitchers begin the game, so Atlanta’s Kris Medlen and Philadelphia’s Jamie Moyer must start or this play is VOID.
Braves-Phillies UNDER the total
Can’t argue with the numbers that the starting pitchers in this game have been putting up lately.
Atlanta’s Kris Medlen, who is 5-1 with a 3.01 ERA overall this season, has delivared four straight quality starts, giving up one run on six hits and one walk in each of his last two outings covering a total of 13 innings (1.38 ERA). Since joining the Braves’ rotation on May 8 – that day he defeated the Phillies 4-1 in Philadelphia – Medlen has allowed three earned runs or fewer in nine of 10 starts, and he’s walked just 10 batters in those 10 starts (62 innings).
As for the ageless Jamie Moyer, the guy has simply been incredible. He’s given up two runs or fewer and gone at least six innings in six of his last seven starts, including the last four in a row. In those last four contests, Moyer has posted a 1.86 ERA while pitching 8, 8, 7 and 6 innings. The 47-year-old lefty has faced the Braves twice this season and given up a grand total of two unearned runs, six hits and two walks in 15 innings, posting an 8-3 road win and a 7-0 complete-game home victory.
Behind both these starters are bullpens that have an ERA under 4.00, and don’t forget that the Phillies continue to be missing two major components of their lineup (Chase Utley and Placido Polanco remain on the disabled list, as does starting catcher Carlos Ruiz). The Braves are also without a big bat in rookie Jason Heyward (also on the DL).
Atlanta enters this contest on “under” runs of 5-1-2 overall, 6-1-2 against the N.L. East and 5-0 on Wednesday, while the Phillies carry “under” streaks of 12-4 in divisional games, 7-1 on Wednesday, 7-2 in Moyer’s last nine starts overall, 4-0 in his last four home starts and 10-4 in his last 14 starts against the N.L. East. Finally, five of the last six Atlanta-Philly clashes at Citizens Bank Park have stayed low, the one exception being last night’s 6-3 11-inning contest (a game that was tied 3-3 after 10
VEGAS RUNNER
2* MLB* LATE STEAM* Chicago White Sox , Over 9.5
2* SOCCER* MORNING MOVES* BEST BET* Spain, -120 ML
2* SOCCER* MORNING MOVES* FUTURE BET* Spain, +400 ML (IF YOU DO NOT ALREADY HAVE ONE)
3* MLB* TRUE STEAM TOTAL OF THE WEEK* New York Yankees , Under 8
LINE PREDICTION* MLB* MORNING MOVES* Colorado Rockies , +100 ML
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