7-8-2010

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Pittsburgh v. Houston 2:05pm
PICK: Pirates ML +173 Game

LAA v. Chicago 2:05pm
PICK: Angels ML +111 GameSan Fran v. Milwaukee 2:10pm
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev Best bet of the day
PICK: Brewers ML -112 Game

Cincinnati v. Philadelphia 7:05pm
PICK: UNDER 9 Game ev

NY v. Seattle 10:10pm
PICK: Mariners ML +144 Game Game of the week

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

JR ODonnell | MLB Total Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:10 PM

dime bet 919 CLE / 920 TAM Over 9 BetUS
Analysis: Cleveland and Over tonight ..same game parlay GAME TONIGHT @7

Indians + 1.5 runs -120 and over 9 -120
Let's play the Indians + 1.5 and Over (9- 120) tonight as Rz's same game parlay in steamy Tampa as we are fading the Rays Wade Davis who~ is a poor 5-9 over all and a 4.86 ERA, We feel that the Tribe will get to him tonight and the Tampa hurler is a nasty 2-8 the last 10. The Tribe will be able to keep this baby close and the Tribe's J. Westbrook is not afraid of Tropicana and Tampa Bay, going "A PERFECT" 4-0 with a 2.86 ERA in his last 6 ball games in Fla. The + 1.5 runs will be just enough for the Tribe tonight as the runs will be a plenty and the Tribe will keep this baby close!
CLEVELAND + 1.5 RUNS AND OVER 9 -120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

King Creole | MLB Total Thu, 07/08/10 - 2:05 PM

double-dime bet 915 ANA / 916 CWS Under 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: 2:05pm ET - 11:05am PT
Los Angeles Angels with Santana @ Chicago White Sox with Danks
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

This is a series that's heavily skewed toward LOW-scoring results. With last night's game going 'Under', this Chicago / LA series has gone 10-25-1 O/U in the last 36 meetings... and 3-9-1 O/U in the last two seasons.

SANTANA: 1-6 O/U vs AL Central teams... 1-4 O/U away vs > .500 opponents... 2-8-2 O/U in Game Four of a series... 3-8-1 O/U on Thursdays.
DANKS: 5-17 O/U vs AL West teams... 3-11 O/U~ on Thursdays... 3-9 O/U after 5+ runs... 4-12 O/U as a home fav of -150 or less.

BILL MILLER gets the call behind home plate. Historically... a GREAT 'Under' Umpire (17-44-3 O/U in the last 2+ seasons). In the 2010 year, he comes in with a record of 5-13-2 O/U. Current streaks include 3-10 O/U since the middle of May with an average of only 7.3 combined runs per game. And in his last FOUR games overall, he's gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U... with an average of only 5.0 runs per game. He's also 3-10 O/U on the season when the OU line is 9 < runs. In 'Righty vs Lefty' pitching matchups, Miller has gone 9-28-2 O/U in the last 2 years. His strikeout to walk ratio is just what we are looking for to produce a LOW-scoring outcome. During his current 3-10 O/U streak... he's had 188 K's.... and only 59 BB's. That's an extremely high ratio of 3.18 strikeouts for every walk.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

Marc Lawrence | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:05 PM

triple-dime bet 907 SDP (-150) BetUS vs 908 WAS
Analysis: Play On: San Diego w/Latos (Game 907)
Note: When San Diego sends Mat Latos to the mound a~gainst Luis Atilano and the nationals in the nation's capitol this evening they will do so knowing he is 9-2 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 11 team starts. That's how long it's been since the Padres pitching coach moved Latos from one side of the rubber to the other in order to make his slider more effective. And it's worked wonders. Furthermore, Latos is 10-5 in his career road team starts, including 6-1 with a 1.38 ERA in his last seven efforts. He's also 3-1 with a 1.83 ERA in his career team starts during July, including 2-0 away. With Atilano 1-5 in his last six team starts, look for Latos to improve to 3-0 in his career team starts in this series here tonight. We recommend a 4-unit play on San Diego.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 10:10 PM

triple-dime bet 913 CHC (+175) Sportbet vs 914 LOS
Analysis:
The Cubs are coming off a 3 game sweep of Arizona in which they plated 23R. Wells has given up just 2ER in his last 13.2IP. A more compact delivery is reportedly being credited for his solid performances of late. Against LAD lifetime, he has the exact same stats, having given up just 2ER in 13.2IP. The Dodgers have plated 29R in their last 6G. Kershaw has allowed just 2ER in his last 12.2IP w 13SO. He has 9 quality starts in his last 11 outings and has a 2.25ERA in his last 5 outings at Chavez Ravine. So, we call on advanced stats to help us out, as always. Wells has a 4.67ERA but an eye-openi‰ng 3.37FIP (18th best in MLB) and a 3.78xFIP. That ERA-FIP mark of 1.30 is the single widest discrepancy to the positive side in all of baseball. His .345BABIP is the 4th unluckiest in MLB. In other words, Wells shouldn't be a +175 proposition against anyone, including the stellar Kershaw who sports a 3.24FIP (13th best in MLB) and a 4.01xFIP. Value. Value. Value. One more thing. There's some doubt as to whether Alfonso Soriano will play in this game after getting hit by a pitch on his elbow on Wednesday. More significantly and not as acknowledged by most is that if the Cubs do get to Kershaw, LAD only has two long relievers at their disposal in Jeff Weaver and Travis Schlichting as Ronald Belisario is on the restricted list. And with Soriano or not, as we've noted many times before, the Cubs are a right-handed heavy hitting team. In addition to Soriano who still might play, Lee, Ramirez, Castro, Soto, Theriot, and Byrd all hit from the right side of the plate. Kershaw's SO-BB ratio v righties is only 1.88 as opposed to his 4.10 mark v lefties. Again, this one is teeming with value on the North Siders.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:05 PM

dime bet 918 TOR (-130) Bodog vs 917 MIN
Analysis: Minnesota's series against Milwaukee a couple weeks back was truly eye-opening for me. Yes, Minnesota has a lot of lefties and yes they bat surprisingly well against left handed pitching. But in my opinion, the statistics don't tell the true story. Milwaukee's lefties gave Minnesota all kinds of trouble, while that's actually been the case for most of the season with the Twins. It's been left-handed relievers that they've had their way with. Toronto sent a lefty to the hill last night, and they pulled off a win, tonight they'll send Cecil to the mound (another lefty), and I expect the result to be the same.

Cecil definitely went through a tough stretch during Interleague play, but bounced back nicely in his first game back in the AL. He's been a rock solid lefty for them all year, and is nothing more or less than a solid middle of the rotation starter. In his only career start against Minny, Cecil went 6 innings of 2 ru€n ball.. That's solid. And we'll definitely take that going up against Scott Baker today.

Baker is a guy who flat out puts the ball in play. I'd be shocked if he walked someone, literally. For whatever reason, those balls seem to find holes when he's pitching outside of Minnesota. The guy is just 1-5 with a 6.55 on the road this season, and a team like Toronto that scores in bunches on their home turf can, and should, really create problems for him. On top of that, Scott Baker against Toronto: 0-3 with a 5.10 in his last 5 starts.

Yes, I like taking a sound lefty at home against this Minnesota lineup. But I like fading Baker on the road even more, especially against a team that has given him problems in the past.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

spartan | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 3:10 PM

dime bet 906 COL (-141) Sportbet vs 905 STL
Analysis: I prevailed last night with the Rockies as they once again proved that Coors field is indeed a house of horrors for the Cardinals. Been a Cardinals fan since the days of Gibson and Brock but I call them the way I see them. Emotion has no place in sports wagering. I'm enough of a Cards fan I've been published in a book regarding Cardinals fans. With that said, like I mentioned yesterday guys the All Star break cannot get here fast enough for this club. They are slumping, badly. Morale is low and the bullpen in shreds. You can never under estimate the ability of Cris Carpenter to provide this club with a desperately needed lift but with his match up against Jimenez I just cannot support them here. Trying to pick the spot where a slumping club will catch a win is risky business. As square as this play may appear sometimes you just have to suck it up and take the obvious. The thing is it is not just this series guys, the Cards always struggle terribly at this ball park and against Ubaldo there is no valid reason to see it stopping thursday.
Baseball is a funny game, I've played the game and I suspect many of you have as well. It is the ultimate anything can happen on a given day sport, Carpenter is more than capable of shutting out Colorado and tossing a gem, but I am not betting on it. I respect him enough I am only grading this a single star but I certainly think enough of the game to put a wager into play.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 2:05 PM

double-dime bet 915 ANA (+140) Bodog vs 916 CWS
Analysis:
Play on LA Angels at 2:10 EST – the Angels are on the verge of getting swept this afternoon in Chicago. The White Sox beat the Angels for the third straight time last night 5-2. Tonight, LA sends Santana out to the mound to avoid the sweep. The Angels righty has pitched very well on the road this season with a 3.04 ERA in his eight starts. One of those road starts was right here in Chicago and he pitched very well going seven innings without allowing an earned run. Danks doesn’t have very good career numbers against these Angels with a 2-5 team start record. We’re looking for the Angels to salvage this last game of the series knowing that Santana is a great dog pitcher posting a 10-1 record when installed as a $150 or less puppy. Also, he loves pitching against the AL Central posting a 10-1 team start record. Meanwhile, Danks can’t be trusted as a home favorite posting a 13-18 (-13 units) in that role. LA likes playing baseball in the sunshine as they are 18-10 this season in day games. It all adds up to an LA win this afternoon in Chicago. Good Luck. Play on LA Angels.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 924 SEA (+145) Bodog vs 923 NYY
Analysis: 
Play on Seattle at 10:10 EST – the Yankees come up to Seattle after sweeping Oakland and have now won five straight. Meanwhile, the M’s were swept by the Royals here in Seattle. The pitching matchup tonight has Pettitte for NY and Vargas for Seattle. Pettitte has been rock solid all season with a 2.82 ERA and 13-3 team start record. Vargas has pitched outstanding here in Seattle this season with a 2.30 ERA and outstanding 7-2 team start record, despite Seattle’s lack of hitting. We think this is a soft spot for the Yankees tonight after sweeping Oakland and having to travel to Seattle, especially against Vargas. This season, the Yankees have faced pitchers with good control like Vargas who allow less than 1.75 walks per start 25 times. They haven’t done very well with a 10-15 team start record and since they were favored in those games they have lost 13.6 units. We have great value here tonight with Vargas and we’re taking it. Good Luck. Play on Seattle.

[harley1]

Re: 7-8-2010

red hot teddy covers

Reds (Big Ticket)
Angels/Wht socks under 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

Craig Davis

Thursday's Lineup
75 Dime release on the St. Louis Cardinals and Carpenter over Colorado and Jimenez. You must specify both schedulld starting pitchers in this conteast. The play would be voided if there are any pitching changhs. As I release this selection at 8 AM Eastern, the Cards are +125 to +130 in Vegas and offshore

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

KELSO

50 units Texas Rangers -1.5 run line -120
15 units Cincinnati Reds/Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 9.5
10 units SD Padres -160

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

nsa

20 yanks-150
20 sf+105
20 rockies-145

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT Toronto Blue Jays -125
4 UNIT Florida Marlins -115

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-8-2010

SCOTT RICKENBACH

8* Angels / White Sox Over 8.5

Play OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox game as an 8* Regular Play selection.