7-9-10

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Re: 7-9-10

Dave Cokin Comp
(955) ATLANTA BRAVES
(956) NEW YORK METS
Take "(956) NEW YORK METS"

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Re: 7-9-10

JIM FEIST COMP
(959) PITTSBURGH PIRATES
(960) MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Take "Over"
Milwaukee is an excellent offensive park, easy for home runs, which explains why the Brewers are No. 3 in the National League in runs scored. A pair of slumping starters square off in this one. Lefty Paul Maholm has a 9.75 ERA his last three starts, while Doug Davis is 1-4 with a 7.56 ERA on the season. Davis walks too many batters (18 in 33 innings), while Maholm allows opponents to hit .297 of him, so look for plenty of offense. Play the Pirates/Brewers Over the total.

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Re: 7-9-10

JIMMY BOYD

FREE PLAY
1 Unit on LA Angels -110
After getting swept in Chicago, the Angels will be happy to head back West to face a team they have owned. In fact, the Angels have won 10 of their last 14 meetings overall and 11 of the last 14 in Oakland. They also hand the ball to the right guy tonight. Pineiro has won his last 6 starts while allowing 1 or less runs in 4 of those outings. He is also a perfect 3-0 in division play this season. One of those wins came against Oakland, a complete game, 4-hit shutout. Mazzaro has won his last two starts, but plenty of pitchers have had success against Baltimore and Cleveland. The Athletics are just 2-6 in Mazzaro's last 8 home starts and only 4-12 in his last 16 starts versus a team with a winning record. The Angels are 41-15 in their last 56 road games versus a team with a losing record. Take the Halos tonight

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Re: 7-9-10

Cajun Sports
Free play

The Florida Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks square-off in the desert for Game 2 of their four-game weekend series. At the time of this writing, we do not know the outcome of the first game of the series. The Fish will send Ricky Nolasco to the bump with his 8-6 record and ERA of 4.69 including a record of 6-2 on the highway with an ERA of 4.31. Nolasco is 4-1 versus the Diamondbacks since 97 with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 0.925. The one loss came in the desert almost to the day a year ago when he faced tonight’s starter Dan Haren, losing 8 to 0 going 6 innings giving up 9 hits with one walk and eight strikeouts in the loss. Haren went 9 innings in that game giving up 4 hits one walk and 10 strikeouts. Diamondbacks starter Haren is 7-6 this season posting an ERA of 4.38 including a mark of 5-3 at home with the same ERA. Nolasco is 16-5 in road games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game the last three seasons including 9-1 during the second half of the season. Nolasco is 6-1 his last 7 outings when starting Game 2 of a series, 13-3 his last sixteen road starts versus a team with a losing record and 10-4 versus the NL West. We look for Ricky Nolasco to bounce back against the Diamondbacks and avenge last season’s poor performance in the desert. Back the puppy here as the Marlins take the second contest of this weekend series.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Florida Marlins 4 Arizona Diamondbacks 3

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Re: 7-9-10

Karl Garrett
Free play

No knock on Jon Lester, as Lester has been "bringing it" all year long for his club, the problem is his club is contending with far too many injuries right now, and they come to Toronto riding a 4-game losing streak.

Toronto just took the last pair off of visiting Minnesota, and they will now look to get their first home win in 4 tries this year against the Boston Red Sox tonight.

Ricky Romero was just rocked, but that start came on the road. At home Romero has been stellar, going 4-1 over 7 home starts, and keeping his ERA at just 1.45.

With so many of the Boston starters sidelined, the G-Man will take his chances with the home underdog to give his team a chance against the 10-3 Lester.

Take Toronto.
2? TORONTO

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Re: 7-9-10

Bobby Maxwell
Free play

I'm coming strong with a FREE winner tonight on the Blue Jays at home to get it done against the Red Sox in Toronto.

Toronto got the home win on Thursday over the Twins and they are a great plus-money wager in this one as they welcome the Red Sox to Canada for a three-game set. Ricky Romero (6-5, 3.39 ERA) is on the mound for the Blue Jays, battling the Red Sox Jon Lester (10-3, 2.76 ERA).

Romero loves pitching at home, posting a 4-1 record and an amazing 1.45 ERA. He last pitched at home on June 23 when he blanked the Cardinals for eight innings. He’s held the opposition to two runs or less in seven of his last 10 outings and last time he saw the Red Sox was last September when he allowed two runs in five innings of an 8-7 road win.

Lester has been very good for the Red Sox this season, but he’s blown up a few times on the road the last few months, getting shelled in Cleveland and in Detroit.

Boston is just 3-8 in its last 11 roadies, 0-4 against A.L. East teams, 1-4 against southpaws and 2-5 when Lester is a road favorite. Toronto has won four of Romero’s last five home starts and 8-3 in their last 11 Friday games.

The Red Sox have won six straight in Toronto and eight of the last 10, but this Toronto team is scoring runs and they’ll get the job done here tonight. Play the plus-money and go with the Blue Jays.
4? TORONTO

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Re: 7-9-10

BRETT ATKINS
Free play

I scored the free winner for you on Thursday as the Blue Jays took care of the Twins in Toronto. Tonight I am playing the Mets to get Game 1 of their series against the Braves in New York.

New York is the winning play here tonight as R.A. Dickey has been a helluva pitcher for them this season. Since joining the starting lineup, he’s held the opposition to three runs or less in seven of his nine starts.

In his last home outing, Dickey blanked the Tigers on four hits over eight innings of a 5-0 win. He also didn’t give up an earned run on Saturday in Washington and got a no-decision in the 6-5 loss.

Tommy Hanson starts for the Braves and he’s got a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts. In his last roadie, Hanson gave up nine runs on 13 hits of a 9-6 loss to the White Sox, lasting just 3.2 innings.

New York has been rolling lately, on streaks of 25-9 at home, 8-1 after an off-day, 5-0 on Friday and 13-3 after a loss. I’m playing the Mets tonight to get it done with Dickey on the mound.

3? N.Y. METS (on a 1? to 5?)

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Re: 7-9-10

JOEL TYSON COMP

4-1-1 comp play run coming into Friday's action.

The hype surrounding Stephen Strasburg has cooled just a little, as Strasburg can't seem to get any support on offense, and it is only a matter of time before the opposing team gets to the Nats bullpen.

In to town rolls the Giants who have won 4 in a row, and 5 of their last 6.

Matt Cain is definitely capable of working deep into a game, and the Giants 13-3 mark against the Nationals their last 16 meetings definitely bodes well.

Cain is also 3-0 the last 4 times he has faced Washington.

Take the Giants here.

1? SAN FRANCISCO
(on a 1? to 5? basis)

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Re: 7-9-10

DUNKEL MLB

Atlanta at NY Mets

The Braves look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 starts against teams with a winning record. Atlanta is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 9
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: San Francisco at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 13.559; Washington (Strasburg) 14.051
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Under

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 14.624; Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.039
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Over

Game 955-956: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 16.236 ; NY Mets (Dickey) 15.830
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105); Over

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.568; Houston (Norris) 14.673
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 13.672; Milwaukee (Davis) 14.864
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Over

Game 961-962: San Diego at Colorado (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 15.673; Colorado (De La Rosa) 17.012
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-170); Over

Game 963-964: Florida at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.219; Arizona (Haren) 15.302
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-135); Under

Game 965-966: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 15.326; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.896
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under

Game 967-968: Boston at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.743; Toronto (Romero) 16.892
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Over

Game 969-970: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 17.240; Detroit (Verlander) 16.862
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Under

Game 971-972: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 14.823; Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.304
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-210); Under

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 14.089; Texas (Feldman) 16.232
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-230); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-230); Under

Game 975-976: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 15.320; White Sox (Buehrle) 16.406
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-155); Under

Game 977-978: LA Angels at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 14.539; Oakland (Mortensen) 15.983
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+100); Over

Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 17.342; Seattle (Lee) 16.987
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-110); Over

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Re: 7-9-10

Marc Lawrence Comp

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

The Reds and Phillies meet in Game Two of this four-games series in Philadelphia this evening when Mike Leake takes the mound for Cincinnati against Joe Blanton. While Leake's numbers have fallen off since he took the league by storm this season, the fact of the matter is he is 4-2 in his road team starts, including 3-0 his last three with a 1.89 ERA. With Blanton having cashed in just three of his last eight team starts with a 6.96 ERA, look for the Reds to keep the Phillies in their funk here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Cincinnati.

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Re: 7-9-10

SEAN MURPHY Comp

San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals
PICK: Washington Nationals

The San Francisco Giants just finished a masterpiece of a series, sweeping the Milwaukee Brewers in a four-game set, outscoring them by an incredible 36-7 margin.

So does that mean they boast solid underdog value as they head to Washington on Friday? I don't believe so.

The Nationals were soundly beaten, 7-1 at the hands of the San Diego Padres on Thursday, but that shouldn't come as any surprise. After all, they were up against one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in Mat Latos, and had already won the first two games of the series, with both coming by one-run margins.

I do expect the Nationals to get back on track behind their rookie phenom, Stephen Strasburg, on Friday night. Let's not lose sight of the fact that the Nationals remain a winning team at home this season while the Giants are a losing club on the road.

Matt Cain will offer a formidable challenge to the Nats' lineup on Friday. He's having another fine season, recording a 2.98 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, but his record leaves a lot to be desired, just 6-7 on the year.

The key here is that Cain doesn't bring his best form to the table. Over his last three starts, he has allowed 22 hits and 14 earned runs in just 14 2/3 innings of work. His walk totals have been on the rise over the course of those three outings, and he's also had a tough time keeping the ball down. Note that his ground ball to fly ball ratio stands at 35:113 since the start of June.

Cain has held the current Nationals roster to .253 hitting in 91 career at-bats against him, but I will point out that Ryan Zimmerman, Nyjer Morgan, and Cristian Guzman are a combined 14-for-39 (.359) against him.

As I mentioned, the Nats' will counter with Stephen Strasburg. He's coming off back-to-back subpar starts, but I'm confident we'll see him bounce back on Friday. It's worth noting that the Nationals still managed to win his last start, despite the fact that he lasted only five innings.

Strasburg has settled in nicely here at Nationals Park, posting a 2.16 ERA while holding opponents to a .221 average in four starts, spanning 25 innings of work. A key against the Giants could be his .176 opponents average versus right-handed hitters.

The Nats' held their own against the Giants in San Francisco back in late May. They ultimately dropped two of three games, but the Giants needed a late rally to secure a victory in the rubber match.

The Giants are fresh off a four-game sweep of the Brewers, but it's easy to forget that they were 5-13 over their last 18 games heading into that series. The Nationals are 11-6 in Game 1 of a series after a loss this season, and I expect them to improve on that record on Friday. Take Washington.

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Re: 7-9-10

Mike Lineback 7/9

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Jays/Red Sox Under 7.5

Yankees/Mariners Under 7.

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Re: 7-9-10

Tom Freese
Free play

New York at Seattle
Play: Seattle

Seattle starter Cliff Lee has won his 4 starts allowing just 6 runs in those 4 starts. Lee has 2 walks and 22 strikeouts in his last 3 starts. The Mariners are 8-1 with Lee his last 9 starts as a favorite. Lee is 6-1 vs. a team with a winning record and he is 4-0 his last 4 home starts. New York starter Phillip Hughes has allowed 20 runs in his last 34 starts. The Yankees are 2-5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their last game. New York is 1-4 with Hughes as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and they are 1-4 with Hughes vs. a team with a losing record.

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Re: 7-9-10

Baseball Prophet

OVER 7.5 (-110) TWINS / TIGERS

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Re: 7-9-10

PURE LOCK
San Francisco Giants+143
Free MLB Play