7-11-10

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Re: 7-11-10

TOM FREESE
Free play

Minnesota starter Carl Pavano has allowed 3 or less runs in 5 of his last 6 starts. The Twins are 13-6 their last 10 games as road favorites and they are 44-21 their last 65 games as favorites. Minnesota is 35-16 vs. AL Central teams and they are 28-10 their last 38 games as favorites of -110 to -150. Detroit starter Andy Oliver has allowed 13 runs in 13.2 innings of work in his 3 starts this year. The Tigers are 3-7 their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP off less than 1.15 and they are 3-8 their last 11 games as underdogs. PLAY MINNESOTA (Pavano vs. Oliver)

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Re: 7-11-10

EZWINNERS COMP

(969) Boston Red Sox -$125

The Red Sox send Daisuke Matsuzaka to the mound for this start against Toronto. Dice K has not been pitching his best lately, but he has great numbers against Toronto in his career. Dice K is 1-0 this season against the Blue Jays with an ERA of only 1.29 and in eight career starts Dice K is 5-1 against Toronto with an ERA of 3.51. Toronto sends Jesse Litsch to the mound for this last game before the All Star break and Litsch has been struggling. In his last three starts Litsch is 0-2 and has an ERA of 7.63. The Red Sox bats are hot and I look for them to give Dice K plenty of run support in this game. Play on Boston.

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Re: 7-11-10

KIKI SPORTS Full Card

Sunday July 11th

1 unit Atlanta/ Mets UNDER 7.5
2 units San Fran +105
1 unit Colorado -130

WORLD CUP FINAL :
2 units Spain +100

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Re: 7-11-10

Sunday, July 11

Hot pitchers
-- Santana is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts; Mets are 7-1 if they give him three or more runs (1-8 if not). Lowe has a 2.97 RA in his last five starts.
-- Nationals won last eight LHernandez home starts. Bumgarner has 3.27 RA in his first three big league starts.
-- WRodriguez is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Richard is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Padilla is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts. Silva is 1-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.

-- Pavano is 4-0, 2.96 in his last six starts.
-- Niemann has 2.42 RA in his last four starts.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 3.69 in his last five starts.
-- Wilson is 2-1, 2.41 in his last four starts.
-- Cahill is 7-1, 2.78 in his last ten starts. Weaver is 2-1, 1.98 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 7-0, 2.05 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Maloney allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his first '10 start, a 3-0 loss. Hamels is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Wolf is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Lincoln is 1-2, 5.63 in four road starts.
-- Francis is 0-1, 9.15 in his last four starts. Hawksworth is 1-2, 5.85 in four starts this season.
-- Sanabia has thrown 8.1 big league innings, all in relief, allowing four runs; he was 5-1, 2.03 in 14 starts in AA Southern League. Enright is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts, pitching total of 10.2 innings.

-- Oliver is 0-2, 8.56 in three starts this season.
-- Indians lost seven of last eight Masterson road starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 0-1, 5.63 in his last three starts. Litsch is 0-3, 7.30 in his five starts this season.
-- Arrieta is 0-2, 7.78 in his last four starts.
-- DHudson was 1-1, 3.38 in 18.2 IP in majors LY, starting two games; he is 11-4, 3.27 in 17 AAA starts this year.
-- Rowland-Smith is 1-8, 6.98 in his last ten starts.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve San Francisco road games went over.
-- Under is 14-5-1 in last 20 Cincinnati road games.
-- Under is 11-3-2 in last sixteen Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Houston games.
-- Under is 7-0-3 in last ten Pittsburgh road games.
-- Eight of last eleven games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- 11 of last 13 Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Six of Cubs' last seven road games went over the total.

-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Toronto games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen games at Comerica Park.
-- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Cleveland road games.
-- Over is 14-6 in last 20 Baltimore games.
-- Under is 8-3 in White Sox' last eleven home games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Oakland home games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Bronx road games.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won five of their last six games. Nationals won four of their five rubber games at home.
-- Phillies are 9-3 in last eleven home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games.
-- Astros won six of their last seven home games.
-- Rockies won 15 of their last 18 home games.
-- Florida is 7-4 in rubber game of a series, 4-2 on road.
-- Dodgers are 8-4 in their last twelve games. Cubs won five of their last seven road games.

-- Tigers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Rays won nine of their last eleven games.
-- White Sox won last seven games, allowing total of 11 runs. Royals are 8-4 in their last twelve games, 6-3 in last nine on road.
-- Orioles won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Bronx won nine of its last eleven road games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost last three games, scoring a total of three runs.
-- Padres lost four of their last five games.
-- Reds lost their last three games, all on walk-off hits.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Brewers lost five of last seven home games. Pirates lost 20 of their last 22 road games, scoring eight runs in last four.
-- Diamondbacks lost six of their last eight games.

-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games. Toronto is 3-9 in its last 13.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Angels lost seven of last nine games. A's lost four of last five.
-- Mariners lost six of their last seven home games.

Umpires
-- Atl-NY-- Underdog won five of last six (+$467)Darling games.
-- SF-Wsh-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Wolf games.
-- Cin-Phil-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Tichenor games.
-- StL-Hst-- Seven of last nine Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- There are no trends that stand out about ump Guccione
-- SD-Col-- Five of last six Hickox games went over the total.
-- Fla-Az-- Four of last five Hernandez games stayed under total.
-- Chi-LA-- Last six Layne games stayed under the total.

-- Bos-Tor-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Nelson games.
-- Min-Det-- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Cooper games.
-- KC-Chi-- Five of last seven Knight games stayed under total.
-- Clev-TB-- Last five Barry games went over the total.
-- Blt-Tex-- Underdog is 4-2 (+$597) in last six Iassogna games.
-- LA-A's-- Underdog is 10-4 (+$1,053) in last 14 Randazzo games.
-- NY-Sea-- Five of last seven Rapuano games stayed under total.

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Re: 7-11-10

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Braves again Saturday. Sunday it's the Braves.

The deficit is 680 sirignanos

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Re: 7-11-10

Hondo

Slumping Hondo staggered to his fourth straight de feat yesterday when the Dodgers went down meekly against the Cubs, causing the deficit to expand to 970 torgesons.

Today, he'll close out the front nine by double-dip ping with the Braves and Cubs -- 10 units apiece on Lowe and Silva.

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Re: 7-11-10

Jeff Benton sunday

2-0 yesterday PLUS 40 dimes OR $460. overall, 75-87-3 MINUS 210 dimes.

Sunday's Action 20 DIME selection on the Philadelphia Phillies on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Reds. Note that all run-line plays reqaire listing starting pitchers, so both Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels and Cincinnati’s Matt Maloney must start or this play is VOID. As I releaese this play, the Phillies are catohing a +125 price on the run line.


Phillies (-1½)

I know that Cole Hamels hasn’t been a very bettor-friendly pitcher this season. He’s 6-7 with a 4.05 ERA, and the Phillies are 8-9 when he pitches, including 1-7 in his last eight starts (0-4 last four, all as a favorite). However, Hamels has been strong at home, posting a 3.07 ERA and alloaing just 48 hits and 14 walks in 55 2/3 innings (1.11 WHIP).

More importantly, he has flat-out owned the Cincinnati Reds in his career, going 5-0 with a 1.26 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP in six career starts. Not only did the Phillies win all six games, but five were multiple-run victories. And in two career home starts against the Reds – one in 2008, one in 2009 – Hamels surrenedered just one run, six hits and three walks in 16 innings. The final scores of those two games: 5-0 and 22-1!

Collectively, the Reds are batting just .150 in 43 innings against Hamels, and that includes Brandon Phillips (2-for-18), Joey Votto (1-for-6) and Jay Bruce (1-for-9). The one Red who has had at least a little success against Hamels is Scott Rolen (3-for-10, 2 RBIs), but Rolen is expected to miss his third straight game with a back injury.

While the Phillies have won just eight times in Hamels’ 17 starts this season, six of those victories have covered the run line (including three of four at home). In fact, 13 of Philadelphia’s last 17 wins – including seven of the last nine – have been by more than one run.

Finally, this game concledes a 10-game road trip for Cincinnati – it has lost five of the last eight, including consecutive defeats the last two nights – and it comes one day before the All-Star break (in other words, don’t be surprised if the Reds lack a little focus here). On top of that, Cincy is going with Matt Malony on the mound, and this is just the lefty’s second big-league appearance of the season. The first came Wednesday at the Mets, and the Reds lost 3-0, falling to 2-5 in Maloney’s last seven starts going back to June 2000, with Maloney posting a 5.13 ERA in those seven games.

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Re: 7-11-10

Stephen Nover Comp

I am 38-22-1 on my free selections through Friday. On the big Sunday card, I like the Giants with rookie Madison Bumgarner to beat the Nationals and veteran Livan Hernandez.

Bumgarner hasn't even turned 21 yet, but he's already displayed enough maturity and stuff to show why he was rated as San Francisco's top pitching prospect.

He was 7-1 with a 3.16 ERA in Triple A this season. This will be his fourth big league start this year and third in a row on the road.

Bumgarner's last two starts have been at strong hitter's parks, Coors Field in Colorado and Miller Park in Milwaukee. Bumgarner held those two clubs to a combined three earned runs in 15 innings. He has a 15-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his three starts.

Hernandez has hung in for Washington. His ERA is a very decent 3.12. But I expect Hernandez to fade in the second half. He has just 55 strikeouts in 112 2/3 innings.

Hernandez's lifetime ERA against San Francisco is 4.40. The Giants went into the weekend having beaten the Nationals in 13 of the past 17 meetings.
2? SAN FRANCISCO (WITH BOTH PITCHERS LISTED)

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Re: 7-11-10

Mr A

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San Francisco Giants (46-41) at Washington Nationals (39-49)
(L) Madison Bumgarner (1-2) vs. (R) Livan Hernandez (6-4)
San Francisco Giants +110
Oddsmakers line:
Washington as a -120 home favorite over San Francisco with the total listed at 8½'over'

Sunday, July 11, 2010 2:10 p.m. est.
Pittsburgh Pirates (30-57) at Milwaukee Brewers (39-49)
(R) Brad Lincoln (1-3) vs. (L) Randy Wolf (6-8)
Milwaukee Brewers -180
Oddsmakers line:

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Re: 7-11-10

Michael Cannon
Free play

I am 74-66 with my last 140 overall free plays.

Take the Padres for the road win over the Rockies.

I don’t see Colorado sweeping San Diego. Not with Jeff Francis pitching.

Francis is 0-1 with an 8.69 ERA in his last four starts. The left-hander was pounded for eight runs and seven hits in just three innings in a 13-3 loss at San Diego on June 30.

Keep in mind that’s a pitcher’s park we’re talking about there.

In his career Francis is a dismal 2-5 with a 6.19 ERA in eight home starts against the Padres.

San Diego will counter with Clayton Richard, who is 6-4 with a 3.00 ERA on the year. The left-hander started opposite Francis in that 13-3 win and finished with a career-best 10 strikeouts in the victory. Richard will try to prevent the Rockies from getting the series sweep and keep the Padres in sole possession of first place in the NL West heading into the All-Star break.

I say he gets it done.

Take the Padres for the road win.
3? SAN DIEGO

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Re: 7-11-10

Sr Computer Picks 155-102 YTD went 3-0 Saturday

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Sunday, July 11th, 2010

Time Game Best Bets *** Selection
1:40 p.m. Cleveland Indians at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Justin Masterson (3-8) vs. (R) Jeff Niemann (7-2)
Tampa Bay Rays -240

3:10 p.m. San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
(L) Clayton Richard (6-4) vs. (L) Jeff Francis (2-3) Colorado Rockies -130

4:10 p.m. New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners
(L) CC Sabathia (11-3) vs. (L) Ryan Rowland-Smith (1-8)
New York Yankees -240

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Re: 7-11-10

Wicked Good Wagers

17-8 this week, +36 UNITS for a 5 UNIT bettor.

Here are today's picks:

MLB

Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Colorado Rockies PICK
N.Y. Yankees -1.5

Note: Wager to win evenly across all 3 picks.

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Re: 7-11-10

ROCKETMAN
Free play

Play On: LA Angels -105 (Weaver/Cahill) Listed

LA Angels are 45-22 the past 3 years when playing on Sunday. LA Angels are 86-37 in days games the past 3 years. LA Angels are 41-20 in the month of July the past 3 years. Oakland is 14-31 since 1997 and 4-15 the past 3 years when the total is 7 or less. Oakland has lost 4 of their last 5 games overall. Jered Weaver is 8-4 with a 2.97 ERA overall this year and has a 2.66 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Re: 7-11-10

Jeff Alexander
Free play

1 Unit on Red Sox -125
Boston is struggling through some injuries right now, but they've got a good chance to pick up a win against Jess Litsch and the Blue Jays Sunday. Litsch is 0-3 in 5 starts this season with a 7.30 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. The Red Sox send Dice-K to the mound and while he doesn't have great numbers, he's still winning games for the Sox. Over 11 starts, Dice K is 5-3 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. The Red Sox might be banged up, but they should be able to get to Litsch enough to give Dice K some cushion to pick up the victory.

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Re: 7-11-10

NEWYORK SPORTS INVESTORS
Our complimentary selection for Sunday, July 11 is:
Oakland Athletics/LA.Angels Under 7
Rated: a 10* Selection
(based on a 1? to a 10? Rating)