7-11-10

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. Take #652. Take Under 151 between Chicago Sky vs. New YorkLiberty (Sunday @ 04:00pm est).

The two previous times these two teams have met, the games have gone over the posted total. But, this is a Sunday evening game and these two teams have met twice already and are familiar with each other. Its easy think that if the first two games between these two teams have gone over the posted total, that the third one will also go over the posted total. Note, the last four games for the Liberty have gone under the posted total and the last 5 of 6 have gone under the posted total as well. Also note that the Under is 5-1 when the Liberty plays on three days worth of rest as well. I think this will be one of those rare occasions where Chicago will be an active underdog but will actually lead to an under overall.

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

Lee Kostroski 10* Sunday
10* Detroit -105

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

Gambler World

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Game: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Current Line: Los Angeles (-145)

Over/Under: 7.5

Play On: Chicago (+125)

Inside the Board Room:
Righthander Carlos Silva will take the mound for the Cubs to start this game. Silva is 9-2 this season with a 2.96 ERA. Starting this game for the Dodgers will be Vicente Padilla. The righthander has a 4.72 ERA to go along with a 3-2 record this season. Geovany Soto belted a two-run shot out-of-the-park and drove in three runs on Saturday, as the Cubs defeated the Dodgers 7-3. The Cubs won that game as +123 underdogs, while the 10 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (8) . Tom Gorzelanny allowed six hits and two runs over six innings with seven strikeouts for the Cubs win. John Ely surrendered six runs off five hits in 2 1-3 innings in the Dodgers loss.
Take the Cubby's tonight.

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:35 PM



MLB: Atlanta Braves at New York Mets - Mets (Lowe/Santana)(Best Bet) -130 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 7/11/2010
Note: The first 2 games of this series has given us a great betting line for the final one and the combination of Santana being on his game over his last 2 starts, and Atlanta clearly being in their worst hitting posture, gives us a High Percentage Opportunity. The Mets Ace has been strong verses this team in his career and with the Braves hitting just .227 on the road verses Southpaws, we should get a nice jumpstart to winning this contest. Lowe has been on and off this year and we never know what we are going to get from him. We do know that in two trips to this park, he sports an ERA well Over 7 runs. This park has been tough for visitors this year with New York having one of the best home marks in the Big Leagues. In the meantime, Atlanta is an amazing 30-10 when they have played at their home park, but well below .500 when they have traveled. This game is in the mode of what I call "Circle the Wagons" with New York in a situation where they do need a win after dropping 3 straight and we should see a concerted effort by the home boys because of that. My Model shows a Mets win at a whopping 65.8% of the time and I must agree with that summation. Therefore I will cut these thoughts short and play this one harder than usual. This line could easily go upward so get it now.



Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 4:10 PM

dime bet 964 ARI (-105) BetUS vs 963 FLA

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

Chris Jordan

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Chris Jordan

200? TB Rays -1.5

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

Super Sports Group

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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

San Fran v. Washington 1:35pm
8* PICK: OV8R 8.5 Game ev
8* PICK: Gi8nts ML +111 Game

Cincinnati v. Philadelphia 1:35pm
9* PICK: UNDER 9 Game -105 Best bet of the day #1
7* PICK: Re7s ML +162 Game

Kansas City v. Chicago 2:05pm
9* PICK: White Sox ML +110 Game Best bet of the day #2

Baltimore v. Texas 3:05pm
8* PICK: Oriol8s RL (+1.5) +130 Game

San Diego v. Colorado 3:10pm
7* PICK: Pa7res ML +120 Game

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

VEGAS RUNNER
“MORNING MOVES” NEWSLETTER & LINE-PREDICTION for SUNDAY JULY 11th, 2010
2010 WORLD CUP FINALS….NETHERLANDS vs. SPAIN…BEST BET !!

Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen…I am going to move along quickly since so much is going off early, and I always try to finalize the Premium Pass as soon as I can on Sundays…because I know that so many of my players look forward to enjoying their day off…
So I make sure to get up as early as possible…and put in the same amount of work that I usually do, which is why Sunday’s have been so profitable for us (63% on MLB the L/10 Sundays)…
Yesterday, although we lost with Uruguay…we cashed another
MLB 3* BOMB (8-2 on L/10)…and finished the day UP on the books…Which is all that you can ever ask for… We will head into the All-Star Break on an excellent run…Having won over $5,000 ($100 Bettor) the L/8 Weeks…And I believe this break will be a big boost, because I will admit that I am a bit exhausted…
We’ve been going strong since Football Season began…without any breaks in between…So the timing couldn’t be better…Which should really give me my 2nd wind heading into those final 6 months of 2010...And with us already comfortably ahead, it gives us such an incredible edge, that I plan on taking advantage of…
For Sunday…we obviously have “10 UNITS” pending if NETHERLANDS win the World Cup…And then we have “8 UNITS” Pending if SPAIN, who is favored to take it down…gets the job done…
So unless I felt that the price offered us an EDGE that I just couldn’t pass up…there really is no reason for us to make a SIDE BET in this Championship Match…
With that said, I have to tell you that I really do believe this line is about right…Because even though there is obviously VALUE on the Netherlands…the “lay-price” on Spain really isn’t all that bad, when you factor in that they were +400 to win the whole thing before it even started…
But the odds makers/bookmakers had NO CHOICE but to inflate them just a bit…Due to the fact they have a lot more liability with their “Future Book” if Spain wins it…Because they didn’t get much “Future” money on the Netherlands…but they did get it on Spain…
So they will try to limit that liability by enticing some Betting Syndicates to grab the Value with the Netherlands…to limit their exposure…And from what I’ve gathered, they’ve been able to do so…since a couple of Outfits went the other way…and grabbed the “plus-money” on the Netherlands…
And after speaking to a handful of books…As far as today’s game goes, they are getting plenty of “2-Way” action on the Side & Total…Which really isn’t too surprising since the Netherlands have yet to lose a single game in the 2010 World Cup…and Spain is obviously the marquee team in this match-up…
Bottom Line…I would prefer to see the Netherlands win the World Cup, because financially it’s better for us…And I won’t lie, calling them before the tournament began will help stroke my ego a bit and get me some props here on the Strip…lol…And I would be lying if I said that I didn’t think they can do it…
In fact, they are the EXACT type of team that is built to cause problems for Spain…Because so far, NO team has tried to attack Spain…Instead, they’ve played a “counter-attack” style…due to fear of Spain opening it up and lighting up the score-board…
But the Netherlands style of play is TO ATTACK…So they won’t have to really change their approach, nor implement a game-plan that they aren’t comfortable with…And to be perfectly honest, we have yet to see how Spain responds to that type of play…
But with that said, Spain didn’t come in as the favorite to win the 2010 World Cup by accident…Just the opposite, they got the pressure off their backs after finally winning a big one…When they took home the European Championship in 2008...So they have simply lived up to the hype and the expectations…And now just have to overcome 1 more step to reach their goal…
If I sound like I’m not sure…then I’m coming across perfectly because there is no way that we would be taking a position on the Side, if we didn’t have this “Future”…Because like I said, even though we know going in that the price is inflated on Spain…the bottom line is that this is a game that they should win…
Fortunately, we don’t have to make any decision…and instead can allow the cards to fall where they may, and hopefully we get treated to an excellent and exciting game…
And more importantly, a LOW-SCORING one because we will be taking an Official Position on the TOTAL…

2010 WORLD CUP FINAL 2* BEST BET :
1.) UNDER 2.5 (-175) NETHERLANDS/SPAIN….(2*)
Now I suggest that you wait until as close to game-time as possible…Because the Wiseguys have already taken their position, which is why so many books have gone to “2”…and the betting public is loading up on the Over…especially in Parlays…
Those of you who don’t want to lay the chalk…can go ahead and bet UNDER 2 (+100)…Which means that the worst you can do if we cash our 2*…is get a “push”…
But truth is, I believe that anything less than -220...is offering up a ton of Value…And I have no problem trying to grab it, even if I have to lay some chalk to get it…
Last night’s BOXING was a perfect example of that…Because for myself and the fund that I manage…I was able to pick up another couple of units…by making 2 straight bets and a parlay bet…And even though I may have had to lay a lot of chalk to do so…the bottom line is that BOTH fights ended in KNOCK-OUTS…Meaning the books held my money for less than 1 Hour…and paid me some good interest to do so…
Spain has allowed ONLY 2 GOALS this entire Tourney…and comes into the Finals off 3 straight 1-0 wins since the KO stage began…
And only 1 time since the KO stage started, has the Netherlands put up more than 2 goals…or allowed more than 1 goal…
Finally, this is a CHAMPIONSHIP GAME…And I expect neither team to come out and play in a fashion that would open it up…I agree with the Wiseguys who have been blasting this Under since the total went up…And the probabilities dictate we are getting plenty of Value on this position…
And because we already have a WINNING FUTURE BET on the SIDE for this Game…This is what many would refer to as a Free-Roll to pick up 2 more Units…
Thanks again for all your support…and best of luck, Vegas-Runner…

LINE-PREDICTION :
1.) NATIONALS -115...
The Wiseguys have STEAMED Washington…And from what I’ve gathered, they aren’t done yet…Because due to so much public money being wagered on the Giants…the books have not had to show much respect to the move…which means the Outfits will still see some value to take advantage of…And with the next round of Buy-Orders…the books should be forced to do some adjusting, and show some more respect…VR

*** SUBSCRIBERS…PLEASE Check the System by 12:30pm est…for Possible Official MLB BET ***

Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:35 PM VR's Morning Moves | MLB Money Linedouble-dime bet 954 WAS (-115) Bodog vs 953 SFGAnalysis: ** MLB MORNING MOVES 2* TRUE STEAM **
NATIONALS -115....(2*)....HERNANDEZ over Bumgarner
The Wiseguys have gone ahead and STEAMED the Nationals on 2 different occassions...And from what I've been told, they plan on STEAMING some more...Based on my own Projection/Model...that is definitely the side with Value, since my line is -130 with Hernandez at Home...VR

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

BK PROFESSIONAL SPORTS BETTING
BK's Sunday TOP PLAYS

BK Professional Sports Betting went 1-1/-$120..Guys will return Friday night will be taking off during All Star Break as well!!! Thursday if I get a play will post it but I know Friday will be CAPPING DAY!!! For Sunday we are gonna go with these...............

SUNDAYS PLAYS

TIGERS Risking $100 to win $100...Guys I dont just pick plays b/c public likes it..There is a lot more then that but into these games.First of Tigers at home are winning at a 73% rate. Now lets look at what the BOOKS are offering Minny opens at -125 good price right? They have lost 4 in a row and last game of the series need a win to prevent getting SWEPT!!! At 12:30pm with roughly 67% of the betting public are allover Minny, BOOKS REACTION? Lets drop the M/L ON THE TWINS TO -110!!!! WOW LETS JUMP ALL OVER THEM!!!!! NOT BK IS TAKING THEM TIGERS TO SWEEP!!!!

ANGELS Risking $220 to win $200... Guys strictly a BIG BET b/c....WEAVER IS A STUD AND MY MONEY IS GONNA BACK HIM IN THIS SPOT!!!

DODGERS Risking $140 to win $100...
Posted by BK Professional Sports Betting at 12:32 PM
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Bernie's 7/11 TOP MLB PLAYS OF THE DAY!!

Well we hit our 2* BOMB with an easy win with the Giants handling the Nationals 10-5. However, we did drop our 1* play and we ended up 1-1 +0.90 Units! This week we are now 7-4-1 +4.16 Units and we will try and do one more days of damage and try and end ON TOP AGAIN!!! Good luck to everyone today and lets stay ahead again this week!

TOP MLB PLAY OF THE DAY
2** Red Sox -130 vs Blue Jays
1* Red Sox/Blue Jays UNDER 9.5
1* Padres/Rockies OVER

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

ATSKINGS-SAL DEVITO

3* Over Mariners
3* Astros
4* Royals
3* Cubs

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

EGAS RUNNER
2* MLB* MORNING MOVES* TRUE STEAM* Washington Nationals, -115 ML
2* SOCCER* BONUS BEST BET* Spain, Under 2.5
3* MLB* BEST BET OF THE DAY* Texas Rangers , -1.5 RL
LINE PREDICTION* MLB* MORNING MOVES* Washington Nationals, -115 ML

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

hope you guys followed me on minn...winning 2-0

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

hope you guys followed me on minn...winning 2-0

sorry guys wrong thread!

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

PROPICKSWEEKLY
5 UNIT SD Padres +110
5 UNIT LA Angels -107
5 UNIT Florida Marlins -104

[mlarge]

Re: 7-11-10

To Spook or anyone that can help: is there any way to find out what each capper's rating system is? One guy's 5000 star game probably isn't 1000 times stronger than another's 5 star- so in reality, unless there is a reference point, the ratings are almost meaningless. I appreciate all the work being done on this site look forward to making $$$$. Thanks, mlarge

[spook]

Re: 7-11-10

well man! these capper do this crap for advertising trying to get people to buy into there crap...the best advice is to bet the games all the same if you see a game that you really like bet maybe a little more, for the most part keep the bets the same!

hope this helps!

any questions don't be afraid to ask!!