7-11-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

**Mr. IWS** · 07-11-2010, 10:16 AM

Re: 7-11-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Ben Burns | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:35 PM

double-dime bet 956 PHI (-173) Sportbet vs 955 CIN
Analysis: I'm laying the price with PHILADELPHIA. The Phillies are suddenly rolling. They have a chance to sweep the Reds here and take a winning streak into the All Star Break. Given their current positive momentum and given Cole Hamels' mastery of Cincinnati, I expect the Phillies to do just that.

The Phillies fi~rst three wins in this series have ALL come in extra innings. On Friday, the Phillies rallied from a 7-1 9th inning deficit. Yesterday, the Phillies didn't even have a hit until the 9th inning and won 1-0 in the bottom of the 11th. Those type of victories are very good for a team's confidence and morale. On the other hand, the team that loses those type of games can be rather deflated.

As Reds manager Dusty Baker noted: "The last two days have been tough to take..."

With this being the final game before the All Star Break, I feel the Reds will have some trouble bouncing back. Of course, they always have trouble against Hamels.

Hamels has made six starts vs. the Reds and he's gone a perfect 5-0 (Phillies are 6-0) with an outstanding 1.26 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. Hamels allowed one earned runs or less in five of those games and just three in the other. The Phillies won those six games by a combined score of 48-12.

For the season, Hamels has been much better at home. He's got a very solid 3.07 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in eight home starts. He's averaging seven innings per start here and has an impressive 54 K's with just 14 walks.

Southpaw Matt Maloney goes for the Reds. He'll face a Philadelphia team which is averaging a healthy 5.3 runs per game vs. left-handers this season and which has gone 75-51 (+10) vs. southpaw starters the past few seasons. During that same stretch, the Phillies have gone a profitable 36-16 (+9.6) when listed as home favorites in the -150 to -175 range. They're now 14-4 their last 18 home games in the month of July and I look for them to keep on rolling right into the break. *7

**Mr. IWS** · 07-11-2010, 10:38 AM

Re: 7-11-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Ben Burns | MLB Total Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:05 PM

triple-dime bet 969 BOS / 970 TOR Under 9.5 Sportbet
Analysis: I'm playing on Boston and Toronto to finish UNDER the total. The first two games of this series both finished well above the total. This afternoon's finale has the highest O/U line of the three games. Yet, I expect it to be the lowest-scoring of the bunch.

Litsch wasn't very good last time out. He was very sharp in his previous start though (2 runs on 4 hits through 6 complete innings) and he's always fared well vs. the Red Sox. In six starts vs. Boston, he's gone 4-1 with a 3.82 ERA. He allowed three earned runs or less in five of those six starts, including two or less in four of them. In three home starts vs. Boston, he's allowed three earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. That translates to a 1.53 ERA.

Like Litsch, Matsuzaka has enjoyed plenty of success vs. today's opponent. Indeed, he's 5-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.091 WHIP vs. the Jays. He faced them once this season and allowed just three hits and one run through seven innings. In that game, he had nine K's with zero walks. The final score was 6-1. That was at Boston. In his most recent start here at Toronto, he allowed just two hits through seven shutout innings, a 3-0 Boston victory. Overall, he's got a microscopic 0.64 ERA his last two vs. the Jays and a 2.70 ERA his last three starts, here at Toronto.

The Red Sox have seen the UNDER go 7-2 the last nine times that they were listed as road favorites in the -125 to -150 range. Given the past success of both starters against today's opponent, I expect those numbers to improve here. *10

7-11-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

7-11-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

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